Skopes Menswear Metrocentre Store Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Newcastle (AW)

14:45

Date 2023-06-29

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,373

Winning Time 1m 15.56s (slow by 5.16s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Ambushed (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · Archie Watson	15/2	Won
2nd	Ballymount Boy (IRE) Jason Hart · Adrian Paul Keatley	7/2	0.3
3rd	Terrorise (GB) Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	22/1	3
4th	Biloxi Boy (IRE) Sam James · K R Burke	16/5	1.5
5th	Never Fear (IRE) Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	5/1	1
6th	Space Ninja (IRE) P J McDonald · James Horton	14/1	3.75
7th	Half Moon Rising (IRE) Cam Hardie · Ollie Pears	18/1	1
8th	D Point (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · Marco Botti	3/1F	9.5

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (1)	Ballymount Boy Bay J:Jason Hart T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Jason Hart T:Adrian Paul Keatley	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-15	6.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Stable does have the occasional 2yo winner first time out and he's worth a market check
5 (6)	D Point Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Marco Botti	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Marco Botti	130	—	7	-	78	-	22d	—	—	-14	5.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Held on his Newbury debut but should improve and is a half-brother to a course winner
1 (8)	Biloxi Boy Bay J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	136	—	31	-	87	-	22d	—	—	-1	17.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Off the mark at Ripon last time; form not boosted since but he's still a major player
2 (2)	Never Fear Chestnut J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	131	—	17	77	86	63	19d	—	—	+4	17.8	1.00/1	5 20%
Wolverhampton debut winner before held in the Hilary Needler; player back down in grade
3 (7)	Ambushed Chestnut J:Daniel Tudhope T:Archie Watson	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Archie Watson	130	p	9	-	39	-	34d	—	—	-7	2.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Completely blew start on debut but should show more with a cleaner break; cheekpieces on
7 (5)	Space Ninja Bay J:P J McDonald T:James Horton	J:P J McDonald T:James Horton	130	—	6	-	62	-	15d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Well beaten on his Haydock debut 15 days ago; needs to improve
6 (3)	Half Moon Rising Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Ollie Pears	J:Cam Hardie T:Ollie Pears	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	9.75/1	40 3%
Stable had a rare winning 2yo newcomer at Redcar on Friday, though that was in a seller
8 (4)	Terrorise Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	8.00/1	33 3%
Already gelded and stable is not a noted source of winning 2yo newcomers

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Ballymount Boy	11/4	3	3	3	3
D Point	7/2	10/3	3	10/3	7/2
Biloxi Boy	7/2	10/3	10/3	7/2	7/2
Never Fear	5	5	5	5	5
Ambushed	17/2	15/2	7	15/2	8
Space Ninja	10	17/2	8	17/2	8
Half Moon Rising	40	40	40	40	33
Terrorise	33	25	28	28	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Never Fear

17.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 7 Odds: 4

2nd

Biloxi Boy

17.3

OR: 0 Form: 12.1 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Ballymount Boy

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

11/4

D Point

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Ambushed

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Space Ninja

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Terrorise

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Half Moon Rising

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Never Fear	77	86	63
Ballymount Boy	—	—	—
D Point	—	78	—
Biloxi Boy	—	87	—
Ambushed	—	39	—
Space Ninja	—	62	—
Half Moon Rising	—	—	—
Terrorise	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Space Ninja	15d ago	Fit
Never Fear	19d ago	Fit
D Point	22d ago	Fit
Biloxi Boy	22d ago	Fit
Ambushed	34d ago	Fit
Ballymount Boy	—	—
Half Moon Rising	—	—
Terrorise	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.