Ffos Las

15:25

3As Leisure "West Wales National" Handicap Chase

Date 2023-04-09
Distance 3m3f208y
Class Class 3
Going Soft
Type Chase
Surface Turf
Age Band 5yo+
Prize £9,242

Runners (11)

# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr Odds
4
Equus Dreamer
Chestnut
J:David Bass
T:Kim Bailey
J:David Bass
T:Kim Bailey
162 p 42-351
128
139
118
18d +7
24.6
9/2
18%
Up 5lb since Haydock win (3m4f, soft) 18 days ago; serious player if he's in the same form
11
Southern Sam
Bay
J:Aidan Coleman
T:Richard J Bandey
J:Aidan Coleman
T:Richard J Bandey
153 /32-22
119
140
108
22d +6
21.7
9/2
18%
Solid record and he's worth a go beyond 3m1f but this should be quite a slog
3
Truckers Lodge
Bay
J:Freddie Gingell(7)
T:Paul Nicholls
J:Freddie Gingell(7)
T:Paul Nicholls
166 b 6-9458
132
140
124
22d +11
24.1
6
17%
Stays very well but his powers have been on the wane; falling in the weights
9
New Age Dawning
Chestnut
J:Jack Tudor
T:David Pipe
J:Jack Tudor
T:David Pipe
156 tp 4-4222
122
140
132
20d +10
21.3
13/2
13%
Runner-up on last three starts; stays 3m on heavy going but others may see this out better
8
Amateur
Chestnut
J:James Best
T:John Flint
J:James Best
T:John Flint
156 p 1P-P6P
122
141
114
43d +10
21.1
15/2
12%
Won the last two editions of this race and he's back on last year's winning mark
10
Volcano
Grey
J:Ben Jones
T:Sheila Lewis
J:Ben Jones
T:Sheila Lewis
155 tp 632541
121
138
125
28d +23
32.5
8
13%
3 wins in same Warwick 3m5f race; bid to follow up in this came to nothing in 2021 or 2022
7
Fuji Flight
Bay
J:Charlie Deutsch
T:Venetia Williams
J:Charlie Deutsch
T:Venetia Williams
159 5-5P34
125
142
107
38d +12
21.4
15/2
12%
Best efforts have been on soft and he has to be worth a first go at this sort of trip
6
Time To Get Up
Chestnut
J:Kevin Brogan
T:Jonjo Oneill
J:Kevin Brogan
T:Jonjo Oneill
159 tp 0-PP8P
125
125
56
22d +14
20.7
12
8%
Nothing to prove regarding stamina but he's having a poor season; way down the weights
1
Sidi Ismael
Bay
J:Fergus Gillard(3)
T:David Pipe
J:Fergus Gillard(3)
T:David Pipe
168 tb 1365P2
134
135
99
27d +21
27.3
14
7%
Respected but going back up 4lb probably makes him vulnerable for win purposes
NR
Bushypark
Bay
J:Thomas Dowson
T:Philip Kirby
J:Thomas Dowson
T:Philip Kirby
161 -PP21P
127
139
75
22d +23
27.7
22
5%
Won at Catterick (3m6f, heavy) in January but pulled up in five of his last seven races
NR
Super Survivor
Bay
J:Gavin Sheehan
T:Jamie Snowden
J:Gavin Sheehan
T:Jamie Snowden
166 21-213
132
138
111
22d
20.5
Lightly raced 7yo; plausible as thorough stayer; needs more zip than he showed last time
Horse bet365 William Hill Unibet Boyle Sports Ladbrokes
Equus Dreamer
9/2 4 4 7/2 4/1
Southern Sam
4 9/2 4 9/2 9/2
Truckers Lodge
6 5 5 5 5
New Age Dawning
7 6 13/2 6 6
Amateur
6 7 7 15/2 6/1
Volcano
8 7 7 7 7
Fuji Flight
8 15/2 7 15/2 15/2
Time To Get Up
12 12 10 12 12
Sidi Ismael
12 12 12 12 14
Bushypark
22 22 20 22 20

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Volcano
32.5
OR: 17.8 Form: 12.1 Odds: 2.7
8
2nd Bushypark
27.7
OR: 19.3 Form: 7.3 Odds: 1.2
22
3rd Sidi Ismael
27.3
OR: 21 Form: 4.6 Odds: 1.7
14
4 Equus Dreamer
24.6
OR: 19.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.1
9/2
5 Truckers Lodge
24.1
OR: 20.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6
6
6 Southern Sam
21.7
OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4
9/2
7 Fuji Flight
21.4
OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7
15/2
8 New Age Dawning
21.3
OR: 18 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3
13/2
9 Amateur
21.1
OR: 18 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1
15/2
10 Time To Get Up
20.7
OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9
12
11 Super Survivor
20.5
OR: 20.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Sidi Ismael
134
135
99
Truckers Lodge
132
140
124
Super Survivor
132
138
111
Equus Dreamer
128
139
118
Bushypark
127
139
75
Fuji Flight
125
142
107
Time To Get Up
125
125
56
New Age Dawning
122
140
132
Amateur
122
141
114
Volcano
121
138
125
Southern Sam
119
140
108

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Equus Dreamer 18d ago Fit
New Age Dawning 20d ago Fit
Southern Sam 22d ago Fit
Truckers Lodge 22d ago Fit
Time To Get Up 22d ago Fit
Bushypark 22d ago Fit
Super Survivor 22d ago Fit
Sidi Ismael 27d ago Fit
Volcano 28d ago Fit
Fuji Flight 38d ago Fit
Amateur 43d ago Fit

Pace Profile

HorseRunning Style
Bushypark Front Runner
Volcano Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 11 runners classified.