Always Gamble Responsibly With BetMGM Handicap (Div II) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

5:45

Always Gamble Responsibly With BetMGM Handicap (Div II)

Date 2024-11-18

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,711

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (11)	Havana Pursuit ch J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	135	—	247066	57	66	-	13d	—	—	-15	9	5/2 29%
Below-par sixth of nine in 7f Redcar handicap 13 days ago; others appeal more
10 (1)	Ajrad ch J:Robert Havlin T:Rod Millman	J:Robert Havlin T:Rod Millman	126	—	423186	48	68	54	25d	—	—	-8	13.1	10/3 23%
Not disgraced when sixth over C&D 25 days ago; ought to be in the shake-up eased 1lb here
2 (7)	Reputation b J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	135	—	430424	57	71	62	14d	—	—	-3	9.5	6/1 14%
Not seen to best effect when fourth at Wolver two weeks ago; merits serious consideration
3 (4)	Anif b J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	133	p	113836	55	70	-	13d	—	—	0	8.8	10/1 9%
C&D winner but his recent form has been rather mixed; he needs to get back on track
5 (9)	Laura's Breeze br J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	132	—	064762	54	74	51	7d	—	—	-1	8.7	15/2 12%
C&D scorer; back on track with Newcastle second week ago; player with 7f a likely plus
12 (10)	Tenyatta b J:Laura Pearson T:James Owen	J:Laura Pearson T:James Owen	123	—	135665	46	69	60	145d	—	—	-5	2.7	11/1 8%
Off since a below-form fifth at Kempton in June but yard flying so not without interest
11 (3)	Available Angel b J:Joanna Mason T:John Mackie	J:Joanna Mason T:John Mackie	124	p	702853	46	68	56	14d	—	—	0	6.2	12/1 8%
Good third of nine in 7f Wolverhampton handicap two weeks ago; shortlisted
7 (12)	Honrado b J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	129	—	402098	52	70	62	49d	—	—	-2	3.6	16/1 6%
Offered little in three runs for Cian Hughes this autumn; more required on yard debut
4 (5)	Morning Suit gr J:Tyler Heard T:Phil McEntee	J:Tyler Heard T:Phil McEntee	132	t	407708	55	72	41	91d	—	—	-1	2.2	25/1 4%
A fair 6f winner but he comes here out of sorts; needs a wind op to spark a resurgence
6 (8)	Northern Cracksman b J:Alex Jary(5) T:Lawrence Mullaney	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Lawrence Mullaney	130	b	343227	53	66	43	182d	—	—	+6	8.4	33/1 3%
A fair 1m maiden for Brian Ellison; off six months and needs yard switch to spark progress
9 (6)	Gimcrack Warrior b J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	128	—	777-0	50	60	-	119d	—	—	-1	0.5	66/1 1%
Has offered little on all his four runs; he's very hard to make a case for
NR (2)	Red Scotch b J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael Appleby	J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael Appleby	129	p	609767	52	-	-	2d	—	—	—	0.5	—
Still a maiden and he arrives below par; others are more persuasive

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Havana Pursuit	5/2	5/2	5/2	9/4	9/4
Ajrad	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	11/4
Reputation	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2
Anif	10/1	9/1	9/1	8/1	9/1
Laura's Breeze	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1	7/1
Tenyatta	9/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	10/1
Available Angel	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Honrado	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1	14/1
Morning Suit	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	20/1
Northern Cracksman	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Gimcrack Warrior	66/1	50/1	66/1	66/1	40/1
Red Scotch	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ajrad

13.1

OR: 0 Form: 6.9 Odds: 6.2

10/3

2nd

Reputation

9.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 4.1 Odds: 3.6

6/1

3rd

Havana Pursuit

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Anif

8.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Laura's Breeze

8.7

OR: 1 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Northern Cracksman

8.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 6.9 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Available Angel

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Honrado

3.6

OR: 0.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Tenyatta

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Morning Suit

2.2

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Gimcrack Warrior

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Red Scotch

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Havana Pursuit Top Rated	57	66	—
Reputation	57	71	62
Anif	55	70	—
Morning Suit	55	72	41
Laura's Breeze	54	74	51
Northern Cracksman	53	66	43
Honrado	52	70	62
Red Scotch	52	—	—
Gimcrack Warrior	50	60	—
Ajrad	48	68	54
Tenyatta	46	69	60
Available Angel	46	68	56

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Havana Pursuit	13d ago	Quick return
Ajrad	25d ago	Fit
Reputation	14d ago	Fit
Anif	13d ago	Quick return
Laura's Breeze	7d ago	Quick return
Tenyatta	145d ago	Long break
Available Angel	14d ago	Fit
Honrado	49d ago	Fresh
Morning Suit	91d ago	Long break
Northern Cracksman	182d ago	Long break
Gimcrack Warrior	119d ago	Long break
Red Scotch	2d ago	Quick return

Going: Standard

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