Brian Dixon Memorial Fillies' Handicap – Beverley

Beverley

3:40

Brian Dixon Memorial Fillies' Handicap

Date 2024-05-06

Distance 7f96y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,527

Runners 13

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6 (9)	Do I Dream b Sam Feilden(7) · Ben Haslam	Sam Feilden(7) · Ben Haslam	131	—	7-4211	65	80	57	14d	—	—	-9	9	10/3 23%
Bids for a hat-trick after wins at Ripon and Pontefract last month; major player again
1 (4)	Hostelry ch Joanna Mason · Ruth Carr	Joanna Mason · Ruth Carr	135	—	197-13	69	81	51	18d	—	—	-5	8.8	9/2 18%
Easy Thirsk win and a close third at Ripon this season (1m, heavy); should go well again.
2 (10)	Ardbraccan b Frederick Larson(3) · Michael Appleby	Frederick Larson(3) · Michael Appleby	135	tp	4360-1	69	82	71	16d	—	—	+5	18.8	9/2 18%
First win for a while over 1m on heavy last time; up 6lb; another good run likely
4 (1)	Gentle Ellen b Callum Rodriguez · David & Nicola Barron	Callum Rodriguez · David & Nicola Barron	134	—	14312-	68	84	73	199d	—	—	+14	22.5	15/2 12%
Progressive on soft/heavy in October, winning over 6f and 2nd over 7f; one to consider
13 (8)	Willow Baby b Silvestre De Sousa · Jason Ward	Silvestre De Sousa · Jason Ward	122	—	0-4353	56	80	69	9d	—	—	-6	4.4	13/2 13%
0-9; shaped as though return to 7f would suit when running-on third over 6f last time
9 (6)	Dandy's Angel b Ryan Sexton · John Wainwright	Ryan Sexton · John Wainwright	129	—	3214-4	63	80	74	14d	—	—	-2	5.2	10/1 9%
Five-time course winner, all over 1m2f, latest on heavy ground; today's trip is a concern
12 (12)	Powdering b Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington	Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington	126	—	474413	60	81	-	23d	—	—	+8	14.1	12/1 8%
7f AW winner last month (also a 1m turf winner); acts on soft; wide draw not ideal.
8 (2)	Laura's Breeze br Billy Garritty · Liam Bailey	Billy Garritty · Liam Bailey	129	—	224516	63	78	59	38d	—	—	+8	12.6	14/1 7%
Both wins over 7f on the AW, latest in March; effective on turf; soft ground a concern
7 (5)	Strangerontheshore b Faye McManoman · Nigel Tinkler	Faye McManoman · Nigel Tinkler	131	p	57351-	65	81	66	213d	—	—	+13	16.1	22/1 4%
Has a good record fresh and could go well, but 7f and soft ground not ideal
3 (11)	Shandy Star b Jonny Peate(3) · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	Jonny Peate(3) · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	135	eb	420-60	69	81	26	16d	—	—	+3	5.5	25/1 4%
Has won 3 times, latest in 2022; good 2nd in November (7f, heavy) but disappointing since
11 (3)	Inanna b Joe Fanning · Brian Toomey	Joe Fanning · Brian Toomey	126	—	07-959	60	78	76	53d	—	—	+1	3.1	33/1 3%
Ex-Sean Woods; only win came on debut in 2022; not beaten far last time; more needed
5 (7)	Princess Niyla b Rowan Scott · Alan Brown	Rowan Scott · Alan Brown	134	—	2797-7	68	82	81	10d	—	—	+3	5	40/1 2%
Winner for Hugo Palmer last term but became disappointing; well beaten on stable debut
10 (13)	Clipsham Gold ch Molly Gunn(7) · Simon West	Molly Gunn(7) · Simon West	128	h	254307	62	81	61	44d	—	—	+3	4.9	50/1 2%
Ex-Dylan Cunha; not at her best in two runs for new yard and others have stronger claims

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Do I Dream	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Hostelry	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Ardbraccan	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Gentle Ellen	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Willow Baby	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Dandy's Angel	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Powdering	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Laura's Breeze	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Strangerontheshore	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Shandy Star	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Inanna	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Princess Niyla	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Clipsham Gold	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Gentle Ellen

22.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 15.5 Odds: 2.5

15/2

2nd

Ardbraccan

18.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 10 Odds: 4

9/2

3rd

Strangerontheshore

16.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Powdering

14.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Laura's Breeze

12.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 8 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Do I Dream

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

10/3

Hostelry

8.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Shandy Star

5.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Dandy's Angel

5.2

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Princess Niyla

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Clipsham Gold

4.9

OR: 3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Willow Baby

4.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Inanna

3.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hostelry Top Rated	69	81	51
Ardbraccan	69	82	71
Shandy Star	69	81	26
Gentle Ellen	68	84	73
Princess Niyla	68	82	81
Do I Dream	65	80	57
Strangerontheshore	65	81	66
Dandy's Angel	63	80	74
Laura's Breeze	63	78	59
Clipsham Gold	62	81	61
Powdering	60	81	—
Inanna	60	78	76
Willow Baby	56	80	69

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Do I Dream	14d ago	Fit
Hostelry	18d ago	Fit
Ardbraccan	16d ago	Fit
Gentle Ellen	199d ago	Long break
Willow Baby	9d ago	Quick return
Dandy's Angel	14d ago	Fit
Powdering	23d ago	Fit
Laura's Breeze	38d ago	Fit
Strangerontheshore	213d ago	Long break
Shandy Star	16d ago	Fit
Inanna	53d ago	Fresh
Princess Niyla	10d ago	Quick return
Clipsham Gold	44d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Soft

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