Kerry Group Handicap Chase – Listowel

Listowel

4:30

Kerry Group Handicap Chase

Date 2024-09-22

Distance 2m1f150y

Class

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €26,550

Runners 12

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1	Solness b Oakley Brown(5) · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	Oakley Brown(5) · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	174	tp	1304-0	148	144	130	53d	—	—	+14	28.9	6/1 14%
Has to give away a lot of weight but is back at his best trip and respected in a good race
6	Magic Tricks b Mark Walsh · Gordon Elliott	Mark Walsh · Gordon Elliott	158	b	0P-126	132	134	32	23d	—	—	+8	25.5	5/1 17%
Disappointing last twice but is hard to ignore off this mark with blinkers tried
10	Mount Frisco b Daniel King · John Patrick Ryan	Daniel King · John Patrick Ryan	146	—	424-23	120	151	107	27d	—	—	+8	21.5	6/1 14%
Well behind Je T'ai Porte last time but is better than that and could get into the money
3	Senecia b Ian Power · Vincent Laurence Halley	Ian Power · Vincent Laurence Halley	161	—	-1244P	135	146	-	31d	—	—	+15	26.3	17/2 11%
Has to bounce back from a poor run at Killarney;pulled up on his last two runs over fences
11	Mr Saxobeat ch Darragh O'Keeffe · Thomas Gibney	Darragh O'Keeffe · Thomas Gibney	145	—	P5-404	119	146	80	29d	—	—	+10	20.1	17/2 11%
Ran okay in a Listed over 2m5f at Killarney last month; is better over that sort of trip
9	Presenting Lad b Phillip Enright · Mark Michael McNiff	Phillip Enright · Mark Michael McNiff	147	t	633111	121	140	128	16d	—	—	+34	43.9	9/1 10%
Up 7lb but a tough horse that doesn't know when he's beaten and should go well once again
4	The Banger Doyle ch Michael O'Sullivan · John Queally	Michael O'Sullivan · John Queally	160	—	433-1F	134	139	128	—	—	—	+10	25.4	8/1 11%
A better chaser and hard enough to see him out of the shake-up if he produces his best
7	I A Connect b Jack Kennedy · Gordon Elliott	Jack Kennedy · Gordon Elliott	149	p	615-35	123	135	33	31d	—	—	+13	20.4	10/1 9%
Not many positives from two runs last month after almost a year off; others preferred
2	Je T'Ai Porte b Keith Donoghue · Gavin Cromwell	Keith Donoghue · Gavin Cromwell	161	h	210272	135	141	109	27d	—	—	+26	32.7	12/1 8%
In good form of late over fences, winning at Roscommon and twice placed; sound jumper
12	Skippin Court b Kevin Sexton · Gavin Cromwell	Kevin Sexton · Gavin Cromwell	140	t	4P-9P6	114	146	87	46d	—	—	+12	17.6	16/1 6%
Not a factor in two runs for his current stable and others look more likely
5	Good As Hell b Alex Harvey(5) · Philip Fenton	Alex Harvey(5) · Philip Fenton	158	b	471PU1	132	137	112	16d	—	—	+29	32.6	25/1 4%
Six-time chase winner and Tipperary specialist; respected with ground in her favour
NR	Bythesametoken b Donagh Meyler · Ross O'Sullivan	Donagh Meyler · Ross O'Sullivan	148	tp	0-3443	122	149	108	31d	—	—	—	18	—
Last run at Killarney suggests that stepping up in trip is worth a try; others preferred

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Solness	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2	5/1
Magic Tricks	4/1	9/2	9/2	7/2	5/1
Mount Frisco	6/1	11/2	11/2	6/1	6/1
Senecia	7/1	7/1	7/1	15/2	17/2
Mr Saxobeat	17/2	17/2	8/1	17/2	15/2
Presenting Lad	9/1	9/1	9/1	8/1	17/2
The Banger Doyle	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	15/2
I A Connect	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
Je T'Ai Porte	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1
Skippin Court	16/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	12/1
Good As Hell	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Presenting Lad

43.9

OR: 17.8 Form: 23.5 Odds: 2.7

9/1

2nd

Je T'Ai Porte

32.7

OR: 21.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

3rd

Good As Hell

32.6

OR: 20.5 Form: 11.2 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Solness

28.9

OR: 24.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

6/1

Senecia

26.3

OR: 21.3 Form: 2 Odds: 3.1

17/2

Magic Tricks

25.5

OR: 20.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

5/1

The Banger Doyle

25.4

OR: 21 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

8/1

Mount Frisco

21.5

OR: 17.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

I A Connect

20.4

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Mr Saxobeat

20.1

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Bythesametoken

OR: 18 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Skippin Court

17.6

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Solness Top Rated	148	144	130
Senecia	135	146	—
Je T'Ai Porte	135	141	109
The Banger Doyle	134	139	128
Magic Tricks	132	134	32
Good As Hell	132	137	112
I A Connect	123	135	33
Bythesametoken	122	149	108
Presenting Lad	121	140	128
Mount Frisco	120	151	107
Mr Saxobeat	119	146	80
Skippin Court	114	146	87

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Solness	53d ago	Fresh
Magic Tricks	23d ago	Fit
Mount Frisco	27d ago	Fit
Senecia	31d ago	Fit
Mr Saxobeat	29d ago	Fit
Presenting Lad	16d ago	Fit
The Banger Doyle	—	—
I A Connect	31d ago	Fit
Je T'Ai Porte	27d ago	Fit
Skippin Court	46d ago	Fresh
Good As Hell	16d ago	Fit
Bythesametoken	31d ago	Fit

Going: Good

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