ripon-races.co.uk Book Now For Saturday July 20th Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incen')

Ripon

6:20

Date 2024-07-08

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,711

Runners 15

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (15)	Bright Lily b Jack Garritty · Richard Fahey	Jack Garritty · Richard Fahey	128	—	3	-	79	42	28d	—	—	-9	7.7	5/1 17%
Iffraaj filly; creditable third at Carlisle on debut; should improve; worth considering
1 (7)	Violet Love gr David Egan · George Boughey	David Egan · George Boughey	142	—	22112	85	79	59	15d	—	—	+16	33.3	4/1 20%
Has won twice over 5f and last time was a good second over 6f; double penalty; chance
10 (4)	Easy Peeler b Jason Hart · John & Sean Quinn	Jason Hart · John & Sean Quinn	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-10	4	11/2 15%
Sister to 5f Group 3 Cornwallis winner Good Vibes; well entered; watch the market on debut
6 (9)	Little Lies b Tom Marquand · Richard Spencer	Tom Marquand · Richard Spencer	128	—	3	-	81	49	10d	—	—	-5	6.3	15/2 12%
Creditable 2l third in similar race at Yarmouth on debut (6f, good to firm); a possible.
12 (5)	Harvesting b Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	126	—	5	-	70	40	9d	—	—	-8	3.3	13/2 13%
Promising debut run over 7f last month; better expected and drop to 6f likely to suit
8 (14)	Party Bear b Clifford Lee · K R Burke	Clifford Lee · K R Burke	128	—	73	-	74	65	19d	—	—	-3	5.5	17/2 11%
Improved on low-key debut run when third over 5f here last time; step up to 6f should suit
14 (2)	Montana Girl b Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	14/1 7%
Washington DC half-sister to eight winners; worth a market check on her debut
15 (11)	We've Got This b Joe Fanning · Craig Lidster	Joe Fanning · Craig Lidster	126	—	29	-	75	41	28d	—	—	0	4.7	22/1 4%
Good second on debut in a race that hasn't worked out; well beaten last time; more needed
2 (13)	Alfa Kalori b Harrison Shaw · Craig Lidster	Harrison Shaw · Craig Lidster	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	25/1 4%
£30,000 breeze-up buy; related to 4 winners at up to 1m; dam 1m winner; check the market
11 (3)	Flaine b Pierre-Louis Jamin · Tom Dascombe	Pierre-Louis Jamin · Tom Dascombe	126	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	22/1 4%
12,000euros yearling by top Australian sprinter; had wind surgery; tongue-tie on debut
7 (12)	Mile By Mile b Mohammed Tabti(5) · Iain Jardine	Mohammed Tabti(5) · Iain Jardine	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	28/1 3%
Filly by Territories; half-sister to 2 winners at up to 1m2f; likely to improve for a run
5 (8)	Dark Rainbow b Cam Hardie · Richard Fahey	Cam Hardie · Richard Fahey	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	33/1 3%
31,000euros yearling by Dark Angel; dam 1m winner; looks lesser fancied Fahey runner
4 (1)	Charm Runner b Andrew Breslin(3) · Bryan Smart	Andrew Breslin(3) · Bryan Smart	128	—	96	-	56	42	11d	—	—	-1	0.2	200/1 0%
Well beaten at long odds on her two starts so far; first run at 6f; improvement needed
13 (10)	Magical Florence ch Duran Fentiman · Steph Hollinshead	Duran Fentiman · Steph Hollinshead	126	—	05	-	-	-	28d	—	—	0	0.1	250/1 0%
Tailed off when a 200-1 chance on her two starts so far; others look stronger
NR (6)	River Blackwater gr Ben Robinson · David O'Meara	Ben Robinson · David O'Meara	128	—	84	-	61	47	11d	—	—	—	0	—
Bettered her debut run when 6.5l fourth last time; needs to improve again now up to 6f

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Bright Lily	9/2	4/1	4/1	5/1	4/1
Violet Love	4/1	4/1	7/2	7/2	4/1
Easy Peeler	5/1	11/2	11/2	5/1	11/2
Little Lies	7/1	13/2	13/2	15/2	13/2
Harvesting	13/2	6/1	13/2	13/2	13/2
Party Bear	8/1	17/2	8/1	8/1	17/2
Montana Girl	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1
We've Got This	20/1	20/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Alfa Kalori	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Flaine	20/1	22/1	18/1	18/1	20/1
Mile By Mile	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Dark Rainbow	33/1	28/1	28/1	25/1	33/1
Charm Runner	150/1	200/1	125/1	150/1	150/1
Magical Florence	250/1	250/1	150/1	200/1	250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Violet Love

33.3

OR: 8.8 Form: 19.5 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

Bright Lily

7.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 4.7

5/1

3rd

Little Lies

6.3

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Party Bear

5.5

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

17/2

We've Got This

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Easy Peeler

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Harvesting

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Montana Girl

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Alfa Kalori

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Flaine

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Mile By Mile

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Dark Rainbow

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Charm Runner

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Magical Florence

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

River Blackwater

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Violet Love Top Rated	85	79	59
Bright Lily	—	79	42
Easy Peeler	—	—	—
Little Lies	—	81	49
Harvesting	—	70	40
Party Bear	—	74	65
Montana Girl	—	—	—
We've Got This	—	75	41
Alfa Kalori	—	—	—
Flaine	—	—	—
Mile By Mile	—	—	—
Dark Rainbow	—	—	—
Charm Runner	—	56	42
Magical Florence	—	—	—
River Blackwater	—	61	47

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bright Lily	28d ago	Fit
Violet Love	15d ago	Fit
Easy Peeler	—	—
Little Lies	10d ago	Quick return
Harvesting	9d ago	Quick return
Party Bear	19d ago	Fit
Montana Girl	—	—
We've Got This	28d ago	Fit
Alfa Kalori	—	—
Flaine	—	—
Mile By Mile	—	—
Dark Rainbow	—	—
Charm Runner	11d ago	Quick return
Magical Florence	28d ago	Fit
River Blackwater	11d ago	Quick return

Going: Good

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