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Newcastle (AW)

17:30 ✓ Result

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

Date 2023-06-30
Distance 5f
Class Class 5
Going Standard To Slow
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £4,501
Winning Time 58.71s (slow by 0.91s)

Result

Pos Horse SP Btn
1st 11/2 Won
2nd 11/4F 0.2
3rd 15/2 0.3
4th 22/1 .75
5th 15/2 1.5
6th 9/1 0.05
7th 18/1 0.2
8th 13/2 0.3
9th 33/1 .5
10th 50/1 .75
11th 14/1 0.3
12th 40/1 0.05
13th 16/1 0.3
14th 20/1 3

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
2 (13)
Dandy Dinmont
Bay
J:Phil Dennis
T:Nigel Tinkler
J:Phil Dennis
T:Nigel Tinkler
 142 — 223425
75
81
73
 15d — — -4
18.3
0.69/1
11/4
27%
Unfavourably drawn at Haydock last time and has a good record over this C&D
3 (9)
Nelson Gay
Bay
J:Connor Beasley
T:Michael Dods
J:Connor Beasley
T:Michael Dods
 142 p 4-4683
75
83
69
 20d — — -3
9.9
1.38/1
11/2
15%
3rd at Catterick and this two-time Tapeta winner should be suited by today's stiffer test
5 (5)
Show Me Show Me
Bay
J:Jack Garritty
T:Richard Fahey
J:Jack Garritty
T:Richard Fahey
 140 p 33-009
73
84
73
 19d — — -3
9.4
1.38/1
11/2
15%
Encouraging signs at Beverley last time and this C&D winner is well handicapped
1 (6)
Little Muddy
Bay
J:Dale Swift
T:Seb Spencer
J:Dale Swift
T:Seb Spencer
 142 — 3-1214
75
80
-
 41d — — +2
10.9
1.88/1
15/2
12%
Two wins this spring and good fourth of 16 at Doncaster last time; could be a player
6 (12)
Prodigious Blue
Bay
J:Faye McManoman
T:Nigel Tinkler
J:Faye McManoman
T:Nigel Tinkler
 139 — 8-5014
72
81
59
 36d — — -1
8
2.13/1
17/2
11%
Won over C&D last month on AW debut and may have more to offer now back here
8 (4)
Newyorkstateofmind
Bay
J:Callum Rodriguez
T:Ruth Carr
J:Callum Rodriguez
T:Ruth Carr
 137 — 607219
70
81
-
 6d — — +9
16.6
2.25/1
10
10%
Disappointing last Saturday but in good form previously and is not ruled out
12 (11)
Elzaal
Bay
J:Graham Lee
T:Paul Midgley
J:Graham Lee
T:Paul Midgley
 133 — 131110
66
78
73
 52d — — +15
21.2
2.75/1
12
8%
Disappointing over C&D on May 9 but had a break since and was prolific over C&D previously
11 (3)
Run This Way
Bay
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:Paul Midgley
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:Paul Midgley
 133 — 49-767
66
74
53
 55d — — 0
5.4
4.75/1
20
5%
Well handicapped on last year's best 6f form but hasn't been at the same level this year
7 (7)
Libertus
Bay
J:Tommie Jakes(7)
T:James Fanshawe
J:Tommie Jakes(7)
T:James Fanshawe
 139 — 0-972U
72
79
37
 8d — — +3
6.6
4.75/1
20
5%
Bumped into a thriving winner when going close at Lingfield on last completed start
13 (14)
Belsito
Bay
J:Tom Eaves
T:Kevin Ryan
J:Tom Eaves
T:Kevin Ryan
 132 — 01-430
71
82
-
 21d — — +3
6.2
6.00/1
25
4%
3yo for whom things may click again at some point but he was disappointing three weeks ago
14 (8)
Ben Macdui
Bay
J:Paul Hanagan
T:Paul Midgley
J:Paul Hanagan
T:Paul Midgley
 130 — 08-737
63
77
66
 40d — — 0
4.3
5.25/1
22
5%
Continues to drop down the weights but he was soundly beaten at Ripon last time
