Racing League On Sky Sports Racing Handicap – Windsor

Windsor

20:40

Racing League On Sky Sports Racing Handicap

Date 2023-07-17

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,397

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (6)	Tiffany Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	132	—	8-71V	72	86	-	6d	—	—	-13	13.5	0.56/1	9/4 31%
22-1, mowed down the favourite in 7f AW novice; favourite for voided 9.4f h'cap last week
5 (5)	Absolute Queen Bay J:William Buick T:George Boughey	J:William Buick T:George Boughey	133	p	7-4411	73	86	76	14d	—	—	-5	10.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
On a hat-trick after handicaps at Bath (1m2f, firm) and Windsor (11.4f, good to firm)
3 (3)	Molly Valentine Bay J:Jefferson Smith T:Dean Ivory	J:Jefferson Smith T:Dean Ivory	133	—	-56134	73	85	67	19d	—	—	+4	16.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Needs a bit extra but her dominance at Nottingham (1m, soft) in April was encouraging
4 (9)	Whispering Royal Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	133	—	1-4	73	84	-	17d	—	—	+6	15.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Gambled-on winner of Dundalk maiden (1m, AW); close in a 1m2f novice on return; considered
1 (4)	Natzor Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	136	p	38623	76	85	59	19d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+6	16.5	1.75/1	8 13%
Placed over 1m in his two handicaps; cheekpieces are added; bred for 1m2f+
6 (2)	Forest Demon Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	133	p	1-5553	73	84	76	24d	—	—	+5	15.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Good third at Newmarket (1m) last time; not sure to be suited by new trip; headgear now
8 (10)	Different Tone Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	128	—	759-20	68	86	51	32d	—	—	+1	5.9	4.25/1	18 6%
Something to prove for now, with penultimate piece of form miles better than the rest
10 (1)	Fougere Chestnut J:Jimmy Quinn T:Dean Ivory	J:Jimmy Quinn T:Dean Ivory	118	—	08-620	58	84	71	18d	—	—	-1	3.2	4.75/1	20 5%
2nd of five over 1m2f on heavy; failure to settle and a troubled run explain latest result
2 (8)	Tribute Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	135	v	7307	75	83	29	11d	—	—	+5	8.6	8.00/1	33 3%
Last of seven on handicap debut 11 days ago when upped to 1m2f; first-time headgear
9 (7)	Lexington Hero Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Jack Channon	J:Charles Bishop T:Jack Channon	127	—	612254	67	84	51	21d	—	—	+8	11	9.75/1	40 3%
Down in trip, which is of plausible benefit but others nevertheless look a bit more solid

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Tiffany	2	9/4	2	2	2
Absolute Queen	9/2	4	9/2	9/2	9/2
Molly Valentine	11/2	5	5	11/2	11/2
Whispering Royal	8	17/2	15/2	8	8
Natzor	8	7	7	7	7
Forest Demon	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	7
Different Tone	16	16	14	16	18
Fougere	20	18	16	20	20
Tribute	33	28	25	33	33
Lexington Hero	40	40	33	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Molly Valentine

16.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 3.6

11/2

2nd

Natzor

16.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.9

3rd

Forest Demon

15.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 7 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Whispering Royal

15.3

OR: 5.8 Form: 7 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Tiffany

13.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8

9/4

Lexington Hero

OR: 4.3 Form: 6 Odds: 0.7

Absolute Queen

10.2

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Tribute

8.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.9

Different Tone

5.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Fougere

3.2

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Natzor	76	85	59
Tribute	75	83	29
Absolute Queen	73	86	76
Molly Valentine	73	85	67
Whispering Royal	73	84	—
Forest Demon	73	84	76
Tiffany	72	86	—
Different Tone	68	86	51
Lexington Hero	67	84	51
Fougere	58	84	71

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tiffany	6d ago	Quick return
Tribute	11d ago	Quick return
Absolute Queen	14d ago	Fit
Whispering Royal	17d ago	Fit
Fougere	18d ago	Fit
Molly Valentine	19d ago	Fit
Natzor	19d ago	Fit
Lexington Hero	21d ago	Fit
Forest Demon	24d ago	Fit
Different Tone	32d ago	Fit