At The Races App Expert Tips Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

15:10

At The Races App Expert Tips Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2023-05-23

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,104

Winning Time 1m 28.95s (slow by 2.55s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Owl Island (IRE) James Doyle · Simon & Ed Crisford	5/4F	Won
2nd	Eden Storm (IRE) Andrea Atzeni · Marco Botti	7/2	2.75
3rd	Sail On Silverbird (USA) Callum Shepherd · Michael Bell	25/1	0.3
4th	Profit Given (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Ismail Mohammed	11/1	1
5th	Aim For The Moon (USA) Daniel Muscutt · John Butler	28/1	1.5
6th	Tangled In Time (GB) Mikkel Mortensen · Charlie Fellowes	40/1	.5
7th	Story Of Peace (IRE) Ross Coakley · Simon & Ed Crisford	10/1	1
8th	Moralisa (GB) Rossa Ryan · Ismail Mohammed	10/1	2.75
9th	Island Luck (GB) Oisin Murphy · Richard Hannon	11/2	0.3
10th	All Inclusive (GB) Joanna Mason · Mark Loughnane	150/1	6.5
11th	Queensland Boy (IRE) Ben Sanderson · Ian Williams	150/1	0.05
12th	Gautrey (GB) Jamie Spencer · Tony Carroll	100/1	4.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (2)	Owl Island Bay J:James Doyle T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:James Doyle T:Simon & Ed Crisford	137	—	1	-	72	11	12d	—	—	-10	18.9	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Beat Profit Given by a length on his Chelmsford debut; should improve
2 (8)	Eden Storm Bay J:Andrea Atzeni T:Marco Botti	J:Andrea Atzeni T:Marco Botti	137	—	51	-	80	40	28d	—	—	-9	18.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Off the mark over C&D last month despite hanging; high on the list
7 (10)	Island Luck Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Richard Hannon	J:Oisin Murphy T:Richard Hannon	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-10	4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Well-bred newcomer, but could have been drawn better; watch market
9 (12)	Story Of Peace Chestnut J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	130	—	02	-	74	-	10d	—	—	-2	7.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Improved from his debut when a close second at Leicester last time, but drawn widest
5 (1)	Profit Given Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:Ismail Mohammed	J:Jack Mitchell T:Ismail Mohammed	136	—	52	-	76	35	12d	—	—	-2	7.7	2.75/1	12 8%
A length behind Owl Island last time and better off at the weights; shouldn't be far away
4 (11)	Aim For The Moon Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:John Butler	J:Daniel Muscutt T:John Butler	136	ht	72	-	76	35	20d	—	—	-2	7.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Beaten a head at Kempton on her second start and should win races, but is drawn wide
10 (9)	Moralisa Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ismail Mohammed	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ismail Mohammed	125	—	2-	-	73	17	245d	—	—	+1	6.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Runner-up on her Newcastle debut last autumn, but form is nothing special
12 (7)	Tangled In Time Bay J:Mikkel Mortensen(7) T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Mikkel Mortensen(7) T:Charlie Fellowes	125	—	6-	-	76	-	277d	—	—	-3	1.2	8.00/1	33 3%
Not without promise in one start for Richard Hannon last year; watch market
11 (3)	Sail On Silverbird Grey Roan J:Callum Shepherd T:Michael Bell	J:Callum Shepherd T:Michael Bell	125	—	3-6	-	79	45	38d	—	—	-1	3.2	6.75/1	28 4%
Promising third on her debut at Kempton last autumn, but well held here on her return
1 (4)	Gautrey Chestnut J:Jamie Spencer T:Tony Carroll	J:Jamie Spencer T:Tony Carroll	141	—	5	-	62	39	24d	—	—	-2	0.8	9.75/1	40 3%
Well held on his debut over further here; looks one for handicaps
8 (5)	Queensland Boy Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Ian Williams	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Ian Williams	130	—	7	-	49	-	20d	—	—	-2	0.6	19.75/1	80 1%
Well held on his Pontefract debut; looks one for handicaps in due course
6 (6)	All Inclusive Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Mark Loughnane	J:Joanna Mason T:Mark Loughnane	130	—	4-0	-	49	-	25d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Well held in both starts 187 days apart; looks one for handicaps after this

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Owl Island	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Eden Storm	15/8	9/4	5/2	9/4	9/4
Island Luck	11/2	13/2	13/2	6	6
Story Of Peace	8	15/2	8	15/2	15/2
Profit Given	12	12	12	12	12
Aim For The Moon	11	12	12	12	12
Moralisa	20	16	16	16	16
Tangled In Time	33	28	22	22	25
Sail On Silverbird	28	25	25	22	25
Gautrey	40	33	25	28	33
Queensland Boy	80	66	66	66	66
All Inclusive	100	100	100	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Owl Island

18.9

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 8.9

9/4

2nd

Eden Storm

18.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 8.4

5/2

3rd

Story Of Peace

7.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Profit Given

7.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

Aim For The Moon

7.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

Moralisa

6.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

Island Luck

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

13/2

Sail On Silverbird

3.2

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.1

Tangled In Time

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Gautrey

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Queensland Boy

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

All Inclusive

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Owl Island	—	72	11
Eden Storm	—	80	40
Island Luck	—	—	—
Story Of Peace	—	74	—
Profit Given	—	76	35
Aim For The Moon	—	76	35
Moralisa	—	73	17
Tangled In Time	—	76	—
Sail On Silverbird	—	79	45
Gautrey	—	62	39
Queensland Boy	—	49	—
All Inclusive	—	49	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Story Of Peace	10d ago	Quick return
Owl Island	12d ago	Quick return
Profit Given	12d ago	Quick return
Aim For The Moon	20d ago	Fit
Queensland Boy	20d ago	Fit
Gautrey	24d ago	Fit
All Inclusive	25d ago	Fit
Eden Storm	28d ago	Fit
Sail On Silverbird	38d ago	Fit
Moralisa	245d ago	Long break
Tangled In Time	277d ago	Long break
Island Luck	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.