Welcombe Hills Vineyard Handicap Hurdle – Warwick

Warwick

3:54

Welcombe Hills Vineyard Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-11-20

Distance 3m1f

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,753

Runners 9

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1	Ikarak b Sean Bowen · Olly Murphy	Sean Bowen · Olly Murphy	168	—	21168-	117	122	113	284d	—	—	+4	35.8	15/8 35%
Won novice hurdles at 2m7f/2m6f; well held in handicaps after; down in grade; new yard
7	Drop Flight b Mr Ben Sutton(5) · Dan Skelton	Mr Ben Sutton(5) · Dan Skelton	156	—	1F-783	105	122	57	27d	—	—	+2	18.5	9/2 18%
Hunter chase winner in March; shaped nicely on 3rd run for yard; can exploit low mark soon
9	Sporty Jim ch Beau Morgan(5) · Rob Summers	Beau Morgan(5) · Rob Summers	148	p	-PP6P4	97	120	93	57d	—	—	+4	14.6	10/1 9%
Very mixed in handicap hurdles and chases since back from absence; this is competitive
5	Chris Cool b Ben Smith(7) · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	Ben Smith(7) · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	164	p	3313-5	113	122	107	24d	—	—	+9	18.4	17/2 11%
Both handicap wins over 3m1f at Huntingdon; dropped right out on return from break
6	Butler's Brief b Murray Dodd(7) · Alastair Ralph	Murray Dodd(7) · Alastair Ralph	163	p	6P6731	112	119	110	22d	—	—	+20	30.2	8/1 11%
Put his woes behind him of late; still 7lb lower than Kelso win last November
4	Ernest Gray b Tom Cannon · Alan King	Tom Cannon · Alan King	166	—	142-65	115	116	55	29d	—	—	+9	19.1	8/1 11%
Chase winner in January; can improve for recent return to hurdles; has share of weight
3	Tigerbythetail b Miss Gina Andrews · T Ellis	Miss Gina Andrews · T Ellis	168	p	32-223	117	115	53	32d	—	—	+10	19.3	10/1 9%
Promising in novice hurdles before multiple point wins; interesting on handicap debut
8	Gold Clermont b Philip Armson(3) · Andy Irvine	Philip Armson(3) · Andy Irvine	151	—	18146-	100	119	60	249d	—	—	+16	20.7	22/1 4%
Staying chaser; much lower hurdle mark but vulnerable off even lower ones in the past
NR	Planet Legend ch Sam Twiston-Davies · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	Sam Twiston-Davies · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	168	p	72-32P	117	117	105	43d	—	—	—	16.8	—
Two hurdle wins in 2023; in good form over staying trips earlier but pulled up latest

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Ikarak	7/4	7/4	7/4	13/8	15/8
Drop Flight	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Sporty Jim	15/2	7/1	15/2	8/1	10/1
Chris Cool	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	17/2
Butler's Brief	15/2	8/1	8/1	15/2	13/2
Ernest Gray	15/2	15/2	15/2	8/1	13/2
Tigerbythetail	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Gold Clermont	18/1	22/1	20/1	20/1	16/1
Planet Legend	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ikarak

35.8

OR: 16.8 Form: 9 Odds: 10

15/8

2nd

Butler's Brief

30.2

OR: 15.5 Form: 11.8 Odds: 2.9

8/1

3rd

Gold Clermont

20.7

OR: 12.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Tigerbythetail

19.3

OR: 16.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Ernest Gray

19.1

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Drop Flight

18.5

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Chris Cool

18.4

OR: 15.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Planet Legend

16.8

OR: 16.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Sporty Jim

14.6

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

10/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ikarak Top Rated	117	122	113
Tigerbythetail	117	115	53
Planet Legend	117	117	105
Ernest Gray	115	116	55
Chris Cool	113	122	107
Butler's Brief	112	119	110
Drop Flight	105	122	57
Gold Clermont	100	119	60
Sporty Jim	97	120	93

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ikarak	284d ago	Long break
Drop Flight	27d ago	Fit
Sporty Jim	57d ago	Fresh
Chris Cool	24d ago	Fit
Butler's Brief	22d ago	Fit
Ernest Gray	29d ago	Fit
Tigerbythetail	32d ago	Fit
Gold Clermont	249d ago	Long break
Planet Legend	43d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Soft

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