Royal Ascot On Sky Sports Racing EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Newcastle (AW)

19:20

Date 2023-06-21

Distance 5f

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £8,100

Winning Time 1m 0.54s (slow by 2.74s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Kylian (IRE) P J McDonald · K R Burke	5/2	Won
2nd	Moonstone Boy (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Iain Jardine	8/1	4
3rd	Blue Prince (IRE) Cam Hardie · Richard Fahey	10/1	2.75
4th	Nariko (IRE) Cieren Fallon · Kevin Ryan	5/4F	.75
5th	Blue Force (IRE) Ray Dawson · Roger Varian	5/1	0.2

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (4)	Nariko Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Kevin Ryan	J:Cieren Fallon T:Kevin Ryan	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-29	14.2	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Half-sister to a 2yo Group 3 winner and was sold for 600,000gns in April
3 (5)	Kylian Bay J:P J McDonald T:K R Burke	J:P J McDonald T:K R Burke	133	—	32	-	92	-	19d	—	—	-12	15.5	0.25/1	2 50%
Useful form in defeat on both starts; ought to win a race of this nature soon
1 (1)	Blue Force Bay J:Ray Dawson T:Roger Varian	J:Ray Dawson T:Roger Varian	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-9	3.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
£220,000 (breeze-up) 2yo; half-brother to a 6f 2yo winner; looks very interesting on paper
4 (2)	Moonstone Boy Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Iain Jardine	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Iain Jardine	133	—	322	-	90	-	38d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+5	12.1	2.50/1	11 9%
Probably ran to useful level when second on last two outings; in the mix again
2 (6)	Blue Prince Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	133	—	5	-	77	-	74d	—	—	-5	1.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Shaped with promise when fifth on debut, in a race that has worked out well
NR (3)	Sergeant Mayer Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	133	—	5	-	49	-	31d	—	—	-2	0.8	49.75/1	200 1%
Beaten about 20l when 40-1 for last month's Ripon debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Nariko	10/11	5/4	11/10	6/5	6/5
Kylian	2	2	2	2	2
Blue Force	7	6	6	6	13/2
Moonstone Boy	11	10	10	10	10
Blue Prince	12	10	11	11	11
Sergeant Mayer	200	80	80	66	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kylian

15.5

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 8.4

2nd

Nariko

14.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 14.2

5/4

3rd

Moonstone Boy

12.1

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

Blue Force

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Blue Prince

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Sergeant Mayer

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

200

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Nariko	—	—	—
Kylian	—	92	—
Blue Force	—	—	—
Moonstone Boy	—	90	—
Blue Prince	—	77	—
Sergeant Mayer	—	49	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kylian	19d ago	Fit
Sergeant Mayer	31d ago	Fit
Moonstone Boy	38d ago	Fit
Blue Prince	74d ago	Fresh
Nariko	—	—
Blue Force	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.