British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div II)

Windsor

18:10

Date 2023-07-17

Distance 6f12y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,672

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (10)	Crocus Time Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	128	—	33	-	86	58	16d	—	—	-12	12.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
3rd of six from the front at Newmarket (7f, good) last time is the best form in this field
8 (5)	Piz Nair Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	133	—	4	-	80	54	21d	—	—	-15	6.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
2l fourth of nine in C&D maiden (good to firm) is among the better form in today's line-up
6 (13)	Ikhtiary Bay J:Luke Morris T:Tom Clover	J:Luke Morris T:Tom Clover	133	—	4	-	72	48	38d	—	—	-11	4.4	0.75/1	4 25%
Others have better form after his Bath debut but he could be a big improver
7 (12)	Kodiac Thriller Bay J:William Buick T:Charles Hills	J:William Buick T:Charles Hills	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
85,000gns yearling; second foal; dam Listed-placed 8.6f AW winner (RPR 95); major stable
13 (3)	Roast Chestnut Chestnut J:Kieran Shoemark T:George Boughey	J:Kieran Shoemark T:George Boughey	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.9	2.50/1	11 9%
Dam has produced some fair winners; the betting moves should give big clues
10 (7)	Trevor Bay J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Pat Phelan	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Pat Phelan	133	—	03	-	78	14	25d	—	—	-2	4.9	2.50/1	11 9%
Each-way claims judged on second start (6f, AW) and looks the type to do better
9 (9)	The Smiling Wolf Chestnut J:Rose Dawes(5) T:Jack Channon	J:Rose Dawes(5) T:Jack Channon	133	—	6	-	65	45	16d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Probably a longer-term prospect judged on C&D novice (good to firm) 16 days ago
5 (8)	Hedge Fund Bay J:P J McDonald T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:P J McDonald T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	6.00/1	25 4%
30,000euros 2yo; 2nd foal; half-brother to Italian 5.5f winner; dam placed at 7f and 10.6f
12 (2)	Line Sheet Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	128	—	60	-	67	52	35d	—	—	-2	0.9	6.00/1	25 4%
120,000gns yearling; modest form at Goodwood on debut and took a backward step over C&D
1 (4)	Bajan New Moon Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:David Evans	J:Saffie Osborne T:David Evans	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Looks bred for further and probably best watched this time
4 (1)	Faster Bee Bay J:Pat Cosgrave T:Richard Hughes	J:Pat Cosgrave T:Richard Hughes	133	—	64	-	63	20	11d	—	—	-1	0.4	19.75/1	80 1%
Promise both starts but it's hard to see him making a major impact just yet
3 (6)	Capall Donn Chestnut J:Rafael Souza(7) T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Rafael Souza(7) T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	133	—	06	-	45	35	100d	—	—	-1	0.3	24.75/1	100 1%
Well beaten in two 6f maidens in the mud early in the season; has left Adrian Murray
2 (11)	Blow Me Away Chestnut J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	133	t	87	-	42	12	31d	—	—	-1	0.3	49.75/1	200 1%
Failed to settle when last over 5f at Yarmouth and Sandown; now tongue tied

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Crocus Time	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2	5/2
Piz Nair	11/4	3	3	3	3
Ikhtiary	4	4	4	4	4
Kodiac Thriller	13/2	6	13/2	13/2	7
Roast Chestnut	11	10	11	11	11
Trevor	11	10	10	11	11
The Smiling Wolf	18	14	14	16	16
Hedge Fund	25	25	25	25	25
Line Sheet	25	25	25	25	25
Bajan New Moon	50	50	40	50	40
Faster Bee	80	66	50	66	50
Capall Donn	100	100	100	100	100
Blow Me Away	200	125	125	125	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Crocus Time

12.4

OR: 0 Form: 5.1 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Piz Nair

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

11/4

3rd

Trevor

4.9

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

Ikhtiary

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

Kodiac Thriller

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Roast Chestnut

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

The Smiling Wolf

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Hedge Fund

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Line Sheet

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Bajan New Moon

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Faster Bee

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Capall Donn

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100

Blow Me Away

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Crocus Time	—	86	58
Piz Nair	—	80	54
Ikhtiary	—	72	48
Kodiac Thriller	—	—	—
Roast Chestnut	—	—	—
Trevor	—	78	14
The Smiling Wolf	—	65	45
Hedge Fund	—	—	—
Line Sheet	—	67	52
Bajan New Moon	—	—	—
Faster Bee	—	63	20
Capall Donn	—	45	35
Blow Me Away	—	42	12

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Faster Bee	11d ago	Quick return
Crocus Time	16d ago	Fit
The Smiling Wolf	16d ago	Fit
Piz Nair	21d ago	Fit
Trevor	25d ago	Fit
Blow Me Away	31d ago	Fit
Line Sheet	35d ago	Fit
Ikhtiary	38d ago	Fit
Capall Donn	100d ago	Long break
Kodiac Thriller	—	—
Roast Chestnut	—	—
Hedge Fund	—	—
Bajan New Moon	—	—