£30 In Free Bets With BetUK Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

5:30

£30 In Free Bets With BetUK Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2025-01-31

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,942

Runners 10

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (4)	Marchogion b David Probert · Andrew Balding	David Probert · Andrew Balding	133	—	422-9	85	89	57	14d	—	—	-28	28.8	8/13 62%
Drops back to a much easier level; the clear pick on his 2yo form, which stacks up well
1 (3)	Adversary b Rossa Ryan · Clive Cox	Rossa Ryan · Clive Cox	133	—	0-	-	31	17	133d	—	—	-17	7.3	5/2 29%
Always behind in sole 2yo start; gelded since; in good hands and may do better
5 (9)	Snow Creek br Daniel Muscutt · Jack Morland	Daniel Muscutt · Jack Morland	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-10	4	7/1 13%
16,000gns 2yo; by Wootton Bassett out of a well-related dam; attractively bred
8 (8)	Fidget Lady ch Warren Fentiman(7) · Richard Fahey	Warren Fentiman(7) · Richard Fahey	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	16/1 6%
Closely related to her yard's useful 7f winner Maywake; interesting newcomer
4 (5)	Secret Sausage b Jack Doughty(3) · Charlie Clover	Jack Doughty(3) · Charlie Clover	133	—	9-6	-	55	34	7d	—	—	-1	0.3	100/1 1%
Lot to find with the chief form contender
2 (2)	Ancient State b Tom Eaves · Martin Dunne	Tom Eaves · Martin Dunne	133	—	0-9	-	43	-	14d	—	—	0	0.2	150/1 1%
Poor chance on form; drops in trip
6 (10)	Adaay's Grace b Mark Winn · Antony Brittain	Mark Winn · Antony Brittain	128	p	9	-	20	-	16d	—	—	-1	0.4	500/1 0%
Soundly beaten in C&D contest 16 days ago
NR (1)	California Fling b Lewis Edmunds · William Muir & Chris Grassick	Lewis Edmunds · William Muir & Chris Grassick	128	—	08	-	52	27	16d	—	—	—	0	—
Down the field in two C&D events
NR (7)	Kewmill b NON-RUNNER · Michael Appleby	NON-RUNNER · Michael Appleby	128	—	4-2	-	-	-	18d	—	—	—	5	—
Has shown promise in both starts, second at Lingfield latest; possibilities
NR (6)	Saif Territory b Joanna Mason · Derek Shaw	Joanna Mason · Derek Shaw	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—
Out of an AW winner who has proved an unsuccessful broodmare thus far

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Marchogion	1/2	8/13	8/15	4/7	4/7
Adversary	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2	9/4
Snow Creek	7/1	13/2	6/1	13/2	11/2
Fidget Lady	14/1	14/1	12/1	16/1	11/1
Secret Sausage	100/1	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Ancient State	125/1	150/1	125/1	125/1	125/1
Adaay's Grace	500/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
California Fling	-	-	-	-	-
Kewmill	-	-	-	-	-
Saif Territory	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Marchogion

28.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 20

8/13

2nd

Adversary

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Kewmill

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Snow Creek

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

7/1

Fidget Lady

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Adaay's Grace

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

500/1

Secret Sausage

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Ancient State

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

California Fling

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Saif Territory

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Marchogion Top Rated	85	89	57
Adversary	—	31	17
Snow Creek	—	—	—
Fidget Lady	—	—	—
Secret Sausage	—	55	34
Ancient State	—	43	—
Adaay's Grace	—	20	—
California Fling	—	52	27
Kewmill	—	—	—
Saif Territory	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Marchogion	14d ago	Fit
Adversary	133d ago	Long break
Snow Creek	—	—
Fidget Lady	—	—
Secret Sausage	7d ago	Quick return
Ancient State	14d ago	Fit
Adaay's Grace	16d ago	Fit
California Fling	16d ago	Fit
Kewmill	18d ago	Fit
Saif Territory	—	—

Going: Standard

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