At The Races App Form Study Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

15:55

At The Races App Form Study Handicap

Date 2023-04-13

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,129

Winning Time 1m 40.54s (slow by 3.74s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Skilled Warrior (IRE) Sam James · Grant Tuer	15/2	Won
2nd	Broctune Red (GB) Aiden Brookes · Gillian Boanas	13/2	.5
3rd	Ravenglass (IRE) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	13/2	.75
4th	Vindobala (IRE) Graham Lee · Sam England	13/2	0.2
5th	Star Shield (GB) Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	5/1	0.2
6th	Streak Lightning (IRE) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	7/1	1.25
7th	Ron O (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Ray Craggs	100/30F	1.75
8th	Gainsbourg (GB) P J McDonald · Daragh Bourke	40/1	2
9th	Abnaa (GB) Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	40/1	1.5
10th	Outsmart (IRE) Ryan Sexton · Ollie Pears	10/1	1.5

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (4)	Ron O Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ray Craggs	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ray Craggs	136	—	-12481	81	89	67	10d	—	—	+8	27	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won over 7f here last week; 5lb penalty demands more but thriving and might find it
8 (5)	Star Shield Chestnut J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	129	p	6-4732	74	92	70	29d	—	—	-4	10	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Only just failed to get up over C&D latest and looks ready to win again
9 (3)	Ravenglass Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	126	—	32113-	71	92	-	192d	—	—	+14	25.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Progresive at end of 3yo season and could be more to come in 2023; acts on Tapeta
10 (8)	Broctune Red Chestnut J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Gillian Boanas	J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Gillian Boanas	121	—	5-7571	66	94	87	10d	—	—	-4	7.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Back to form with bang here last week; well-in under penalty but this a better race
4 (9)	Streak Lightning Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	134	—	7-2621	79	94	75	13d	—	—	0	10.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Back to winning ways over 7f here 13 days ago; fine at 1m; respected up 4lb
1 (1)	Skilled Warrior Bay J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	136	—	57235-	81	92	70	160d	—	—	+6	14.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
0-7 for current yard but was in decent form here when last seen in the autumn
7 (2)	Vindobala Bay J:Graham Lee T:Sam England	J:Graham Lee T:Sam England	129	t	0-13R6	74	91	77	9d	—	—	-3	9.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Four-time course winner but refused to race here last month; only sixth at Southwell since
3 (6)	Outsmart Grey J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Ollie Pears	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Ollie Pears	134	p	65320-	79	91	66	205d	—	—	+7	14.4	2.50/1	11 9%
C&D winner on 2022 reappearance; yard in reasonable form; not discounted
5 (10)	Gainsbourg Bay J:P J McDonald T:Daragh Bourke	J:P J McDonald T:Daragh Bourke	130	p	5516-8	75	93	22	29d	—	—	+4	7.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Three wins for Ed Bethell in 2022 but well beaten in hurdle and C&D handicap for new yard
6 (7)	Abnaa Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	130	b	914978	75	93	66	10d	—	—	+6	9	9.75/1	40 3%
Added three more Tapeta wins in January/February but form has dipped since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Ron O	3	10/3	3	10/3	7/2
Star Shield	11/2	5	9/2	11/2	11/2
Ravenglass	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1
Broctune Red	7	6/1	6	13/2	13/2
Streak Lightning	15/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Skilled Warrior	17/2	15/2	8/1	8/1	8/1
Vindobala	13/2	7/1	5/1	13/2	6/1
Outsmart	11	10	11	11	9/1
Gainsbourg	25	28/1	28/1	25/1	25/1
Abnaa	40	40	28	40	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ron O

OR: 7.8 Form: 13.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Ravenglass

25.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 17.1 Odds: 3.1

7/1

3rd

Skilled Warrior

14.9

OR: 7.8 Form: 4.6 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Outsmart

14.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

Streak Lightning

10.1

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Star Shield

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Vindobala

9.6

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Abnaa

OR: 6.3 Form: 2 Odds: 0.7

Broctune Red

7.1

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Gainsbourg

7.1

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ron O	81	89	67
Skilled Warrior	81	92	70
Streak Lightning	79	94	75
Outsmart	79	91	66
Gainsbourg	75	93	22
Abnaa	75	93	66
Star Shield	74	92	70
Vindobala	74	91	77
Ravenglass	71	92	—
Broctune Red	66	94	87

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Vindobala	9d ago	Quick return
Ron O	10d ago	Quick return
Broctune Red	10d ago	Quick return
Abnaa	10d ago	Quick return
Streak Lightning	13d ago	Quick return
Star Shield	29d ago	Fit
Gainsbourg	29d ago	Fit
Skilled Warrior	160d ago	Long break
Ravenglass	192d ago	Long break
Outsmart	205d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.