More Price Boosts Races At Unibet Fillies' Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier)

Kempton (AW)

19:50

Date 2023-06-07

Distance 1m

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £6,281

Winning Time 1m 38.58s (slow by 1.28s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Tamarama (GB) Frankie Dettori · Ralph Beckett	8/1	Won
2nd	Marksman Queen (GB) Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden	5/2	.75
3rd	Molly Valentine (IRE) Jefferson Smith · Dean Ivory	18/1	1
4th	Beccara Rose (IRE) Harry Davies · Charlie Fellowes	14/1	0.3
5th	Crystal Casque (GB) Oliver Searle · Rod Millman	40/1	3
6th	Prepense (GB) Richard Kingscote · Sir Michael Stoute	9/4F	0.05
7th	Rainbow Sky (GB) William Buick · Charlie Appleby	22/1	1.25
8th	Speriamo (GB) Tom Marquand · Philip McBride	16/1	1
9th	Maid In Kentucky (USA) Oisin Murphy · George Boughey	4/1	5
10th	Mayfair Gold (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Alan King	22/1	0.2
11th	Switchel (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Hughie Morrison	80/1	7.5

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (11)	Prepense Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	131	—	22-1	85	94	-	48d	—	—	+2	26	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Newmarket winner who is open to more progress upped to 1m on handicap debut; key player
6 (2)	Marksman Queen Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	130	h	1-1	84	89	71	30d	—	—	+6	34.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Won both her novice events and she's respected on handicap debut; hood added
7 (3)	Maid In Kentucky Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:George Boughey	J:Oisin Murphy T:George Boughey	128	—	31-13	82	91	74	36d	—	—	-3	12.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Dual AW winner who looked stretched over 1m2f at Brighton latest; dangerous back in trip
1 (10)	Tamarama Bay J:Frankie Dettori T:Ralph Beckett	J:Frankie Dettori T:Ralph Beckett	142	—	431-74	85	91	63	12d	—	—	+3	11.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Triple winner who is on a workable mark but has bit to prove from tough draw back on AW
9 (4)	Beccara Rose Chestnut J:Harry Davies(3) T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Harry Davies(3) T:Charlie Fellowes	124	—	43-80	78	86	71	25d	—	—	+2	8.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Disappointing in both runs this season and she has some questions to answer
11 (6)	Molly Valentine Bay J:Jefferson Smith T:Dean Ivory	J:Jefferson Smith T:Dean Ivory	120	—	81-561	74	89	66	56d	—	—	+1	8.1	3.75/1	16 6%
Improved form upped to 8.3f when a clearcut winner at Nottingham; respected up 7lb
3 (7)	Rainbow Sky Chestnut J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	131	—	1-45	85	89	61	38d	—	—	+9	18.3	3.25/1	14 7%
C&D winner who is still unexposed and is a possible improver back at 1m on handicap debut
8 (5)	Speriamo Grey J:Tom Marquand T:Philip Mcbride	J:Tom Marquand T:Philip Mcbride	125	—	2001-4	79	88	51	72d	—	—	+4	8.5	4.75/1	20 5%
Dual winner at up to 7f but she needs to find more at this new trip
5 (8)	Mayfair Gold Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Alan King	J:Hollie Doyle T:Alan King	130	—	22-118	73	91	66	20d	—	—	+3	6.7	5.25/1	22 5%
Two AW wins this year but both in Class 5 events and she was laboured back on turf latest
2 (1)	Crystal Casque Chestnut J:Oliver Searle(7) T:Rod Millman	J:Oliver Searle(7) T:Rod Millman	135	—	4-1249	78	89	74	61d	—	—	+5	7.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Five-time course winner but she needs to rediscover her spark back up in trip
10 (9)	Switchel Bay J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Hughie Morrison	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Hughie Morrison	120	—	59-2	74	83	64	26d	—	—	+9	11.6	9.75/1	40 3%
Unexposed filly but opening mark looks on the high side and she needs improvement

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Prepense	5/2	5/2	5/2	9/4	9/4
Marksman Queen	9/4	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2
Maid In Kentucky	5	5	4	9/2	5
Tamarama	10	9	8	8	9
Beccara Rose	14	12	12	11	12
Molly Valentine	16	14	14	14	14
Rainbow Sky	14	12	14	14	14
Speriamo	20	16	18	16	16
Mayfair Gold	20	22	20	22	22
Crystal Casque	33	33	25	28	33
Switchel	40	33	33	33	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Marksman Queen

34.4

OR: 8.5 Form: 17 Odds: 8.9

5/2

2nd

Prepense

OR: 8.8 Form: 10 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Rainbow Sky

18.3

OR: 8.8 Form: 7 Odds: 2.5

Maid In Kentucky

12.4

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Switchel

11.6

OR: 6 Form: 5 Odds: 0.6

Tamarama

11.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Beccara Rose

8.7

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Speriamo

8.5

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Molly Valentine

8.1

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Crystal Casque

7.8

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Mayfair Gold

6.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Prepense	85	94	—
Tamarama	85	91	63
Rainbow Sky	85	89	61
Marksman Queen	84	89	71
Maid In Kentucky	82	91	74
Speriamo	79	88	51
Beccara Rose	78	86	71
Crystal Casque	78	89	74
Molly Valentine	74	89	66
Switchel	74	83	64
Mayfair Gold	73	91	66

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tamarama	12d ago	Quick return
Mayfair Gold	20d ago	Fit
Beccara Rose	25d ago	Fit
Switchel	26d ago	Fit
Marksman Queen	30d ago	Fit
Maid In Kentucky	36d ago	Fit
Rainbow Sky	38d ago	Fit
Prepense	48d ago	Fresh
Molly Valentine	56d ago	Fresh
Crystal Casque	61d ago	Fresh
Speriamo	72d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.