racingtv.com Handicap – Thirsk

Thirsk

5:20

racingtv.com Handicap

Date 2024-09-16

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,711

Runners 13

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (4)	Capital Guarantee ch Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	135	p	005999	68	81	68	9d	—	—	-10	10.7	10/3 23%
Completed hat-trick over 7f in 2023; not in same form this time; cheekpieces replace visor
2 (8)	Mister Sox ch David Allan · Tim Easterby	David Allan · Tim Easterby	137	p	-92212	70	82	70	90d	—	—	+10	25.4	9/2 18%
In good form earlier in the season; back from a break; best with some give; chance
8 (10)	Sparkling Red b Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	133	v	286864	66	85	69	10d	—	—	-5	7.6	13/2 13%
Did well on first go at 7f when 4th last time; best with some give; one with a chance
4 (7)	Emily Post b Paul Mulrennan · Michael Dods	Paul Mulrennan · Michael Dods	136	h	-68656	69	80	66	29d	—	—	-2	7.3	9/1 10%
Pontefract winner last term (6f); not in such good form this term but on last winning mark
7 (13)	Phoenix Fire b Rhys Elliott(7) · Michael Dods	Rhys Elliott(7) · Michael Dods	133	p	-02008	66	79	46	26d	—	—	0	7.7	11/1 8%
Hasn't won since 2022; good second with headgear in April but mainly disappointing since
10 (6)	Manigordo b/br Duran Fentiman · Adrian Nicholls	Duran Fentiman · Adrian Nicholls	131	tp	086875	64	77	66	28d	—	—	-2	5.6	11/1 8%
Winner over 7.5f for Tim Easterby in 2023; far run last time; on a good mark; a possible
9 (3)	Beltane ch Jason Hart · Mark Walford	Jason Hart · Mark Walford	132	—	582702	65	82	73	11d	—	—	+6	12	14/1 7%
Some fair runs for present yard this term, notably when 2nd in July (7f); each-way chance
13 (2)	Asmund b Silvestre De Sousa · Declan Carroll	Silvestre De Sousa · Declan Carroll	118	b	408183	51	82	69	22d	—	—	+4	10	14/1 7%
6f winner in July; not run as well since; conditions suit and not without a chance
12 (5)	Reputation b James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	126	—	334743	59	81	64	16d	—	—	+2	7.5	16/1 6%
Veteran; AW winner last December; creditable runs on last 2 starts; each-way chance
3 (11)	Blackjack b Clifford Lee · Alan Brown	Clifford Lee · Alan Brown	136	b	854168	69	81	-	12d	—	—	+7	11	18/1 5%
C&D win in 2022 but other wins have been on AW; not in best of form
1 (1)	Naval Academy b Dougie Costello · Mark Walford	Dougie Costello · Mark Walford	137	t	042170	70	81	73	29d	—	—	+9	12.5	25/1 4%
Running well in the summer, winning over 7f at Haydock; not so good since; others stronger
11 (9)	San Isidro ch Ryan Sexton · Julie Camacho	Ryan Sexton · Julie Camacho	128	he	3-3700	61	79	46	23d	—	—	+2	5.8	25/1 4%
Two fair AW runs after wind op last winter; not as good since; eyeshield added
NR (12)	Biplane b NON-RUNNER · John Wainwright	NON-RUNNER · John Wainwright	134	p	024218	67	82	-	30d	—	—	—	14.8	—
Latest win was over 6f but stays 1m; fair run in muddling race at 7f latest; could go well

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Capital Guarantee	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Mister Sox	4/1	9/2	9/2	4/1	4/1
Sparkling Red	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Emily Post	9/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	9/1
Phoenix Fire	10/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	11/1
Manigordo	11/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Beltane	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Asmund	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Reputation	16/1	16/1	16/1	12/1	14/1
Blackjack	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	16/1
Naval Academy	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	25/1
San Isidro	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mister Sox

25.4

OR: 5 Form: 16 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Biplane

14.8

OR: 4.3 Form: 10.5 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Naval Academy

12.5

OR: 5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1

25/1

Beltane

OR: 3.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Blackjack

OR: 4.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Capital Guarantee

10.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Asmund

OR: 0.3 Form: 8 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Phoenix Fire

7.7

OR: 4 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Sparkling Red

7.6

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Reputation

7.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Emily Post

7.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

San Isidro

5.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1

25/1

Manigordo

5.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mister Sox Top Rated	70	82	70
Naval Academy	70	81	73
Emily Post	69	80	66
Blackjack	69	81	—
Capital Guarantee	68	81	68
Biplane	67	82	—
Sparkling Red	66	85	69
Phoenix Fire	66	79	46
Beltane	65	82	73
Manigordo	64	77	66
San Isidro	61	79	46
Reputation	59	81	64
Asmund	51	82	69

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Capital Guarantee	9d ago	Quick return
Mister Sox	90d ago	Fresh
Sparkling Red	10d ago	Quick return
Emily Post	29d ago	Fit
Phoenix Fire	26d ago	Fit
Manigordo	28d ago	Fit
Beltane	11d ago	Quick return
Asmund	22d ago	Fit
Reputation	16d ago	Fit
Blackjack	12d ago	Quick return
Naval Academy	29d ago	Fit
San Isidro	23d ago	Fit
Biplane	30d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Soft

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