Quinnbet Forecast Boost Nursery Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

6:30

Quinnbet Forecast Boost Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-09-24

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £2,983

Runners 10

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (6)	Monticristo Boy b Rowan Scott · Nigel Tinkler	Rowan Scott · Nigel Tinkler	133	—	58023	53	61	43	10d	—	—	-7	13	7/2 22%
Ran well for second on nursery debut at Southwell but less good at Musselburgh latest
2 (7)	Ettorino b William Pyle(3) · Craig Lidster	William Pyle(3) · Craig Lidster	135	p	09748	55	56	-	40d	—	—	-10	6	9/2 18%
Faded in two nurseries this summer but this is weaker, he's been gelded & now has headgear
5 (10)	Indy's Angel b Aiden Brookes(3) · Philip Kirby	Aiden Brookes(3) · Philip Kirby	132	—	6755	52	60	42	21d	—	—	-10	4.5	6/1 14%
Ran creditably for a close 5th on nursery debut three weeks ago; open to further progress
7 (1)	Charm Runner b Paul Mulrennan · Bryan Smart	Paul Mulrennan · Bryan Smart	130	—	967	50	54	-	78d	—	—	-12	5	4/1 20%
Minor form in three runs in June/July but hinted at better; market useful now handicapping
6 (8)	Ashen Glow ch Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	132	b	484504	52	63	30	22d	—	—	-10	4.5	6/1 14%
Not built on early promise but latest Chepstow 4th was a step back in the right direction
1 (3)	Hickton b Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	135	b	4900	55	60	-	40d	—	—	-3	2.9	14/1 7%
66-1 when well held on nursery debut last month; now blinkered for AW debut; may do better
4 (9)	Stat Goddess b Sam James · Craig Lidster	Sam James · Craig Lidster	133	—	424654	53	58	-	10d	—	—	-3	3.5	12/1 8%
0-10 over 5f; has shown promise but the new trip needs to prompt improvement
10 (2)	Aria's Dream b Faye McManoman · Nigel Tinkler	Faye McManoman · Nigel Tinkler	125	—	090	45	51	-	119d	—	—	-4	1.6	18/1 5%
Poor form in three sprint maidens in May; can do better but best watched after a break
8 (5)	Poet's Peace b Billy Loughnane · Ed Dunlop	Billy Loughnane · Ed Dunlop	130	—	769090	50	54	29	24d	—	—	-2	0.6	40/1 2%
Unplaced in six runs at 5f-7f; blew the start at Chelmsford last month; hard to recommend
9 (4)	Lilchita b Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	128	—	660	48	57	-	13d	—	—	-1	0.3	100/1 1%
Only beat two rivals in her three qualifying runs; bred to do better at some point

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Monticristo Boy	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	7/2
Ettorino	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2
Indy's Angel	11/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Charm Runner	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	7/2
Ashen Glow	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Hickton	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Stat Goddess	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Aria's Dream	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1
Poet's Peace	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Lilchita	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Monticristo Boy

OR: 0.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Ettorino

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

9/2

3rd

Charm Runner

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Indy's Angel

4.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

Ashen Glow

4.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

Stat Goddess

3.5

OR: 0.8 Form: 1 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Hickton

2.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Aria's Dream

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Poet's Peace

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Lilchita

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ettorino Top Rated	55	56	—
Hickton	55	60	—
Monticristo Boy	53	61	43
Stat Goddess	53	58	—
Indy's Angel	52	60	42
Ashen Glow	52	63	30
Charm Runner	50	54	—
Poet's Peace	50	54	29
Lilchita	48	57	—
Aria's Dream	45	51	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Monticristo Boy	10d ago	Quick return
Ettorino	40d ago	Fit
Indy's Angel	21d ago	Fit
Charm Runner	78d ago	Fresh
Ashen Glow	22d ago	Fit
Hickton	40d ago	Fit
Stat Goddess	10d ago	Quick return
Aria's Dream	119d ago	Long break
Poet's Peace	24d ago	Fit
Lilchita	13d ago	Quick return

Going: Standard

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