Ayrshire Cancer Support Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

15:10

Ayrshire Cancer Support Handicap

Date 2023-07-17

Distance 1m

Class Class 6

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,664

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (11)	Our Dickie Grey J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	119	tb	217282	49	76	70	8d	—	—	-3	14.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Close second in C&D classified event eight days ago; in the mix
1 (7)	Rory Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	137	p	623252	67	78	71	14d	—	—	+3	18.1	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Has form figures of 23252, all in Scotland, since upped to 7f/1m; solid chance
6 (4)	Josiebond Chestnut J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Mark Walford	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Mark Walford	126	p	-29314	56	77	66	9d	—	—	+3	14.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Has a record of 3162314 in cheekpieces; solid claims
7 (10)	Time To Rumble Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	123	—	6706-3	53	80	62	27d	—	—	-4	6.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Sole win came off 2lb higher; encouraging effort at Beverley on seasonal debut
10 (2)	Mac Ailey Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Tim Easterby	J:James Sullivan T:Tim Easterby	120	b	557451	50	78	66	7d	—	—	+2	13.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Just held on for neck win here (1m2f) last Monday; still well treated on peak form
2 (6)	End Zone Bay J:Jason Hart T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jason Hart T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	136	b	690414	66	78	69	44d	—	—	+5	13.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Back in better form since having blinkers reapplied; likely player in retained blinds
8 (12)	Chinese Spirit Grey J:Joe Fanning T:Linda Perratt	J:Joe Fanning T:Linda Perratt	123	—	592227	53	78	69	12d	—	—	+3	10.2	2.50/1	11 9%
In-form 9yo who was knocking at the door last month; met traffic issues since
9 (1)	Propagation Bay J:William Pyle(7) T:Dianne Sayer	J:William Pyle(7) T:Dianne Sayer	122	—	884-36	52	74	65	12d	—	—	-5	2.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
In decent form but a degree of caution is advised (record is 0-20)
4 (8)	Hoots Toots Grey Roan J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	132	—	11-107	62	78	66	10d	—	—	-1	4.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Disappointing in two runs since Thirsk reappearance success
12 (5)	Hollis Brown Bay J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Linda Perratt	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Linda Perratt	116	—	30-776	46	79	28	8d	—	—	-2	0.9	6.75/1	28 4%
Has course form but he's an inconsistent maiden
5 (9)	Rogue Force Bay J:Paddy Mathers T:R Mike Smith	J:Paddy Mathers T:R Mike Smith	129	—	546689	59	74	49	7d	—	—	+1	2.8	12.25/1	50 2%
Has failed to transfer his AW form back to turf since joining new stable
3 (3)	Flash Bulb Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	135	p	348-59	65	66	38	7d	—	—	+3	4.1	19.75/1	80 1%
Maiden who holds weak claims judged on form for current yard

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Our Dickie	4	4	9/2	4	4
Rory	9/2	4	4	4	4
Josiebond	6	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Time To Rumble	7	13/2	13/2	7	7
Mac Ailey	6	6	11/2	11/2	6
End Zone	9	17/2	17/2	9	9
Chinese Spirit	11	11	11	11	11
Propagation	9	9	9	10/1	10
Hoots Toots	16	16	16/1	16	14
Hollis Brown	28	28	25	28	28
Rogue Force	50	50	33/1	50	40
Flash Bulb	80	80	50/1	80	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rory

18.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 9.4 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Our Dickie

14.5

OR: 0 Form: 9.5 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Josiebond

14.3

OR: 1.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Mac Ailey

13.3

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 3.3

11/2

End Zone

13.2

OR: 4 Form: 7 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Chinese Spirit

10.2

OR: 0.8 Form: 7.5 Odds: 1.9

Time To Rumble

6.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Hoots Toots

4.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Flash Bulb

4.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Rogue Force

2.8

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Propagation

2.6

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Hollis Brown

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rory	67	78	71
End Zone	66	78	69
Flash Bulb	65	66	38
Hoots Toots	62	78	66
Rogue Force	59	74	49
Josiebond	56	77	66
Time To Rumble	53	80	62
Chinese Spirit	53	78	69
Propagation	52	74	65
Mac Ailey	50	78	66
Our Dickie	49	76	70
Hollis Brown	46	79	28

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mac Ailey	7d ago	Quick return
Rogue Force	7d ago	Quick return
Flash Bulb	7d ago	Quick return
Our Dickie	8d ago	Quick return
Hollis Brown	8d ago	Quick return
Josiebond	9d ago	Quick return
Hoots Toots	10d ago	Quick return
Chinese Spirit	12d ago	Quick return
Propagation	12d ago	Quick return
Rory	14d ago	Fit
Time To Rumble	27d ago	Fit
End Zone	44d ago	Fit