Royal Ascot Tips On attheraces.com Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

20:55

Royal Ascot Tips On attheraces.com Handicap

Date 2023-06-21

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,245

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (11)	Macho Pride Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Ruth Carr	J:Faye McManoman T:Ruth Carr	135	—	872232	55	71	47	7d	—	—	-6	20.4	0.56/1	9/4 31%
C&D second to Beast Of Burden last month and three podiums out of three since; chance
4 (9)	Enderman Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Paul Midgley	J:Cam Hardie T:Paul Midgley	135	p	6-2772	55	69	60	40d	—	—	-7	4.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Long losing run, but two near misses this term both came over galloping 6f (one C&D)
1 (5)	Quercus Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Ann Duffield	J:Connor Beasley T:Ann Duffield	135	p	47-041	55	70	47	11d	—	—	-6	4.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Another Catterick 6f win latest; down from 0-70 class, but yet to shine on Tapeta
5 (6)	Yaahobby Bay J:Mark Winn(5) T:Antony Brittain	J:Mark Winn(5) T:Antony Brittain	134	tp	753425	54	67	58	7d	—	—	-1	7.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Drops to 0-55 company for the first time, and he's respected back over 6f on Tapeta
NR (12)	Beast Of Burden Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Ronald Thompson	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Ronald Thompson	131	t	709710	51	66	47	7d	—	—	-1	10.3	2.50/1	11 9%
Beat Macho Pride over C&D last month before not handling Hamilton latest; may bounce back
8 (2)	Variety Island Bay J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:Simon Whitaker	J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:Simon Whitaker	132	p	3-0585	52	68	48	15d	—	—	-4	5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
C&D scorer off 4lb higher in October 2021; close fifth in 7f race not run to suit latest
6 (14)	Mcqueen Chestnut J:Ray Dawson T:Henry Spiller	J:Ray Dawson T:Henry Spiller	134	b	463405	54	69	53	7d	—	—	-3	3.8	2.50/1	11 9%
Never getting there in time at Yarmouth latest (6f) and remains winless below 1m
2 (13)	Fantasy Navigator Bay J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Michael Appleby	135	—	6680-6	55	67	39	40d	—	—	-4	3.2	2.50/1	11 9%
7lb below mark of Kempton 6f win this time last year; others arrive in better heart
13 (4)	Darker Bay J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Ruth Carr	J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Ruth Carr	130	—	8-6056	50	63	31	23d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Note quite seen out 7f the last twice; plenty of encouragement on breeding for sprints
12 (10)	Kraken Florida Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:John Wainwright	J:Cieren Fallon T:John Wainwright	130	p	-23513	50	67	58	96d	—	—	+7	13.6	2.75/1	12 8%
Win and near third in C&D classifieds the last twice (blew start latest); fair claims
9 (7)	Joshua R Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Helen Cuthbert	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Helen Cuthbert	131	p	-19884	51	69	64	44d	—	—	-1	3.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Better than bare form when back on track here last month; last 16 races all over 5f
7 (1)	Sydney Bay Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Ann Duffield	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Ann Duffield	132	p	4869-0	52	58	33	12d	—	—	-2	1.4	6.75/1	28 4%
Chance on form of C&D 2yo novice second in 2021, but last of 15 on this month's return
14 (8)	Mutabaahy Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Antony Brittain	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Antony Brittain	128	p	756108	48	66	53	8d	—	—	+3	5.7	8.00/1	33 3%
Last eight wins on this surface, but over 5f; 7l behind Beast Of Burden last month (C&D)
10 (3)	Roman Blaze Bay J:Dale Swift T:Jessica Bedi	J:Dale Swift T:Jessica Bedi	131	h	76058	51	65	-	21d	—	—	-1	0.7	16.25/1	66 2%
Too slowly away dropped to 5f latest; useful mark next to previous best, but work to do

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Macho Pride	2	2	2	11/5	9/4
Enderman	7	6	6	13/2	13/2
Quercus	8	15/2	13/2	15/2	15/2
Yaahobby	8	17/2	8	17/2	17/2
Beast Of Burden	6	11	11	11	11
Variety Island	9	17/2	8	17/2	17/2
Mcqueen	11	11	11	11	11
Fantasy Navigator	11	11	11	11	10
Darker	14	14	12	14	14
Kraken Florida	12	12	11	12	12
Joshua R	16	16	14	16	14
Sydney Bay	25	28	25	28	25
Mutabaahy	33	33	28	33	28
Roman Blaze	66	66	50	66	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Macho Pride

20.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 11.1 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Kraken Florida

13.6

OR: 0 Form: 11.9 Odds: 1.7

3rd

Beast Of Burden

10.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 7 Odds: 3.1

Yaahobby

7.8

OR: 1 Form: 4.4 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Mutabaahy

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0.7

Variety Island

OR: 0.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Enderman

4.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Quercus

4.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Mcqueen

3.8

OR: 1 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.9

Joshua R

3.6

OR: 0.3 Form: 2 Odds: 1.4

Fantasy Navigator

3.2

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Darker

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Sydney Bay

1.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Roman Blaze

0.7

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Macho Pride	55	71	47
Enderman	55	69	60
Quercus	55	70	47
Fantasy Navigator	55	67	39
Yaahobby	54	67	58
Mcqueen	54	69	53
Variety Island	52	68	48
Sydney Bay	52	58	33
Beast Of Burden	51	66	47
Joshua R	51	69	64
Roman Blaze	51	65	—
Darker	50	63	31
Kraken Florida	50	67	58
Mutabaahy	48	66	53

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Macho Pride	7d ago	Quick return
Yaahobby	7d ago	Quick return
Beast Of Burden	7d ago	Quick return
Mcqueen	7d ago	Quick return
Mutabaahy	8d ago	Quick return
Quercus	11d ago	Quick return
Sydney Bay	12d ago	Quick return
Variety Island	15d ago	Fit
Roman Blaze	21d ago	Fit
Darker	23d ago	Fit
Enderman	40d ago	Fit
Fantasy Navigator	40d ago	Fit
Joshua R	44d ago	Fit
Kraken Florida	96d ago	Long break