Download The At The Races App Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:50

Download The At The Races App Handicap

Date 2023-06-21

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,873

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (8)	Vitralite Brown J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	130	—	-11353	70	86	73	8d	—	—	-8	24.5	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Running well since returning from Hong Kong but has stamina to prove
3 (5)	Bashful Bay J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Iain Jardine	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Iain Jardine	133	tp	21-241	73	85	39	45d	—	—	-7	11.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Back to winning form at Hamilton last month; no problem with longer trip and considered
1 (4)	Irish Flame Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	137	—	51-5	77	85	69	141d	—	—	-4	11.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
1m winner here and bred to appreciate the longer trip on handicap debut; watch market
6 (3)	Flag Of Truth Bay J:Taylor Fisher(5) T:Archie Watson	J:Taylor Fisher(5) T:Archie Watson	129	p	3-0294	69	89	14	17d	—	—	+1	9.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Only beaten a neck over 1m here last month, but this trip has looked too far for him
7 (1)	Cavalluccio Brown J:P J McDonald T:Alice Haynes	J:P J McDonald T:Alice Haynes	129	h	212324	69	86	74	22d	—	—	+7	15.5	2.00/1	9 11%
Two wins on the AW in the spring and has continued to run consistently well since
2 (2)	Sagauteur Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Rebecca Menzies	133	t	60757-	73	89	-	273d	—	—	0	7.9	2.25/1	10 10%
Makes stable debut and lower in weights than for both wins last year; tongue-tie on
8 (6)	Danielsflyer Bay J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:David Thompson	J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:David Thompson	129	—	80-170	69	86	57	36d	—	—	+2	5.8	4.75/1	20 5%
Dual course winner, but hasn't shone in two previous attempts over this far
4 (7)	Tahasun Bay J:Ray Dawson T:Henry Spiller	J:Ray Dawson T:Henry Spiller	133	v	210-06	73	86	58	11d	—	—	+3	6.6	6.00/1	25 4%
Has failed to beat a rival in her last three starts so has a bit to prove for now

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Vitralite	13/8	6/4	6/4	6/4	6/4
Bashful	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Irish Flame	11/2	5	11/2	11/2	11/2
Flag Of Truth	9	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Cavalluccio	9	9	9	9	9
Sagauteur	9	10	10	10	10
Danielsflyer	20	20	20	20	20
Tahasun	25	22	22	25	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Vitralite

24.5

OR: 5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 10

13/8

2nd

Cavalluccio

15.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.2

3rd

Bashful

11.2

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

10/3

Irish Flame

11.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Flag Of Truth

9.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Sagauteur

7.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Tahasun

6.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Danielsflyer

5.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Irish Flame	77	85	69
Bashful	73	85	39
Sagauteur	73	89	—
Tahasun	73	86	58
Vitralite	70	86	73
Flag Of Truth	69	89	14
Cavalluccio	69	86	74
Danielsflyer	69	86	57

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Vitralite	8d ago	Quick return
Tahasun	11d ago	Quick return
Flag Of Truth	17d ago	Fit
Cavalluccio	22d ago	Fit
Danielsflyer	36d ago	Fit
Bashful	45d ago	Fit
Irish Flame	141d ago	Long break
Sagauteur	273d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.