Ric And Mary Hambro Aphrodite Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) – Newmarket (July)

Newmarket (July)

6:35

Ric And Mary Hambro Aphrodite Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)

Date 2024-07-20

Distance 1m4f

Class Class 1

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £25,520

Runners 14

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
12 (3)	Danielle ch Kieran Shoemark · John & Thady Gosden	Kieran Shoemark · John & Thady Gosden	121	—	3-2136	98	107	98	30d	—	—	0	19.8	10/3 23%
Soft-ground novice winner; better form in defeat at Listed/Group 2 level since; respected
6 (13)	One Evening ch Benoit De La Sayette · John & Thady Gosden	Benoit De La Sayette · John & Thady Gosden	132	—	52221-	104	114	106	276d	—	—	+20	35.4	9/2 18%
1m6f Listed win on heavy last autumn but also has good form over 1m4f on good to firm
9 (9)	Shining Jewel b William Buick · Charlie Appleby	William Buick · Charlie Appleby	132	—	11-555	98	110	96	22d	—	—	+3	15.6	11/2 15%
Useful; creditable fifth in 1m2f AW Group 3 last month; first attempt at 1m4f
5 (6)	Mistral Star b Rhys Clutterbuck · Hughie Morrison	Rhys Clutterbuck · Hughie Morrison	132	—	412-53	100	110	77	42d	—	—	+4	15.8	7/1 13%
Third in a Haydock Group 3 over this trip last month; likely to be on the premises again
14 (8)	Nakheel ch Finley Marsh · Owen Burrows	Finley Marsh · Owen Burrows	121	t	6-13	91	99	60	41d	—	—	+6	12	12/1 8%
Progressive and leaves the impression 1m4f will suit; not discounted
4 (7)	Esmeray b Edward Greatrex · Ralph Beckett	Edward Greatrex · Ralph Beckett	132	—	3-3111	91	104	83	21d	—	—	+8	14.1	12/1 8%
Completed handicap hat-trick in May/June; this is harder but she's thriving for a top yard
1 (2)	Ching Shih b Jamie Spencer · David Simcock	Jamie Spencer · David Simcock	132	h	45-602	96	109	67	27d	—	—	+7	13.2	12/1 8%
Losing run goes back to 2yo days but she went close in Listed event at Pontefract latest
10 (5)	Truthful b Pat Dobbs · William Haggas	Pat Dobbs · William Haggas	132	—	11625-	95	108	90	317d	—	—	+16	21.4	14/1 7%
Useful at up to 1m6f in first season and may have more to offer for her top yard this term
3 (10)	Drawn To Dream gr Saffie Osborne · Jamie Osborne	Saffie Osborne · Jamie Osborne	132	p	414-66	104	116	106	28d	—	—	+10	14.9	14/1 7%
Listed win in Germany; ran well on first of two starts for new yard at Royal Ascot; player
2 (1)	Divina Grace b Darragh Keenan · Rae Guest	Darragh Keenan · Rae Guest	132	—	12-343	94	104	90	27d	—	—	+8	12.2	18/1 5%
Useful; third in Pontefract Listed race latest but Ching Shih was ahead in second
7 (14)	Safety Catch b Adam Farragher · William Haggas	Adam Farragher · William Haggas	132	—	/211-0	96	106	72	56d	—	—	+9	12.4	25/1 4%
AW Listed win on final 3yo start but disappointed in 1m6f York Group 3 on return in May
11 (12)	Ambiente Amigo b Silvestre De Sousa · James Owen	Silvestre De Sousa · James Owen	121	—	18-845	89	97	65	41d	—	—	+8	10.3	40/1 2%
Quite useful but will need to improve for step up to 1m4f to get heavily involved
13 (4)	Kitteridge b Hayley Turner · Hugo Palmer	Hayley Turner · Hugo Palmer	121	h	2138	86	90	79	56d	—	—	+17	17.9	80/1 1%
Beaten about 13l when third in Newmarket Listed race; last at Goodwood since; hood goes on
NR (11)	Sea Of Roses b David Probert · Andrew Balding	David Probert · Andrew Balding	132	—	0-4353	102	113	59	22d	—	—	—	13	—
Only a maiden win but placed four times at Listed/Group 3 level, including last time

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Danielle	10/3	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
One Evening	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2	4/1
Shining Jewel	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Mistral Star	7/1	6/1	13/2	13/2	13/2
Nakheel	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Esmeray	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1
Ching Shih	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Truthful	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1
Drawn To Dream	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Divina Grace	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1	18/1
Safety Catch	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Ambiente Amigo	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Kitteridge	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

One Evening

35.4

OR: 13.5 Form: 17.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Truthful

21.4

OR: 11.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.6

14/1

3rd

Danielle

19.8

OR: 12 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Kitteridge

17.9

OR: 9 Form: 8.6 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Mistral Star

15.8

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Shining Jewel

15.6

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Drawn To Dream

14.9

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Esmeray

14.1

OR: 10.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Ching Shih

13.2

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Sea Of Roses

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Safety Catch

12.4

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Divina Grace

12.2

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Nakheel

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Ambiente Amigo

10.3

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
One Evening Top Rated	104	114	106
Drawn To Dream	104	116	106
Sea Of Roses	102	113	59
Mistral Star	100	110	77
Danielle	98	107	98
Shining Jewel	98	110	96
Ching Shih	96	109	67
Safety Catch	96	106	72
Truthful	95	108	90
Divina Grace	94	104	90
Nakheel	91	99	60
Esmeray	91	104	83
Ambiente Amigo	89	97	65
Kitteridge	86	90	79

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Danielle	30d ago	Fit
One Evening	276d ago	Long break
Shining Jewel	22d ago	Fit
Mistral Star	42d ago	Fit
Nakheel	41d ago	Fit
Esmeray	21d ago	Fit
Ching Shih	27d ago	Fit
Truthful	317d ago	Long break
Drawn To Dream	28d ago	Fit
Divina Grace	27d ago	Fit
Safety Catch	56d ago	Fresh
Ambiente Amigo	41d ago	Fit
Kitteridge	56d ago	Fresh
Sea Of Roses	22d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Firm

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