Unibet Horserace Betting Operator Of The Year Apprentice Handicap

Kempton (AW)

17:15

Date 2023-06-28

Distance 7f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 27.56s (slow by 3.16s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Boom Boom Pow (GB) Joe Leavy · Jo Davis	13/2	Won
2nd	Island Luck (GB) Alec Voikhansky · Richard Hannon	13/2	2.5
3rd	White Mist (GB) Kaiya Fraser · Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	7/1	.5
4th	Moondial (GB) Alex Jary · Daniel & Claire Kubler	7/2	0.3
5th	Musterion (IRE) Jonathan Fisher · John Butler	3/1F	1
6th	Giddy Aunt (GB) Tyler Saunders · Jonathan Portman	20/1	1
7th	Ceilidh (GB) Ethan Jones · George Baker	9/1	1.5
8th	Desert Swirl (IRE) Taylor Fisher · Archie Watson	28/1	1.5
9th	Fornham St Martin (GB) Luke Catton · Stuart Williams	11/1	1
10th	Kentucky Bourbon (IRE) Rose Dawes · J S Moore	28/1	6

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (3)	Moondial Bay J:Alex Jary(3) T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Alex Jary(3) T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	140	—	6-3431	60	61	42	10d	—	—	-11	8.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Juvenile C&D winner; carries 6lb extra for a recent Salisbury win (7f; came under A. Jary)
4 (2)	Musterion Bay J:Jonathan Fisher T:John Butler	J:Jonathan Fisher T:John Butler	135	—	886822	55	63	46	25d	—	—	-2	14.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
No match for a Sir Mark Prescott-trained improver at Lingfield (1m2f); drops back in trip.
5 (6)	Boom Boom Pow Grey J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Jo Davis	J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Jo Davis	134	—	878-52	54	68	39	10d	—	—	-8	4.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Maiden (0-12); close second to Moondial at Salisbury (7f); every chance of revenge here.
3 (8)	Island Luck Bay J:Alec Voikhansky T:Richard Hannon	J:Alec Voikhansky T:Richard Hannon	137	—	987	57	58	25	15d	—	—	-6	4.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Low-key; took a backward step at Salisbury last time; improvement needed on handicap debut
8 (9)	Ceilidh Chestnut J:Ethan Jones(7) T:George Baker	J:Ethan Jones(7) T:George Baker	131	b	80-533	51	64	31	15d	—	—	-7	2.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Placed on last two starts (Carlisle and Brighton); breakthrough not necessarily imminent.
7 (7)	White Mist Grey J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	131	t	98-830	51	67	35	36d	—	—	-7	3.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
0-7; placed in first-time tongue-tie at Wolverhampton but poor at Brighton since
6 (1)	Fornham St Martin Bay J:Luke Catton T:Stuart Williams	J:Luke Catton T:Stuart Williams	132	—	5-407	52	64	44	34d	—	—	-4	2.2	2.75/1	12 8%
0-4; poor draw on Wolverhampton return (from gelding operation); extra yardage could suit.
2 (10)	Giddy Aunt Grey J:Tyler Saunders T:Jonathan Portman	J:Tyler Saunders T:Jonathan Portman	137	—	788-06	57	62	-	10d	—	—	-1	3	4.75/1	20 5%
Still seeking first win (0-6) and has work to do with Moondial (from Salisbury); AW debut.
9 (5)	Desert Swirl Bay J:Taylor Fisher T:Archie Watson	J:Taylor Fisher T:Archie Watson	130	b	8849	50	62	36	10d	—	—	-3	1.1	5.25/1	22 5%
Poor so far (0-4), and toiled behind Moondial at Salisbury last time; blinkers go on.
10 (4)	Kentucky Bourbon Bay J:Rose Dawes(3) T:J S Moore	J:Rose Dawes(3) T:J S Moore	126	—	-88000	46	59	30	20d	—	—	-2	0.9	8.00/1	33 3%
Maiden (0-6); no positive signs yet; safe enough to look elsewhere for the solution.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Moondial	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Musterion	4	7/2	4	7/2	7/2
Boom Boom Pow	5	5	11/2	5	5
Island Luck	6	6	6	6	13/2
Ceilidh	8	15/2	8	8	15/2
White Mist	8	15/2	7	15/2	15/2
Fornham St Martin	12	12	12	12	12
Giddy Aunt	20	20	18	20	20
Desert Swirl	22	22	22	22	22
Kentucky Bourbon	33	28	28	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Musterion

14.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5

7/2

2nd

Moondial

8.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

3rd

Island Luck

4.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Boom Boom Pow

4.6

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

White Mist

3.1

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Giddy Aunt

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Ceilidh

2.9

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Fornham St Martin

2.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Desert Swirl

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Kentucky Bourbon

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Moondial	60	61	42
Island Luck	57	58	25
Giddy Aunt	57	62	—
Musterion	55	63	46
Boom Boom Pow	54	68	39
Fornham St Martin	52	64	44
Ceilidh	51	64	31
White Mist	51	67	35
Desert Swirl	50	62	36
Kentucky Bourbon	46	59	30

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Moondial	10d ago	Quick return
Boom Boom Pow	10d ago	Quick return
Giddy Aunt	10d ago	Quick return
Desert Swirl	10d ago	Quick return
Island Luck	15d ago	Fit
Ceilidh	15d ago	Fit
Kentucky Bourbon	20d ago	Fit
Musterion	25d ago	Fit
Fornham St Martin	34d ago	Fit
White Mist	36d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.