Ladbrokes "Free Bet At Ayr" Kilkerran Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Ayr

2:45

Date 2025-09-18

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 2

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £15,462

Runners 13

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
10 (10)	Crowd Quake ch Marco Ghiani · Stuart Williams	Marco Ghiani · Stuart Williams	127	t	112112	81	103	80	7d	—	—	+10	36.3	5/2 29%
Prolific 4yo; close second at Doncaster last Thursday and runs before 5lb rise kicks in
8 (2)	Hornsea Bay ch Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	129	—	744265	88	103	83	11d	—	—	-4	18.7	11/4 27%
Clear 2nd to well-handicapped winner over C&D in July; could play leading role back here
2 (1)	Dain Ma Nut In b Tom Marquand · Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore	Tom Marquand · Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore	137	—	-39611	91	101	73	26d	—	—	+20	30.9	13/2 13%
2-2 since upped to about this trip, winning in a big field at York most recently
4 (6)	El Burhan b Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	135	t	13-109	94	97	78	19d	—	—	+6	12.9	14/1 7%
No surprise if this lightly raced 3yo turns things around sooner rather than later
13 (3)	Cloth Of Gold b Connor Beasley · Charlie Johnston	Connor Beasley · Charlie Johnston	121	—	223-	80	98	94	280d	—	—	+11	18.7	11/1 8%
First run of the year but this 3yo's pedigree hints he could be better than opening mark
3 (13)	Liberty Coach b Jason Hart · John & Sean Quinn	Jason Hart · John & Sean Quinn	136	tp	518735	90	103	87	21d	—	—	+10	15.8	12/1 8%
2-2 when encountering slow ground in handicaps (both last autumn); worth a second look
6 (4)	Dark Moon Rising b Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	130	p	707863	84	99	67	11d	—	—	+7	13.1	14/1 7%
Close third at York recently but the return to slow ground isn't an obvious positive
7 (12)	Financer b David Allan · Tim Easterby	David Allan · Tim Easterby	129	p	525625	83	99	84	19d	—	—	+8	14.5	16/1 6%
Won this last year and runner-up on three of his nine races this term; could be in the mix
1 (11)	Have Secret ch Warren Fentiman(5) · Richard Fahey	Warren Fentiman(5) · Richard Fahey	137	v	013200	91	101	89	68d	—	—	+13	16.7	22/1 4%
Needs to get back on track but he's been contesting hot races and is not written off
5 (7)	Flying Finn b Oisin McSweeney · Adrian Paul Keatley	Oisin McSweeney · Adrian Paul Keatley	134	—	97-895	88	101	78	14d	—	—	+7	10.6	22/1 4%
Getting back on slow ground is a positive but a shorter trip may be preferable
11 (9)	Austrian Theory b Duran Fentiman · Tim Easterby	Duran Fentiman · Tim Easterby	126	—	775500	80	101	89	27d	—	—	+5	8.4	33/1 3%
Has dropped down the weights but he's failed to threaten on his last three outings
9 (5)	Sex On Fire b Saffie Osborne · Richard Spencer	Saffie Osborne · Richard Spencer	127	v	551687	86	98	79	68d	—	—	+10	12.7	40/1 2%
3yo who won in a first-time visor at Haydock in April but he hasn't kicked on from there
12 (8)	Midnight Lion br Lauren Young(7) · Jim Goldie	Lauren Young(7) · Jim Goldie	125	—	040000	79	98	73	6d	—	—	+5	8	40/1 2%
Well treated on this year's best AW form but has struggled on his last four outings

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Crowd Quake	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Hornsea Bay	5/2	11/4	5/2	5/2	5/2
Dain Ma Nut In	13/2	13/2	13/2	6/1	6/1
El Burhan	12/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Cloth Of Gold	10/1	9/1	9/1	11/1	17/2
Liberty Coach	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Dark Moon Rising	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Financer	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	14/1
Have Secret	20/1	22/1	20/1	20/1	18/1
Flying Finn	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1
Austrian Theory	33/1	28/1	28/1	33/1	25/1
Sex On Fire	40/1	40/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Midnight Lion	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Crowd Quake

36.3

OR: 7.8 Form: 20.5 Odds: 8

5/2

2nd

Dain Ma Nut In

30.9

OR: 10.3 Form: 17.6 Odds: 3.1

13/2

3rd

Hornsea Bay

18.7

OR: 9.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Cloth Of Gold

18.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 9 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Have Secret

16.7

OR: 10.3 Form: 5.4 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Liberty Coach

15.8

OR: 10 Form: 4.1 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Financer

14.5

OR: 8.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Dark Moon Rising

13.1

OR: 8.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

14/1

El Burhan

12.9

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Sex On Fire

12.7

OR: 9 Form: 3 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Flying Finn

10.6

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Austrian Theory

8.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Midnight Lion

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
El Burhan Top Rated	94	97	78
Dain Ma Nut In	91	101	73
Have Secret	91	101	89
Liberty Coach	90	103	87
Hornsea Bay	88	103	83
Flying Finn	88	101	78
Sex On Fire	86	98	79
Dark Moon Rising	84	99	67
Financer	83	99	84
Crowd Quake	81	103	80
Cloth Of Gold	80	98	94
Austrian Theory	80	101	89
Midnight Lion	79	98	73

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Crowd Quake	7d ago	Quick return
Hornsea Bay	11d ago	Quick return
Dain Ma Nut In	26d ago	Fit
El Burhan	19d ago	Fit
Cloth Of Gold	280d ago	Long break
Liberty Coach	21d ago	Fit
Dark Moon Rising	11d ago	Quick return
Financer	19d ago	Fit
Have Secret	68d ago	Fresh
Flying Finn	14d ago	Fit
Austrian Theory	27d ago	Fit
Sex On Fire	68d ago	Fresh
Midnight Lion	6d ago	Quick return

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Dain Ma Nut In	Front Runner
Liberty Coach	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 13 runners classified.

Going: Good To Soft

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