Colm Quinn BMW Risk Of Thunder Chase – Punchestown

Punchestown

11:43

Colm Quinn BMW Risk Of Thunder Chase

Date 2025-11-23

Distance 3m90y

Class

Going Soft To Heavy

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize €10,030

Runners 15

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
12	The Goffer b Danny Gilligan · Gordon Elliott	Danny Gilligan · Gordon Elliott	158	t	435-01	134	147	138	—	—	—	+2	29.4	5/2 29%
Can cope with the demands of this course, warmed up for this with a point win last month
7	Desertmore House b Ricky Doyle · Martin Brassil	Ricky Doyle · Martin Brassil	158	t	00P2-1	140	150	101	—	—	—	+17	39.2	11/4 27%
Should be in prime shape after recent point win, big chance on his La Touche second
3	Vanillier gr Keith Donoghue · Gavin Cromwell	Keith Donoghue · Gavin Cromwell	163	tb	9130U-	143	153	124	206d	—	—	+14	31.3	4/1 20%
Arguably best of these on orthodox form, went at the 12th when favourite for the La Touche
2	Busselton b J J Slevin · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J J Slevin · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	163	—	4P1-32	135	143	-	40d	—	—	+10	25.7	5/1 17%
Won the 4m1f La Touche in May, faces a wholesale renewal of rivalry, fit from hurdling
8	Final Orders b Sean Flanagan · Gavin Cromwell	Sean Flanagan · Gavin Cromwell	158	—	2P3-P6	139	149	101	135d	—	—	+19	23.6	16/1 6%
Third to Vital Island here at the festival, that was encouraging, subsequent form less so
15	Three By Two b Jordan Gainford · Denis Paul Murphy	Jordan Gainford · Denis Paul Murphy	156	p	563-P0	95	143	-	86d	—	—	+8	12.5	20/1 5%
Third behind Busselton and Desertmore House in the La Touche, suited by this sort of test
4	Vital Island b Darragh O'Keeffe · R P O'Keeffe	Darragh O'Keeffe · R P O'Keeffe	163	tp	P141-P	-	137	59	178d	—	—	-4	1.4	18/1 5%
Course specialist over banks at Lingstown and at this circuit, always merits respect here
1	Outside The Door b Aidan Kelly(3) · Padraig Roche	Aidan Kelly(3) · Padraig Roche	168	—	2-51P0	138	138	91	40d	—	—	+23	26.5	25/1 4%
Very useful staying handicap chaser at his best, lacks experience of this course
14	Well Buoy b Mr J M Halford(7) · E Bolger	Mr J M Halford(7) · E Bolger	158	—	1P075-	-	103	85	208d	—	—	-1	2.6	33/1 3%
A young horse, his trainer's mastery of this discipline suggests he could have a future
9	Gentleman De Reve gr Mr Teddy Davies(7) · Peter Maher	Mr Teddy Davies(7) · Peter Maher	158	—	225436	-	134	-	42d	—	—	+1	4	28/1 3%
Fair performer in cross-country races in France, sixth in the Velka Pardubicka
11	Peaches And Cream b Ben Harvey · Gavin Cromwell	Ben Harvey · Gavin Cromwell	158	t	P0756-	118	144	91	206d	—	—	+15	17.7	50/1 2%
Not in the same league as stablemate Vanillier, completed the course in the La Touche
13	Walking On Glass br Kevin Sexton · Padraig Roche	Kevin Sexton · Padraig Roche	158	—	97-73P	-	144	-	40d	—	—	-1	0.5	80/1 1%
Recent form is unconvincing, trainer has a stronger candidate in Outside The Door
5	A Mighty King ch Mr L P Shanahan(7) · Ross O'Sullivan	Mr L P Shanahan(7) · Ross O'Sullivan	158	—	835U-4	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	80/1 1%
Unseated on his first try at this track, weak form in points, seems safe to rule out
10	Lough Derg Spirit b Conor Smithers(7) · Denis Paul Murphy	Conor Smithers(7) · Denis Paul Murphy	158	p	P1/3-6	112	141	-	—	—	—	+17	18	100/1 1%
Not much mileage on the clock for a horse of his age, has won over the banks at Lingstown
6	Cavalry Master gr Sean O'Keeffe · Peter Maher	Sean O'Keeffe · Peter Maher	158	tp	U-6859	108	124	91	42d	—	—	+13	14.9	125/1 1%
Completed the course in the Velka Pardubicka, form at this track provides no encouragement

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
The Goffer	5/2	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2
Desertmore House	11/4	11/4	11/4	5/2	11/4
Vanillier	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Busselton	9/2	4/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Final Orders	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Three By Two	18/1	18/1	18/1	20/1	20/1
Vital Island	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Outside The Door	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Well Buoy	25/1	18/1	25/1	25/1	33/1
Gentleman De Reve	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	28/1
Peaches And Cream	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	50/1
Walking On Glass	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
A Mighty King	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Lough Derg Spirit	100/1	100/1	100/1	80/1	80/1
Cavalry Master	125/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Desertmore House

39.2

OR: 22.5 Form: 10 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

Vanillier

31.3

OR: 23.3 Form: 3 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

The Goffer

29.4

OR: 21 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

5/2

Outside The Door

26.5

OR: 22 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1

25/1

Busselton

25.7

OR: 21.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Final Orders

23.6

OR: 22.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Lough Derg Spirit

OR: 15.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Peaches And Cream

17.7

OR: 17 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Cavalry Master

14.9

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125/1

Three By Two

12.5

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Gentleman De Reve

OR: 0 Form: 3.1 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Well Buoy

2.6

OR: 0 Form: 1.6 Odds: 1.1

33/1

Vital Island

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Walking On Glass

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

A Mighty King

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Vanillier Top Rated	143	153	124
Desertmore House	140	150	101
Final Orders	139	149	101
Outside The Door	138	138	91
Busselton	135	143	—
The Goffer	134	147	138
Peaches And Cream	118	144	91
Lough Derg Spirit	112	141	—
Cavalry Master	108	124	91
Three By Two	95	143	—
Vital Island	—	137	59
Well Buoy	—	103	85
Gentleman De Reve	—	134	—
Walking On Glass	—	144	—
A Mighty King	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
The Goffer	—	—
Desertmore House	—	—
Vanillier	206d ago	Long break
Busselton	40d ago	Fit
Final Orders	135d ago	Long break
Three By Two	86d ago	Fresh
Vital Island	178d ago	Long break
Outside The Door	40d ago	Fit
Well Buoy	208d ago	Long break
Gentleman De Reve	42d ago	Fit
Peaches And Cream	206d ago	Long break
Walking On Glass	40d ago	Fit
A Mighty King	—	—
Lough Derg Spirit	—	—
Cavalry Master	42d ago	Fit

Going: Soft To Heavy

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