Absolut Vodka Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

5:00

Absolut Vodka Handicap

Date 2023-05-24

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (8)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7 (5)	Theophilos ch J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	127	—	760-51	72	90	29	34d	—	—	-20	17.3	6/4 40%
Won at Tipperary latest; 11lb higher mark here but could have plenty more left in the tank
1 (2)	Morning Sun b J:Billy Garritty T:Keith Dalgleish	J:Billy Garritty T:Keith Dalgleish	135	—	463-31	80	92	44	16d	—	—	-8	14.2	10/3 23%
Won with something to spare over C&D recently and could take a 6lb rise in his stride
3 (1)	Innse Gall b J:Paul Mulrennan T:Iain Jardine	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Iain Jardine	134	—	134-25	79	90	77	25d	—	—	-4	11.7	13/2 13%
Respectable 5th of 13 at Haydock latest & this is less competitive; might not be far away
2 (8)	Tilsitt b J:Jason Hart T:R Mike Smith	J:Jason Hart T:R Mike Smith	134	tp	926-08	79	94	55	10d	—	—	+1	9.6	17/2 11%
Didn't run badly at Hamilton latest and now back at the scene of his last three wins
5 (6)	Knightswood ch J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	131	—	5247-0	76	96	85	24d	—	—	+1	8.6	10/1 9%
Tailed off on reappearance but on a handy mark and not written off
8 (7)	Sophiesticate b J:Joanna Mason T:Jim Goldie	J:Joanna Mason T:Jim Goldie	123	—	79-444	68	93	83	10d	—	—	0	6.1	16 6%
Close fourth over 1m1f at Hamilton recently and this slightly longer trip looks a plus
4 (3)	Zarabanda ch J:Jason Watson T:David Omeara	J:Jason Watson T:David Omeara	134	—	310-6	79	90	74	10d	—	—	+4	8.6	16 6%
Very lightly raced 4yo who could have more to offer on this second handicap start
6 (4)	Bringbackmemories b J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	128	t	82-367	73	88	51	17d	—	—	+3	6.6	25 4%
Wind op since last time but Flat form for this new yard has been mixed

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Theophilos	6/4	11/8	5/4	5/4	5/4
Morning Sun	3	10/3	5/2	3	3
Innse Gall	6	13/2	13/2	4	11/2
Tilsitt	8	17/2	8	8	17/2
Knightswood	10	9	9/1	10	10/1
Sophiesticate	14	16	16	16	16
Zarabanda	16	16	14	14	16
Bringbackmemories	25	25	25	25	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Theophilos

17.3

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 11.8

6/4

2nd

Morning Sun

14.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

10/3

3rd

Innse Gall

11.7

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

13/2

Tilsitt

9.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Knightswood

8.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Zarabanda

8.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Bringbackmemories

6.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Sophiesticate

6.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Morning Sun Top Rated	80	92	44
Innse Gall	79	90	77
Tilsitt	79	94	55
Zarabanda	79	90	74
Knightswood	76	96	85
Bringbackmemories	73	88	51
Theophilos	72	90	29
Sophiesticate	68	93	83

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tilsitt	10d ago	Quick return
Sophiesticate	10d ago	Quick return
Zarabanda	10d ago	Quick return
Morning Sun	16d ago	Fit
Bringbackmemories	17d ago	Fit
Knightswood	24d ago	Fit
Innse Gall	25d ago	Fit
Theophilos	34d ago	Fit