EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race) (Div I)

Southwell (AW)

7:15

Date 2024-10-05

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,402

Runners 12

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (2)	Maui Breeze b Callum Shepherd · Charlie Fellowes	Callum Shepherd · Charlie Fellowes	128	—	53	-	82	-	102d	—	—	-26	17.2	5/4 44%
Ran on well for close third at Newbury in June; major player if as good on Tapeta
5 (12)	Rogue Sensation b P J McDonald · Edward Bethell	P J McDonald · Edward Bethell	128	—	26	-	92	-	29d	—	—	-12	10.2	10/3 23%
Flopped on second start but has strong claims here if judged on debut effort
2 (11)	Blue Dandy b Jack Mitchell · James Tate	Jack Mitchell · James Tate	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.9	8/1 11%
Out of a half-sister to a 6f Listed winner; stable has good strike-rate with newcomers
3 (7)	Maids Head b Benoit De La Sayette · Marco Botti	Benoit De La Sayette · Marco Botti	128	—	3	-	74	-	78d	—	—	-5	6.3	12/1 8%
Quite promising debut when third of five at Haydock in July; could have a say here
12 (4)	Sugar Kane b Richard Kingscote · Daniel & Claire Kubler	Richard Kingscote · Daniel & Claire Kubler	124	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	12/1 8%
First foal from half-sister to 6f 2yo Group 3 winner Cairn Gorm; market may guide
11 (1)	Genius Mistake b Alex Jary(5) · Tim Easterby	Alex Jary(5) · Tim Easterby	124	—	2	-	79	-	11d	—	—	+1	6.4	22/1 4%
Belied 100-1 odds and a slow start when close second on debut at Beverley (5f); a player
9 (10)	Maid Of Killybegs b Billy Loughnane · Charlie Johnston	Billy Loughnane · Charlie Johnston	126	—	7	-	59	-	24d	—	—	-5	1.7	22/1 4%
Shaped with more promise than bare form suggests on debut; can improve
7 (8)	Followeroffashion b Laura Coughlan(3) · Archie Watson	Laura Coughlan(3) · Archie Watson	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	40/1 2%
Out of a useful and well-connected 5f winner; stable has plenty of first-time-out winners
10 (5)	Tippy Top b Kieran O'Neill · Gemma Tutty	Kieran O'Neill · Gemma Tutty	126	—	53	-	72	-	100d	—	—	0	4.2	66/1 1%
Showed significant ability on both starts for former stable but has a bit to find here
1 (9)	A La Louche b Shane Kelly · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	Shane Kelly · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	66/1 1%
Newcomer; pedigree suggests she'll need longer trips to be seen to best effect
8 (6)	Freedom Bay b Ross Coakley · Stuart Kittow	Ross Coakley · Stuart Kittow	126	—	—	-	41	-	25d	—	—	-1	0.5	150/1 1%
Well beaten (albeit on soft ground) when 125-1 for last month's debut at Leicester (7f)
NR (3)	Desert Eye b NON-RUNNER · Amy Murphy	NON-RUNNER · Amy Murphy	126	t	74	-	53	-	25d	—	—	—	0	—
Showed only minor promise on her first two outings and needs to take a big step forward

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Maui Breeze	evn	5/4	11/10	11/10	10/11
Rogue Sensation	3/1	3/1	3/1	11/4	10/3
Blue Dandy	8/1	15/2	8/1	8/1	15/2
Maids Head	10/1	8/1	10/1	8/1	12/1
Sugar Kane	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Genius Mistake	16/1	22/1	18/1	18/1	16/1
Maid Of Killybegs	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1	18/1
Followeroffashion	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1
Tippy Top	66/1	33/1	40/1	25/1	33/1
A La Louche	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Freedom Bay	150/1	100/1	80/1	66/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Maui Breeze

17.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 14.2

5/4

2nd

Rogue Sensation

10.2

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 6.7

10/3

3rd

Genius Mistake

6.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Maids Head

6.3

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

12/1

Tippy Top

4.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

66/1

Blue Dandy

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Sugar Kane

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Maid Of Killybegs

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

22/1

Followeroffashion

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

A La Louche

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Freedom Bay

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

150/1

Desert Eye

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Maui Breeze	—	82	—
Rogue Sensation	—	92	—
Blue Dandy	—	—	—
Maids Head	—	74	—
Sugar Kane	—	—	—
Genius Mistake	—	79	—
Maid Of Killybegs	—	59	—
Followeroffashion	—	—	—
Tippy Top	—	72	—
A La Louche	—	—	—
Freedom Bay	—	41	—
Desert Eye	—	53	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Maui Breeze	102d ago	Long break
Rogue Sensation	29d ago	Fit
Blue Dandy	—	—
Maids Head	78d ago	Fresh
Sugar Kane	—	—
Genius Mistake	11d ago	Quick return
Maid Of Killybegs	24d ago	Fit
Followeroffashion	—	—
Tippy Top	100d ago	Long break
A La Louche	—	—
Freedom Bay	25d ago	Fit
Desert Eye	25d ago	Fit

Going: Standard

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