Nyetimber Handicap (GBBPlus Race) – Newmarket

Newmarket

5:20

Nyetimber Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Date 2025-05-04

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 3

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £15,462

Runners 7

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (6)	Merchant b Tom Marquand · William Haggas	Tom Marquand · William Haggas	133	—	721-	82	94	39	128d	—	—	-9	36.5	10/11 52%
Improved run by run as a 2yo; step up in trip should suit now handicapping; unexposed
2 (4)	Watching Stars ch William Buick · Charlie Appleby	William Buick · Charlie Appleby	134	—	4413-4	83	93	82	17d	—	—	-10	16.3	11/4 27%
Looked to find 1m too sharp here last month; bred for this trip and not fully exposed
7 (3)	Lightening Mann b Rossa Ryan · Jack Channon	Rossa Ryan · Jack Channon	128	t	75-123	77	93	88	18d	—	—	-1	9.8	8/1 11%
1m maiden win on AW in March; placed in two 1m2f handicaps since; up in class
5 (2)	General Admission ch Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	129	—	2-424	78	92	-	50d	—	—	+4	13	10/1 9%
Switch to turf handicaps over a new trip offers hope of better; improvement needed though
4 (5)	Hallelujah U b Harry Davies · James Owen	Harry Davies · James Owen	130	—	651-3	79	92	44	19d	—	—	+6	12	12/1 8%
1m AW winner at two; outpaced before running on late over C&D on h'cap debut last month
6 (1)	Sir Paul Ramsey b Callum Shepherd · Charlie Johnston	Callum Shepherd · Charlie Johnston	128	—	354-	77	89	76	268d	—	—	+5	9.5	25/1 4%
Absent since August but he's upped in trip for his handicap debut and should improve at 3
1 (7)	Naina b Christian Howarth(3) · John Ryan	Christian Howarth(3) · John Ryan	135	—	61186-	84	90	82	190d	—	—	+15	17.1	50/1 2%
Four 7f wins as a 2yo; new trip for reappearance; best form on slower than good

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Merchant	evn	10/11	10/11	10/11	5/6
Watching Stars	11/4	11/4	2/1	5/2	9/4
Lightening Mann	8/1	15/2	7/1	15/2	7/1
General Admission	9/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Hallelujah U	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Sir Paul Ramsey	25/1	22/1	20/1	22/1	20/1
Naina	50/1	40/1	33/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Merchant

36.5

OR: 8 Form: 13.5 Odds: 15

10/11

2nd

Naina

17.1

OR: 8.5 Form: 8 Odds: 0.6

50/1

3rd

Watching Stars

16.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8

11/4

General Admission

OR: 7 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Hallelujah U

OR: 7.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Lightening Mann

9.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Sir Paul Ramsey

9.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Naina Top Rated	84	90	82
Watching Stars	83	93	82
Merchant	82	94	39
Hallelujah U	79	92	44
General Admission	78	92	—
Lightening Mann	77	93	88
Sir Paul Ramsey	77	89	76

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Merchant	128d ago	Long break
Watching Stars	17d ago	Fit
Lightening Mann	18d ago	Fit
General Admission	50d ago	Fresh
Hallelujah U	19d ago	Fit
Sir Paul Ramsey	268d ago	Long break
Naina	190d ago	Long break

Going: Good To Firm

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