9 (2)
Jarvis
Chestnut
J:Hollie Doyle
T:Ann Duffield
J:Hollie Doyle
T:Ann Duffield
 135 p 00-548
68
82
57
 10d — — +2
5.4
6.75/1
28
4%
Needs to raise his game but the return to this C&D could work in his favour
4 (10)
Murbih
Bay
J:Cam Hardie
T:Antony Brittain
J:Cam Hardie
T:Antony Brittain
 141 — 120200
74
81
73
 19d — — +8
10.2
9.75/1
40
3%
Unable to beat a rival on turf the last twice but the AW is his game; could go well
10 (1)
Blazing Hot
Chestnut
J:Lewis Edmunds
T:David C Griffiths
J:Lewis Edmunds
T:David C Griffiths
 134 b 1-7527
67
81
53
 10d — — +10
11.8
12.25/1
50
2%
Mixed on turf this summer for new yard but he's 0-19 on grass as opposed to 6-21 on AW
Horse bet365 William Hill Unibet Boyle Sports Ladbrokes
Dandy Dinmont
 11/4 11/4 11/4 11/4 5/2
Nelson Gay
 11/2 5 11/2 11/2 11/2
Show Me Show Me
 5 5 11/2 5 5
Little Muddy
 15/2 15/2 8 15/2 15/2
Prodigious Blue
 8 8 17/2 8 8
Newyorkstateofmind
 10 10 10 10 10
Elzaal
 12 12 12 12 12
Run This Way
 20 18 18 18 18
Libertus
 20 20 18 20 20
Belsito
 25 20 20 20 20
Ben Macdui
 22 20 20 20 20
Jarvis
 28 25 25 28 28
Murbih
 40 40 33 33 40
Blazing Hot
 50 40 33 33 33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Elzaal
21.2
OR: 4 Form: 15.6 Odds: 1.6
12
2nd Dandy Dinmont
18.3
OR: 6.3 Form: 5.4 Odds: 6.7
11/4
3rd Newyorkstateofmind
16.6
OR: 5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 2.1
10
4 Blazing Hot
11.8
OR: 4.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0.6
50
5 Little Muddy
10.9
OR: 6.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.5
15/2
6 Murbih
10.2
OR: 6 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.7
40
7 Nelson Gay
9.9
OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6
11/2
8 Show Me Show Me
9.4
OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6
11/2
9 Prodigious Blue
8
OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5
17/2
10 Libertus
6.6
OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1
20
11 Belsito
6.2
OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1
25
12 Run This Way
5.4
OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4
20
13 Jarvis
5.4
OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9
28
14 Ben Macdui
4.3
OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1
22

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Dandy Dinmont
75
81
73
Nelson Gay
75
83
69
Little Muddy
75
80
 —
Murbih
74
81
73
Show Me Show Me
73
84
73
Prodigious Blue
72
81
59
Libertus
72
79
37
Belsito
71
82
 —
Newyorkstateofmind
70
81
 —
Jarvis
68
82
57
Blazing Hot
67
81
53
Elzaal
66
78
73
Run This Way
66
74
53
Ben Macdui
63
77
66

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Newyorkstateofmind 6d ago Quick return
Libertus 8d ago Quick return
Jarvis 10d ago Quick return
Blazing Hot 10d ago Quick return
Dandy Dinmont 15d ago Fit
Show Me Show Me 19d ago Fit
Murbih 19d ago Fit
Nelson Gay 20d ago Fit
Belsito 21d ago Fit
Prodigious Blue 36d ago Fit
Ben Macdui 40d ago Fit
Little Muddy 41d ago Fit
Elzaal 52d ago Fresh
Run This Way 55d ago Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.