Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Amateur Jockeys' Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

11:40

Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Amateur Jockeys' Handicap

Date 2024-11-07

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,831

Runners 12

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7 (12)	Fortunate Star ch Mr Harry Smith(7) · Declan Carroll	Mr Harry Smith(7) · Declan Carroll	148	—	659323	52	49	31	9d	—	—	-11	16.9	5/2 29%
Has dropped a long way in the weights and a player if repeating recent turf efforts
2 (7)	Better b Mr Simon Walker · Paul Midgley	Mr Simon Walker · Paul Midgley	155	—	400641	59	55	23	16d	—	—	-2	18	7/2 22%
4lb higher than when winning at Newcastle last time; seemed suited by that stiffer track
8 (1)	Sirius White gr Miss Ellie Mayo(5) · L J Morgan	Miss Ellie Mayo(5) · L J Morgan	148	v	010303	52	50	38	94d	—	—	-1	10.3	13/2 13%
All three wins on the AW but has something to prove down to 5f for the first time
1 (8)	Bernard Spierpoint b Mr Paul Hainey(5) · Darryll Holland	Mr Paul Hainey(5) · Darryll Holland	156	tb	411144	60	53	34	12d	—	—	+5	15.4	15/2 12%
Completed a hat-trick after rejoining this yard in August; each-way claims
5 (5)	Under Curfew ch Miss Sarah Bowen · Tony Carroll	Miss Sarah Bowen · Tony Carroll	151	p	123026	55	54	45	31d	—	—	0	9.3	9/1 10%
Would have finished closer with a clear run at Wolverhampton last month; a player
12 (10)	Restricted gr Miss Leah Banham(7) · Chelsea Banham	Miss Leah Banham(7) · Chelsea Banham	142	—	428854	46	51	39	45d	—	—	-5	3.1	14/1 7%
0-18 but likes to go forward and such tactics are suited to this C&D; could make the frame
3 (3)	Wakai Umi b Miss Tilly Evans(5) · Mark Loughnane	Miss Tilly Evans(5) · Mark Loughnane	155	—	463625	59	54	38	131d	—	—	+3	8	18/1 5%
131-day absence asks a question but this straight 5f should suit; may be worth chancing
10 (2)	Lady Nagin b Miss Milica Jovana Dusanovic(7) · Adam West	Miss Milica Jovana Dusanovic(7) · Adam West	146	p	860738	50	51	36	14d	—	—	-1	3.3	20/1 5%
2-4 over 6f here; 3lb below last winning mark but not threatened lately; cheekpieces on
9 (9)	Victors Dream b Mr Curtis Wilson-Ruddock(7) · Marco Botti	Mr Curtis Wilson-Ruddock(7) · Marco Botti	146	t	653176	50	53	16	67d	—	—	+3	7	25/1 4%
1-17 but in the frame in six of 12 AW starts, including over C&D; not discounted
6 (6)	Lochaber b Mr Frederick Tett · Scott Dixon	Mr Frederick Tett · Scott Dixon	150	b	948797	54	49	30	10d	—	—	-1	1.9	33/1 3%
1-20 and out of the frame in all seven goes on the AW; blinkers on
11 (4)	Sacred Melody ch Miss Charli Parker(5) · Ruth Carr	Miss Charli Parker(5) · Ruth Carr	146	—	008068	50	53	45	16d	—	—	-2	0.8	40/1 2%
Well held in seven starts including behind Better at Newcastle last time; much more needed
4 (11)	Dunnington Lad ch Miss Courtney Peet(7) · Peter Winks	Miss Courtney Peet(7) · Peter Winks	151	—	568416	55	53	-	72d	—	—	+6	9	40/1 2%
Has only beaten one rival in three starts on Tapeta so has something to prove

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Fortunate Star	2/1	15/8	2/1	2/1	5/2
Better	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Sirius White	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Bernard Spierpoint	7/1	15/2	7/1	7/1	13/2
Under Curfew	17/2	9/1	17/2	17/2	7/1
Restricted	12/1	11/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Wakai Umi	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	18/1
Lady Nagin	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1
Victors Dream	25/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	22/1
Lochaber	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
Sacred Melody	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Dunnington Lad	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Better

OR: 2.3 Form: 10 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Fortunate Star

16.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 8 Odds: 8.4

5/2

3rd

Bernard Spierpoint

15.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Sirius White

10.3

OR: 0.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Under Curfew

9.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 5.4 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Dunnington Lad

OR: 1.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Wakai Umi

OR: 2.3 Form: 4.4 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Victors Dream

OR: 0 Form: 5.9 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Lady Nagin

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Restricted

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 1 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Lochaber

1.9

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Sacred Melody

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bernard Spierpoint Top Rated	60	53	34
Better	59	55	23
Wakai Umi	59	54	38
Under Curfew	55	54	45
Dunnington Lad	55	53	—
Lochaber	54	49	30
Fortunate Star	52	49	31
Sirius White	52	50	38
Lady Nagin	50	51	36
Victors Dream	50	53	16
Sacred Melody	50	53	45
Restricted	46	51	39

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fortunate Star	9d ago	Quick return
Better	16d ago	Fit
Sirius White	94d ago	Long break
Bernard Spierpoint	12d ago	Quick return
Under Curfew	31d ago	Fit
Restricted	45d ago	Fit
Wakai Umi	131d ago	Long break
Lady Nagin	14d ago	Fit
Victors Dream	67d ago	Fresh
Lochaber	10d ago	Quick return
Sacred Melody	16d ago	Fit
Dunnington Lad	72d ago	Fresh

Going: Standard

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