Racing TV/EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands C And D) (EBF Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Kempton (AW)

7:00

Date 2024-09-06

Distance 1m

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,346

Runners 13

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
10 (13)	Green Storm b Daniel Muscutt · Charlie Johnston	Daniel Muscutt · Charlie Johnston	128	—	32	-	91	-	91d	—	—	-14	16.5	2/1 33%
Placed in two races at Haydock and the form is very solid; bred to be as effective on AW
1 (4)	Amiloc b Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett	Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett	135	—	1	-	80	47	25d	—	—	-11	19.4	15/8 35%
Justified favouritism in maiden here last month and looks sure to progress; respected
3 (11)	Bear Island gr Harry Davies · David Menuisier	Harry Davies · David Menuisier	130	—	4	-	74	56	25d	—	—	-9	3.6	7/1 13%
Showed promise over 7f here last month, shaping as if he'll relish this extra furlong
7 (10)	Must Believe b Paddy Bradley · Ismail Mohammed	Paddy Bradley · Ismail Mohammed	130	—	02	-	85	68	17d	—	—	-2	7.9	8/1 11%
Went close over C&D last time, belying his 66-1 odds; likely player on that bare form
5 (1)	Hi Ya Mal ch David Probert · Andrew Balding	David Probert · Andrew Balding	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.5	12/1 8%
35,000gns yearling; New Bay half-brother to two winners; looks the pick of the newcomers
4 (5)	Flying Fortress b Silvestre De Sousa · James Owen	Silvestre De Sousa · James Owen	130	—	04	-	77	-	21d	—	—	-6	2.4	14/1 7%
Has frame possibilities, provided the form of latest Newmarket effort is backed up
6 (9)	Le Pelerin b Marco Ghiani · William Knight	Marco Ghiani · William Knight	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	33/1 3%
32,000gns yearling; by Sottsass; stable is only 1-25 with 2yos this season
12 (3)	Champagnebreakfast b Georgia Dobie · Edward Smyth-Osbourne	Georgia Dobie · Edward Smyth-Osbourne	123	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	80/1 1%
6,000gns yearling; sister to a 7.4f 2yo winner; trainer is 0-6 with 2yos
8 (2)	Pine Cliffs b George Rooke · Jonathan Portman	George Rooke · Jonathan Portman	130	—	03	-	69	59	17d	—	—	+2	3.2	100/1 1%
Only a modest third over C&D last month; needs further improvement
2 (12)	Aneedah Hero b Cieren Fallon · William Muir & Chris Grassick	Cieren Fallon · William Muir & Chris Grassick	130	t	04	-	56	-	23d	—	—	-1	0.2	150/1 1%
Has failed to beat a rival in two turf events
13 (8)	Scheming b Sam Hitchcott · Richard Hannon	Sam Hitchcott · Richard Hannon	123	—	9	-	45	-	41d	—	—	-1	0.2	150/1 1%
Always in last place in nine-runner maiden at Lingfield
9 (7)	Celtic Diligence b Darragh Keenan · Pat Phelan	Darragh Keenan · Pat Phelan	128	—	6	-	36	22	17d	—	—	0	0.2	250/1 0%
Shaped better than bare result in C&D contest last month
11 (6)	Poke The Bear b Frederick Larson(3) · Amy Murphy	Frederick Larson(3) · Amy Murphy	128	—	95	-	48	36	17d	—	—	0	0.1	400/1 0%
Comfortably held in both runs, latest over C&D

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Green Storm	7/4	7/4	7/4	2/1	7/4
Amiloc	15/8	15/8	7/4	13/8	15/8
Bear Island	13/2	13/2	7/1	11/2	13/2
Must Believe	15/2	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1
Hi Ya Mal	10/1	17/2	17/2	12/1	9/1
Flying Fortress	12/1	12/1	14/1	11/1	12/1
Le Pelerin	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1
Champagnebreakfast	80/1	66/1	66/1	80/1	80/1
Pine Cliffs	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Aneedah Hero	150/1	125/1	100/1	100/1	125/1
Scheming	150/1	125/1	80/1	100/1	125/1
Celtic Diligence	250/1	200/1	125/1	150/1	150/1
Poke The Bear	400/1	250/1	150/1	200/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Amiloc

19.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 9.4

15/8

2nd

Green Storm

16.5

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 9.4

2/1

3rd

Must Believe

7.9

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Bear Island

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Pine Cliffs

3.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Hi Ya Mal

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

12/1

Flying Fortress

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

14/1

Le Pelerin

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Champagnebreakfast

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Aneedah Hero

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Scheming

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Celtic Diligence

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Poke The Bear

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

400/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Green Storm	—	91	—
Amiloc	—	80	47
Bear Island	—	74	56
Must Believe	—	85	68
Hi Ya Mal	—	—	—
Flying Fortress	—	77	—
Le Pelerin	—	—	—
Champagnebreakfast	—	—	—
Pine Cliffs	—	69	59
Aneedah Hero	—	56	—
Scheming	—	45	—
Celtic Diligence	—	36	22
Poke The Bear	—	48	36

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Green Storm	91d ago	Long break
Amiloc	25d ago	Fit
Bear Island	25d ago	Fit
Must Believe	17d ago	Fit
Hi Ya Mal	—	—
Flying Fortress	21d ago	Fit
Le Pelerin	—	—
Champagnebreakfast	—	—
Pine Cliffs	17d ago	Fit
Aneedah Hero	23d ago	Fit
Scheming	41d ago	Fit
Celtic Diligence	17d ago	Fit
Poke The Bear	17d ago	Fit

Going: Standard To Slow

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