AJN Steelstock Handicap – Salisbury

Salisbury

20:15

AJN Steelstock Handicap

Date 2023-07-15

Distance 1m4f5y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,888

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (6)	Mr Freedom Bay J:Shane Kelly T:Sheena West	J:Shane Kelly T:Sheena West	132	p	4-1111	77	96	51	13d	—	—	-16	17.4	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Won four over hurdles and four on the Flat in the past ten months; leading claims again
NR (2)	Silastar Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Gary Moore	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Gary Moore	130	—	-62116	75	95	86	17d	—	—	+6	25.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Well held on Polytrack last time; this trip is as far as he'd want to go on a stiff course
1 (8)	Lexington Knight Chestnut J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Richard Hannon	J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Richard Hannon	135	t	532121	80	90	69	14d	—	—	+17	32.5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Should give his running again after AW win but never won a handicap off a mark this high
3 (5)	Croeso Cymraeg Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:James Evans	J:Joshua Bryan T:James Evans	134	—	5-2294	79	95	57	24d	—	—	-1	10.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
2lb lower than when winning a weaker renewal of this last year; not in the same form now
2 (1)	Liseo Bay J:Luke Morris T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Luke Morris T:Simon & Ed Crisford	134	tv	3-2732	79	92	69	22d	—	—	+3	11.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Switch to a visor will need to bring out a bit more if he's to finally break his duck
8 (9)	Eagle Court Bay J:John Fahy T:Michael Blake	J:John Fahy T:Michael Blake	129	h	0-0210	74	92	56	38d	—	—	0	8.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Didn't look to see out 2m on Polytrack last time; has won on good to firm and soft
7 (3)	Cmon Kenny Grey J:Liam Keniry T:Ian Williams	J:Liam Keniry T:Ian Williams	129	p	3-0310	74	93	63	17d	—	—	+2	10.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Unsuited by soft ground in cheekpieces latest; capable of much better
4 (7)	Wilderness Bay J:George Downing T:Seamus Mullins	J:George Downing T:Seamus Mullins	133	b	5-4926	78	94	77	29d	—	—	+2	8.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Should go well again if able to dictate as she likes, but that's not certain back at 1m4f
NR (4)	Party Island Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Denis Coakley	J:NON-RUNNER T:Denis Coakley	126	—	3-0644	71	-	-	33d	—	—	—	7.4	—	—

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Mr Freedom	6/4	6/4	13/8	6/4	11/8
Silastar	7/2	3	3	7/2	7/2
Lexington Knight	9/2	9/2	4	9/2	5/1
Croeso Cymraeg	13/2	6	6	13/2	13/2
Liseo	8	8	15/2	8	15/2
Eagle Court	9	17/2	8	17/2	17/2
Cmon Kenny	8	8	15/2	8	17/2
Wilderness	11	10	10	10	11/1
Party Island	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lexington Knight

32.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 20.6 Odds: 4.4

5/1

2nd

Silastar

25.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Mr Freedom

17.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 10.7

13/8

Liseo

11.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Cmon Kenny

10.6

OR: 6 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Croeso Cymraeg

10.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Wilderness

8.9

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Eagle Court

8.4

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Party Island

7.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lexington Knight	80	90	69
Croeso Cymraeg	79	95	57
Liseo	79	92	69
Wilderness	78	94	77
Mr Freedom	77	96	51
Silastar	75	95	86
Eagle Court	74	92	56
Cmon Kenny	74	93	63
Party Island	71	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mr Freedom	13d ago	Quick return
Lexington Knight	14d ago	Fit
Silastar	17d ago	Fit
Cmon Kenny	17d ago	Fit
Liseo	22d ago	Fit
Croeso Cymraeg	24d ago	Fit
Wilderness	29d ago	Fit
Party Island	33d ago	Fit
Eagle Court	38d ago	Fit