Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

20:20

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

Date 2023-06-21

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,245

Winning Time 1m 43.03s (slow by 6.23s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Pop Favorite (GB) Elisha Whittington · Scott Dixon	14/1	Won
2nd	Ghost Rider (IRE) Oliver Stammers · Grant Tuer	11/2	1.75
3rd	Cusack (GB) Sean Kirrane · David Thompson	10/1	.5
4th	Bold Territories (IRE) Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	12/1	.5
5th	Mekbat (FR) Cam Hardie · Susan Corbett	66/1	.5
6th	Squeezebox (IRE) Frederick Larson · Michael Appleby	15/8F	0.2
7th	Eleven Eleven (FR) Ben Sanderson · Jessica Macey	7/1	1.25
8th	Inexplicable (IRE) Mark Winn · Antony Brittain	14/1	1.25
9th	Yeeeaah (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Tristan Davidson	9/1	1.75
10th	Old News (GB) Billy Loughnane · Linda Stubbs	12/1	4
11th	Secret Daay (GB) Faye McManoman · David Thompson	80/1	2.5
12th	Rumnotred (GB) Cieren Fallon · Stella Barclay	22/1	2.25

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (4)	Squeezebox Chestnut J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	135	—	04-971	64	81	59	7d	—	—	-17	12.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Yarmouth win upped to 1m latest despite refusing to settle; big player off same mark
1 (9)	Ghost Rider Bay J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	135	—	976-37	64	83	54	20d	—	—	-4	6.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
7f novice winner here in winter 2021; poor at Ripon latest, but new career-low mark now
8 (1)	Bold Territories Chestnut J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	128	p	380-45	57	78	60	41d	—	—	-5	4.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Back to a winning mark and effective over trip and surface; turn appears to be nearing
4 (2)	Eleven Eleven Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Jessica Macey	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Jessica Macey	134	h	412358	63	77	66	22d	—	—	+2	10.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
C&D record of 12412 and will appreciate this switch back from turf; usually takes a grip
5 (7)	Cusack Bay J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:David Thompson	J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:David Thompson	132	p	-61658	61	75	45	23d	—	—	-1	8.3	2.00/1	9 11%
More effective over further now (dual 1m2f winner here); 2lb above his last winning mark
7 (11)	Yeeeaah Grey J:Paul Mulrennan T:Tristan Davidson	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Tristan Davidson	129	—	3334-5	58	78	-	8d	—	—	-4	4.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Quickly out to consolidate form of last week's stable/seasonal debut; untried on Tapeta
2 (12)	Old News Bay J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Linda Stubbs	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Linda Stubbs	135	p	5-5084	64	79	56	50d	—	—	-2	5.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Track is fine, galloping 1m test likewise; no impact on first drop to a Class 6 latest
9 (6)	Inexplicable gr/b J:Mark Winn(5) T:Antony Brittain	J:Mark Winn(5) T:Antony Brittain	126	tv	392194	55	77	70	16d	—	—	+3	9.5	2.75/1	12 8%
Par performance at Wolverhampton latest, but less persuasive over galloping tracks
12 (10)	Pop Favorite Bay J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	116	b	387340	45	75	58	27d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-2	2.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Career-low mark and has won here before; not always minded to help his rider these days
6 (5)	Rumnotred Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Stella Barclay	J:Cieren Fallon T:Stella Barclay	129	—	507656	58	77	59	23d	—	—	-1	3.2	5.25/1	22 5%
Perhaps better at 7f than further, but not as persuasive as some here either way
10 (3)	Mekbat Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Susan Corbett	J:Cam Hardie T:Susan Corbett	126	—	8864-0	55	74	-	22d	—	—	-1	2.2	12.25/1	50 2%
Saw out 1m okay on final 2022 start; have to hope his return run last month was needed
11 (8)	Secret Daay Bay J:Faye McManoman T:David Thompson	J:Faye McManoman T:David Thompson	122	p	038/00	51	69	41	23d	—	—	-2	1	16.25/1	66 2%
Yet to offer much since 19-month absence; 1m trip asks a new question; cheekpieces added

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Squeezebox	15/8	15/8	15/8	7/4	15/8
Ghost Rider	6	13/2	13/2	6	13/2
Bold Territories	7	7	7	7	15/2
Eleven Eleven	17/2	8	8	8	15/2
Cusack	8	8	8	8	9
Yeeeaah	9	9	17/2	8	17/2
Old News	12	17/2	11	11	12
Inexplicable	11	12	12	12	12
Pop Favorite	14	16	16	16	16
Rumnotred	22	22	22	22	20
Mekbat	50	50	50	20	50
Secret Daay	66	40	33	33	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Squeezebox

12.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

15/8

2nd

Eleven Eleven

10.8

OR: 3.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

3rd

Inexplicable

9.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.7

Cusack

8.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

Ghost Rider

6.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Old News

5.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Bold Territories

4.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Yeeeaah

4.4

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Rumnotred

3.2

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Pop Favorite

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

Mekbat

2.2

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Secret Daay

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Squeezebox	64	81	59
Ghost Rider	64	83	54
Old News	64	79	56
Eleven Eleven	63	77	66
Cusack	61	75	45
Yeeeaah	58	78	—
Rumnotred	58	77	59
Bold Territories	57	78	60
Inexplicable	55	77	70
Mekbat	55	74	—
Secret Daay	51	69	41
Pop Favorite	45	75	58

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Squeezebox	7d ago	Quick return
Yeeeaah	8d ago	Quick return
Inexplicable	16d ago	Fit
Ghost Rider	20d ago	Fit
Eleven Eleven	22d ago	Fit
Mekbat	22d ago	Fit
Cusack	23d ago	Fit
Rumnotred	23d ago	Fit
Secret Daay	23d ago	Fit
Pop Favorite	27d ago	Fit
Bold Territories	41d ago	Fit
Old News	50d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.