JenningsBet In Pontefract Gosforth Park Cup Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:00

JenningsBet In Pontefract Gosforth Park Cup Handicap

Date 2023-06-30

Distance 5f

Class Class 2

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £25,770

Winning Time 57.64s (fast by 0.16s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Vintage Clarets (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Richard Fahey	12/1	Won
2nd	Korker (IRE) Clifford Lee · K R Burke	10/1	1.25
3rd	Fine Wine (FR) Phil Dennis · Scott Dixon	12/1	0.3
4th	Makanah (GB) Paul Hanagan · Julie Camacho	10/1	.5
5th	Mondammej (GB) Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	7/1	1.25
6th	King Of Bavaria (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Michael Appleby	12/1	0.2
7th	Arecibo (FR) Ben Curtis · Robert Cowell	33/1	.5
8th	The Thin Blue Line (IRE) Andrew Breslin · Keith Dalgleish	28/1	.75
9th	Elegant Erin (IRE) Graham Lee · Paul Midgley	40/1	.5
10th	Intrinsic Bond (GB) Connor Beasley · Tracy Waggott	14/1	.75
11th	Bedford Flyer (IRE) Lewis Edmunds · Michael Appleby	7/2	0.3
12th	Look Out Louis (GB) Ryan Sexton · Julie Camacho	28/1	0.2
13th	Badri (GB) Hollie Doyle · Ruth Carr	5/2F	1.25
14th	One Night Stand (GB) Dale Swift · Scott Dixon	50/1	2.5

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (14)	Badri Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Ruth Carr	J:Hollie Doyle T:Ruth Carr	136	—	148161	100	113	61	27d	—	—	+13	33.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Three-time C&D winner who has been in the form of his life of late; obvious contender
8 (12)	Bedford Flyer Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Michael Appleby	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Michael Appleby	132	p	2-7636	96	112	90	34d	—	—	+4	19.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Running well on turf and there's a suspicion he's slightly better on Tapeta; interesting
7 (4)	Mondammej Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	132	—	-54282	96	114	-	12d	—	—	+11	22.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
On a 17-race losing run but has gone close in his last two handicaps and is effective here
5 (13)	Makanah Bay J:Paul Hanagan T:Julie Camacho	J:Paul Hanagan T:Julie Camacho	135	—	561-85	99	115	-	44d	—	—	+6	14.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Ran well over 6f at York last time and 5f seems to suit better; third in this last year
2 (1)	Korker Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	138	—	7-0206	102	113	-	20d	—	—	+7	15.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Can be slowly away but he can be given a chance on this season's best form; AW debut
1 (2)	Fine Wine Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Scott Dixon	J:Phil Dennis T:Scott Dixon	138	b	1-2737	102	112	96	20d	—	—	+15	21.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Front-runner who is a two-time C&D winner and capable of a bold bid
12 (9)	Vintage Clarets Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Richard Fahey	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Richard Fahey	125	—	9-2401	89	112	-	13d	—	—	+5	11.5	3.25/1	14 7%
Up just 2lb for recent Chester win and he's a possible player on AW debut
4 (5)	King Of Bavaria Black J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	135	t	472718	99	112	78	12d	—	—	+17	22.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Up and down on last few starts but won at Windsor and has run well here; not discounted
10 (8)	Intrinsic Bond Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Tracy Waggott	J:Connor Beasley T:Tracy Waggott	129	—	0-0828	93	111	-	23d	—	—	+7	12.1	3.75/1	16 6%
C&D winner who went very close two starts ago but has struggled otherwise this season
9 (6)	Look Out Louis Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Julie Camacho	129	p	10-760	93	106	68	27d	—	—	+8	12	4.75/1	20 5%
Out of form on last two starts but has had wind op and is below last winning mark
14 (10)	The Thin Blue Line b/br J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Keith Dalgleish	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Keith Dalgleish	117	—	012500	81	112	-	5d	—	—	+9	12.2	6.75/1	28 4%
Won at Musselburgh in April but form on his last three starts hasn't been up to scratch
6 (3)	Arecibo Bay J:Ben Curtis T:Robert Cowell	J:Ben Curtis T:Robert Cowell	135	tp	822080	99	112	71	20d	—	—	+13	15.5	8.00/1	33 3%
On a handy mark on form as recent as April but hasn't shone on his last three starts
13 (7)	Elegant Erin Bay J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	121	—	15331-	85	110	-	289d	—	—	+22	25.1	9.75/1	40 3%
Highly progressive last season with four wins; in a warm race on return but not ruled out
11 (11)	One Night Stand Bay J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	127	p	4-0955	91	109	74	12d	—	—	+9	10.8	12.25/1	50 2%
Good fifth in Epsom Dash but below par since and Polytrack may be preferable to Tapeta

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Badri	3	11/4	10/3	16/5	11/4
Bedford Flyer	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Mondammej	13/2	6	13/2	6	6
Makanah	8	8	15/2	8	15/2
Korker	8	17/2	9	17/2	17/2
Fine Wine	12	11	11	12	12
Vintage Clarets	14	11	11	11	11
King Of Bavaria	16	14	14	14	12
Intrinsic Bond	16	16	14	16	14
Look Out Louis	20	18	18	18	18
The Thin Blue Line	28	22	22	22	22
Arecibo	33	28	28	28	28
Elegant Erin	40	33	40	40	33
One Night Stand	50	40	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Badri

33.7

OR: 12.5 Form: 15 Odds: 6.2

10/3

2nd

Elegant Erin

25.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 15.6 Odds: 0.7

3rd

King Of Bavaria

22.4

OR: 12.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.6

Mondammej

22.1

OR: 11.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Fine Wine

21.9

OR: 13 Form: 7 Odds: 1.9

Bedford Flyer

19.4

OR: 11.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Arecibo

15.5

OR: 12.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.8

Korker

15.4

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Makanah

14.8

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

The Thin Blue Line

12.2

OR: 7.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1

Intrinsic Bond

12.1

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Look Out Louis

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Vintage Clarets

11.5

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

One Night Stand

10.8

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Korker	102	113	—
Fine Wine	102	112	96
Badri	100	113	61
Makanah	99	115	—
King Of Bavaria	99	112	78
Arecibo	99	112	71
Bedford Flyer	96	112	90
Mondammej	96	114	—
Intrinsic Bond	93	111	—
Look Out Louis	93	106	68
One Night Stand	91	109	74
Vintage Clarets	89	112	—
Elegant Erin	85	110	—
The Thin Blue Line	81	112	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
The Thin Blue Line	5d ago	Quick return
Mondammej	12d ago	Quick return
King Of Bavaria	12d ago	Quick return
One Night Stand	12d ago	Quick return
Vintage Clarets	13d ago	Quick return
Korker	20d ago	Fit
Fine Wine	20d ago	Fit
Arecibo	20d ago	Fit
Intrinsic Bond	23d ago	Fit
Badri	27d ago	Fit
Look Out Louis	27d ago	Fit
Bedford Flyer	34d ago	Fit
Makanah	44d ago	Fit
Elegant Erin	289d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Fine Wine	Front Runner
Bedford Flyer	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 14 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.