Scottish Sun Ladies Night Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

17:30

Scottish Sun Ladies Night Handicap

Date 2023-07-17

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (4)	Roll It In Glitter Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	131	—	368-13	73	82	70	62d	—	—	-8	11.5	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Solid form in Beverley handicaps in the spring; open to further improvement; respected
2 (7)	Real Terms Bay J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	142	—	36-657	75	84	66	35d	—	—	-4	10.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Interesting off a handy mark back in this grade; won her last two attempts in Class 5
1 (6)	Val Bassett Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	143	—	0-7707	76	79	30	23d	—	—	0	9.2	2.00/1	9 11%
Ex-French; not solid on Class 4 form for new yard but this drop in grade may suit
5 (10)	Hills Of Gold Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	133	—	68-323	75	82	68	24d	—	—	-3	9.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Close second at Carlisle and respectable third at Musselburgh since handicapping
10 (1)	Ayr Poet Bay J:William Pyle(7) T:Jim Goldie	J:William Pyle(7) T:Jim Goldie	124	—	030-65	57	81	70	12d	—	—	-6	4.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
All wins in Class 6; this step back up in grade looks a negative
11 (9)	Golden Valour Bay J:David Allan T:R Mike Smith	J:David Allan T:R Mike Smith	124	v	4-7672	57	81	72	7d	—	—	-7	5.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Close second, albeit in lower grade, over C&D last week; on long losing spell
3 (8)	Arch Moon Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	142	—	049-71	75	79	59	62d	—	—	0	8.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Scored in higher grade at Wetherby when last seen two months ago; likely player
NR (2)	Dont Look Back Grey J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	137	—	4-1527	70	79	54	64d	—	—	+1	6.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Inconsistent results this term but has a fighting chance on the best ones
9 (5)	Shes Got Bottle Bay J:Jason Hart T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jason Hart T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	130	—	42-513	63	82	61	66d	—	—	0	4.6	3.75/1	16 6%
All wins in Class 6; has a bit to prove back up in grade
7 (11)	Ebony Maw Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Ewan Whillans	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Ewan Whillans	132	—	2522-0	65	79	64	34d	—	—	0	5.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Knocking at the door last autumn; form dipped markedly on reappearance
6 (3)	Mandega Bay J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Micky Hammond	J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Micky Hammond	132	—	731825	74	74	57	17d	—	—	+10	14.1	6.75/1	28 4%
Ex-French; beaten about 8l on British debut; needs to step up on that form

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Roll It In Glitter	10/3	10/3	10/3	3	10/3
Real Terms	11/2	5	5	5	5
Val Bassett	9	8	8	7	8
Hills Of Gold	5	11/2	5	5	5
Ayr Poet	7	7	13/2	13/2	13/2
Golden Valour	13/2	13/2	11/2	6	6
Arch Moon	9	17/2	8	8	8
Dont Look Back	16	16	12	16	16
Shes Got Bottle	16	16	14	16	16
Ebony Maw	14	16	12	14	16
Mandega	25	28	22	25	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mandega

14.1

OR: 6 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1

2nd

Roll It In Glitter

11.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

3rd

Real Terms

10.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Hills Of Gold

9.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Val Bassett

9.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

Arch Moon

8.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Dont Look Back

6.6

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Ebony Maw

5.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Golden Valour

5.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Ayr Poet

4.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Shes Got Bottle

4.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Val Bassett	76	79	30
Real Terms	75	84	66
Hills Of Gold	75	82	68
Arch Moon	75	79	59
Mandega	74	74	57
Roll It In Glitter	73	82	70
Dont Look Back	70	79	54
Ebony Maw	65	79	64
Shes Got Bottle	63	82	61
Ayr Poet	57	81	70
Golden Valour	57	81	72

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Golden Valour	7d ago	Quick return
Ayr Poet	12d ago	Quick return
Mandega	17d ago	Fit
Val Bassett	23d ago	Fit
Hills Of Gold	24d ago	Fit
Ebony Maw	34d ago	Fit
Real Terms	35d ago	Fit
Roll It In Glitter	62d ago	Fresh
Arch Moon	62d ago	Fresh
Dont Look Back	64d ago	Fresh
Shes Got Bottle	66d ago	Fresh