3As Leisure "West Wales National" Handicap Chase

Ffos Las

15:25

Date 2023-04-09

Distance 3m3f208y

Class Class 3

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £9,242

Winning Time 7m 25.34s (slow by 29.34s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Truckers Lodge (IRE) Freddie Gingell · Paul Nicholls	6/1	Won
2nd	Sidi Ismael (FR) Fergus Gillard · David Pipe	12/1	3.25
3rd	Amateur (IRE) James Best · John Flint	8/1	1
4th	Fuji Flight (FR) Charlie Deutsch · Venetia Williams	7/1	1.5
5th	Time To Get Up (IRE) Kevin Brogan · Jonjo O'Neill	9/1	9

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Equus Dreamer (IRE) David Bass · Kim Bailey	9/2J
P.U.	New Age Dawning (IRE) Jack Tudor · David Pipe	6/1
P.U.	Southern Sam (GB) Aidan Coleman · Richard J Bandey	9/2J
P.U.	Volcano (FR) Ben Jones · Sheila Lewis	9/1

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Equus Dreamer Chestnut J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	162	p	42-351	128	139	118	18d	—	—	+7	24.6	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Up 5lb since Haydock win (3m4f, soft) 18 days ago; serious player if he's in the same form
11	Southern Sam Bay J:Aidan Coleman T:Richard J Bandey	J:Aidan Coleman T:Richard J Bandey	153	—	/32-22	119	140	108	22d	—	—	+6	21.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Solid record and he's worth a go beyond 3m1f but this should be quite a slog
3	Truckers Lodge Bay J:Freddie Gingell(7) T:Paul Nicholls	J:Freddie Gingell(7) T:Paul Nicholls	166	b	6-9458	132	140	124	22d	—	—	+11	24.1	1.25/1	6 17%
Stays very well but his powers have been on the wane; falling in the weights
9	New Age Dawning Chestnut J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	156	tp	4-4222	122	140	132	20d	—	—	+10	21.3	1.50/1	7 14%
Runner-up on last three starts; stays 3m on heavy going but others may see this out better
8	Amateur Chestnut J:James Best T:John Flint	J:James Best T:John Flint	156	p	1P-P6P	122	141	114	43d	—	—	+10	21.1	1.25/1	6 17%
Won the last two editions of this race and he's back on last year's winning mark
10	Volcano Grey J:Ben Jones T:Sheila Lewis	J:Ben Jones T:Sheila Lewis	155	tp	632541	121	138	125	28d	—	—	+23	32.5	1.75/1	8 13%
3 wins in same Warwick 3m5f race; bid to follow up in this came to nothing in 2021 or 2022
7	Fuji Flight Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	159	—	5-5P34	125	142	107	38d	—	—	+12	21.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Best efforts have been on soft and he has to be worth a first go at this sort of trip
6	Time To Get Up Chestnut J:Kevin Brogan T:Jonjo Oneill	J:Kevin Brogan T:Jonjo Oneill	159	tp	0-PP8P	125	125	56	22d	—	—	+14	20.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Nothing to prove regarding stamina but he's having a poor season; way down the weights
1	Sidi Ismael Bay J:Fergus Gillard(3) T:David Pipe	J:Fergus Gillard(3) T:David Pipe	168	tb	1365P2	134	135	99	27d	—	—	+21	27.3	3.25/1	14 7%
Respected but going back up 4lb probably makes him vulnerable for win purposes
NR	Bushypark Bay J:Thomas Dowson T:Philip Kirby	J:Thomas Dowson T:Philip Kirby	161	—	-PP21P	127	139	75	22d	—	—	+23	27.7	5.25/1	22 5%
Won at Catterick (3m6f, heavy) in January but pulled up in five of his last seven races
NR	Super Survivor Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	166	—	21-213	132	138	111	22d	—	—	—	20.5	—	—
Lightly raced 7yo; plausible as thorough stayer; needs more zip than he showed last time

Horse	bet365	Coral
Equus Dreamer	9/2	4
Southern Sam	4	9/2
Truckers Lodge	6	5
New Age Dawning	7	6
Amateur	6	6
Volcano	8	7
Fuji Flight	8	15/2
Time To Get Up	12	12
Sidi Ismael	12	14
Bushypark	22	20

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Volcano

32.5

OR: 17.8 Form: 12.1 Odds: 2.7

2nd

Bushypark

27.7

OR: 19.3 Form: 7.3 Odds: 1.2

3rd

Sidi Ismael

27.3

OR: 21 Form: 4.6 Odds: 1.7

Equus Dreamer

24.6

OR: 19.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.1

9/2

Truckers Lodge

24.1

OR: 20.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

Southern Sam

21.7

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Fuji Flight

21.4

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

New Age Dawning

21.3

OR: 18 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

Amateur

21.1

OR: 18 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Time To Get Up

20.7

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Super Survivor

20.5

OR: 20.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sidi Ismael	134	135	99
Truckers Lodge	132	140	124
Super Survivor	132	138	111
Equus Dreamer	128	139	118
Bushypark	127	139	75
Fuji Flight	125	142	107
Time To Get Up	125	125	56
New Age Dawning	122	140	132
Amateur	122	141	114
Volcano	121	138	125
Southern Sam	119	140	108

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Equus Dreamer	18d ago	Fit
New Age Dawning	20d ago	Fit
Southern Sam	22d ago	Fit
Truckers Lodge	22d ago	Fit
Time To Get Up	22d ago	Fit
Bushypark	22d ago	Fit
Super Survivor	22d ago	Fit
Sidi Ismael	27d ago	Fit
Volcano	28d ago	Fit
Fuji Flight	38d ago	Fit
Amateur	43d ago	Fit

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Bushypark	Front Runner
Volcano	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 11 runners classified.