Reg Bond 'Always And Forever' EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Qualifier) (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

York

2:10

Date 2024-05-25

Distance 6f

Class Class 3

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £10,800

Runners 14

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
13 (8)	Simmering b Kevin Stott · Ollie Sangster	Kevin Stott · Ollie Sangster	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-16	6.9	3/1 25%
Makes paper appeal for a yard which has a quite useful 2yo filly to compare her to
1 (5)	Arabie ch Jim Crowley · K R Burke	Jim Crowley · K R Burke	133	—	2	-	81	76	46d	—	—	-6	9.4	9/2 18%
Promising second on 5f Thirsk debut but the form isn't anything out of the ordinary
11 (2)	Ardeur br Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett	Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-12	5	5/1 17%
Out of a mare who was Group-placed at 2 and hails from a top yard; plenty to like on paper
2 (12)	Dark Cloud Rising b David Nolan · David O'Meara	David Nolan · David O'Meara	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	6/1 14%
From a good stable but not one which is a regular supplier of first-time-out 2yo winners
12 (7)	Blue Empress b Laura Coughlan(3) · Archie Watson	Laura Coughlan(3) · Archie Watson	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.5	9/1 10%
Interesting newcomer for yard which won this with a good one in 2022
8 (14)	Harry Palmer b Cieren Fallon · Kevin Ryan	Cieren Fallon · Kevin Ryan	129	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	20/1 5%
One of two newcomers from a good stable; the betting should help to separate them
4 (6)	Sanbona b Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	16/1 6%
Bred to have a future but might be best watched this time
6 (1)	Stratusnine b Kieran Shoemark · Hugo Palmer	Kieran Shoemark · Hugo Palmer	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	18/1 5%
Related to some useful sorts and needs a market check
5 (13)	Shazani b Jason Hart · Charlie Johnston	Jason Hart · Charlie Johnston	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	22/1 4%
Debutant from a leading yard; the betting should help guide to expectations
3 (3)	Epicurian Lad ch Harry Russell · Richard Fahey	Harry Russell · Richard Fahey	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	40/1 2%
One of two newcomers from a powerful local yard which won this with a debutant last year
7 (4)	Atomic Mass br Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	129	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	40/1 2%
Stable had a 2yo newcomer run very well at recent Dante meeting; betting informative
9 (10)	Lesley's Boy b Connor Murtagh · Richard Fahey	Connor Murtagh · Richard Fahey	129	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	33/1 3%
One of two newcomers from last year's winning yard
10 (9)	Territorial Knight ch Shane Gray · Kevin Ryan	Shane Gray · Kevin Ryan	129	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	28/1 3%
Stablemate of Harry Palmer; the betting should guide
14 (11)	Baylando b Sorcha Woods(7) · Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	Sorcha Woods(7) · Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	127	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	80/1 1%
Yard not known for 2yo success; best watched

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Simmering	5/2	3/1	11/4	11/4	11/4
Arabie	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2
Ardeur	5/1	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1
Dark Cloud Rising	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2	11/2
Blue Empress	8/1	9/1	15/2	17/2	8/1
Harry Palmer	16/1	14/1	20/1	14/1	14/1
Sanbona	14/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	12/1
Stratusnine	18/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Shazani	20/1	20/1	22/1	18/1	20/1
Epicurian Lad	25/1	33/1	40/1	33/1	28/1
Atomic Mass	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Lesley's Boy	25/1	22/1	33/1	22/1	22/1
Territorial Knight	16/1	28/1	28/1	25/1	25/1
Baylando	80/1	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Arabie

9.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Simmering

6.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.9

3/1

3rd

Ardeur

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

5/1

Dark Cloud Rising

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Blue Empress

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Harry Palmer

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Sanbona

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Stratusnine

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Territorial Knight

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

28/1

Shazani

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Lesley's Boy

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Epicurian Lad

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Atomic Mass

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Baylando

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Simmering	—	—	—
Arabie	—	81	76
Ardeur	—	—	—
Dark Cloud Rising	—	—	—
Blue Empress	—	—	—
Harry Palmer	—	—	—
Sanbona	—	—	—
Stratusnine	—	—	—
Shazani	—	—	—
Epicurian Lad	—	—	—
Atomic Mass	—	—	—
Lesley's Boy	—	—	—
Territorial Knight	—	—	—
Baylando	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Simmering	—	—
Arabie	46d ago	Fresh
Ardeur	—	—
Dark Cloud Rising	—	—
Blue Empress	—	—
Harry Palmer	—	—
Sanbona	—	—
Stratusnine	—	—
Shazani	—	—
Epicurian Lad	—	—
Atomic Mass	—	—
Lesley's Boy	—	—
Territorial Knight	—	—
Baylando	—	—

Going: Good To Soft

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