EBF Stallions John Musker Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)

Yarmouth

3:30

Date 2024-09-18

Distance 1m2f23y

Class Class 1

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £30,921

Runners 16

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (15)	Karmology b Ryan Moore · K R Burke	Ryan Moore · K R Burke	130	—	-32122	98	112	107	27d	—	—	+12	34.3	7/2 22%
2nd in Listed races at York on last two starts; on the up and has each-way claims again
11 (5)	Estrange gr Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	125	—	1	-	107	99	24d	—	—	-8	18	11/4 27%
Debut last month but immediately looked a class act in maiden at Goodwood (1m2f, soft)
5 (6)	Lady Boba b Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett	Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett	130	—	21-239	105	119	106	48d	—	—	+2	18.8	9/2 18%
Places in Group 3 and Group 2 races over 1m4f before outclassed in the Group 1 Nassau
15 (8)	Sea Just In Time b Tom Marquand · William Haggas	Tom Marquand · William Haggas	125	—	161	94	108	68	42d	—	—	+19	28.7	17/2 11%
Two Group 1 entries at 1m4f; the form's not there yet but she is clearly one to note
14 (11)	Regal Jubilee b Kieran Shoemark · John & Thady Gosden	Kieran Shoemark · John & Thady Gosden	125	—	1-2024	101	114	81	74d	—	—	+14	21.9	11/1 8%
Penultimate start gives significant hope, when 2nd in Listed race on sole attempt at 1m2f
9 (7)	Sound Angela b Silvestre De Sousa · Roger Varian	Silvestre De Sousa · Roger Varian	130	h	7322-5	98	115	99	26d	—	—	+7	13.9	12/1 8%
Close fourth in this race in 2022; ran and shaped well on 2024 reappearance last month
7 (9)	Naomi Lapaglia b Daniel Muscutt · Richard Spencer	Daniel Muscutt · Richard Spencer	130	—	3-4337	100	113	98	18d	—	—	+11	16	18/1 5%
Form chance; going beyond 1m for first time has to be worth a go, including on pedigree
2 (1)	Al Anoud b Rob Hornby · Ralph Beckett	Rob Hornby · Ralph Beckett	130	p	1-2313	91	107	93	26d	—	—	+14	18.5	18/1 5%
Travelled best (carried head high) when 3rd in York handicap; tries headgear first time
8 (2)	Oh So Grand b Harry Davies · Simon & Ed Crisford	Harry Davies · Simon & Ed Crisford	130	—	11-105	97	114	59	35d	—	—	+10	12.5	40/1 2%
Form case depends on AW handicap win in January; 4l behind High Spirited at Salisbury
6 (13)	Making Dreams b Jim Crowley · K R Burke	Jim Crowley · K R Burke	130	—	55-168	98	108	74	110d	—	—	+11	12.4	66/1 1%
Off 110 days since well beaten in the Oaks (40-1); lots to prove on firmer than good
12 (4)	Molten Rock b Clifford Lee · K R Burke	Clifford Lee · K R Burke	125	—	-45562	101	108	81	45d	—	—	+17	18.1	80/1 1%
Best efforts at 1m including latest start but bred to stay at least this far; needs better
1 (14)	High Spirited b Trevor Whelan · Henry Candy	Trevor Whelan · Henry Candy	133	—	-03331	100	108	79	35d	—	—	+26	27.4	80/1 1%
Usually slowly away but made virtually all for 50-1 win in 1m2f Listed race at Salisbury
16 (3)	Ten Dimes br Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden	Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden	125	p	2-1272	83	102	80	29d	—	—	+11	12.1	80/1 1%
This level demands much more and she was well held on only turf start; different headgear
3 (16)	Dora Milaje b David Probert · David O'Meara	David Probert · David O'Meara	130	—	214648	92	109	93	27d	—	—	+12	12.7	200/1 0%
1m2f handicap win; Listed races last four starts, best of those on penultimate outing (1m)
NR (10)	Cheshire Dancer gr NON-RUNNER · Hugo Palmer	NON-RUNNER · Hugo Palmer	125	—	261472	82	101	-	19d	—	—	—	16	—
Runner-up when stepped up to 1m2f last time and likely she has more to offer over this far
NR (12)	Rainbows Edge ch TBC · John & Thady Gosden	· John & Thady Gosden	125	—	112	97	113	75	35d	—	—	—	28.8	—
Two wins before 2nd to High Spirited at Salisbury; can probably improve further at 1m2f+

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Karmology	11/4	3/1	11/4	11/4	7/2
Estrange	9/4	11/4	11/4	9/4	2/1
Lady Boba	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Sea Just In Time	17/2	8/1	17/2	17/2	8/1
Regal Jubilee	11/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	10/1
Sound Angela	11/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	10/1
Naomi Lapaglia	18/1	16/1	18/1	16/1	14/1
Al Anoud	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1
Oh So Grand	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Making Dreams	66/1	50/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Molten Rock	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
High Spirited	80/1	66/1	66/1	80/1	80/1
Ten Dimes	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	66/1
Dora Milaje	200/1	125/1	150/1	125/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Karmology

34.3

OR: 12 Form: 15.6 Odds: 6.7

7/2

2nd

Rainbows Edge

28.8

OR: 11.8 Form: 17 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Sea Just In Time

28.7

OR: 11 Form: 15 Odds: 2.7

17/2

High Spirited

27.4

OR: 12.5 Form: 14.5 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Regal Jubilee

21.9

OR: 12.8 Form: 7 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Lady Boba

18.8

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Al Anoud

18.5

OR: 10.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Molten Rock

18.1

OR: 12.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Estrange

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 8

11/4

Naomi Lapaglia

OR: 12.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Cheshire Dancer

OR: 8 Form: 8 Odds: 0

—

Sound Angela

13.9

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Dora Milaje

12.7

OR: 10.5 Form: 2 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Oh So Grand

12.5

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Making Dreams

12.4

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Ten Dimes

12.1

OR: 8.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lady Boba Top Rated	105	119	106
Regal Jubilee	101	114	81
Molten Rock	101	108	81
Naomi Lapaglia	100	113	98
High Spirited	100	108	79
Karmology	98	112	107
Sound Angela	98	115	99
Making Dreams	98	108	74
Oh So Grand	97	114	59
Rainbows Edge	97	113	75
Sea Just In Time	94	108	68
Dora Milaje	92	109	93
Al Anoud	91	107	93
Ten Dimes	83	102	80
Cheshire Dancer	82	101	—
Estrange	—	107	99

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Karmology	27d ago	Fit
Estrange	24d ago	Fit
Lady Boba	48d ago	Fresh
Sea Just In Time	42d ago	Fit
Regal Jubilee	74d ago	Fresh
Sound Angela	26d ago	Fit
Naomi Lapaglia	18d ago	Fit
Al Anoud	26d ago	Fit
Oh So Grand	35d ago	Fit
Making Dreams	110d ago	Long break
Molten Rock	45d ago	Fit
High Spirited	35d ago	Fit
Ten Dimes	29d ago	Fit
Dora Milaje	27d ago	Fit
Cheshire Dancer	19d ago	Fit
Rainbows Edge	35d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Firm

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