At The Races App Form Study Handicap – Lingfield

Lingfield

17:05

At The Races App Form Study Handicap

Date 2023-07-18

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,245

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (1)	Eight Mile Bay J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:George Scott	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:George Scott	135	—	134051	65	79	57	7d	—	—	-2	21.1	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Scored comfortably under Billy Loughnane at Brighton last week; still unexposed over 6f
9 (10)	Lahina Bay Bay J:David Probert T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	J:David Probert T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	130	—	00-311	60	76	56	22d	—	—	-13	9.2	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Two narrow wins last month; form lacks strength but she may improve further at this level
7 (4)	Starproof Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	133	—	03-555	63	74	45	14d	—	—	-14	10.5	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Latest effort suggests this drop back to 6f may prompt improvement
3 (3)	Sparkling Spirit Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Tom Marquand T:Adrian Paul Keatley	135	—	5-33	65	71	-	22d	—	—	-5	7.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Has shown ability in AW novice events; open to progress in handicaps
2 (9)	Arbaawi Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	136	—	1-8252	66	74	39	151d	—	—	+3	14.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Improved form in AW handicaps during the winter; returns from five-month layoff
5 (6)	Morning Colours Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Marco Botti	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Marco Botti	133	p	695	63	66	60	19d	—	—	-3	5.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
May be capable of improvement now handicapping over new trip
1 (5)	Lady Nagin Bay J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	137	—	471740	67	76	-	12d	—	—	0	10.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Raced mainly on AW; something to prove back on turf for first time since debut
NR (2)	Parr Fire Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Nigel Tinkler	J:NON-RUNNER T:Nigel Tinkler	126	v	467930	56	77	62	5d	—	—	0	5	5.25/1	22 5%
Inconsistent but ran well on most recent Class 6 attempt
8 (11)	Outreach Grey J:Luke Morris T:Mark Usher	J:Luke Morris T:Mark Usher	131	—	4-244	61	72	36	20d	—	—	0	4	4.25/1	18 6%
Consistent thus far; needs a step forward but that's possible
11 (7)	Miss Moonshine Grey J:Oliver Searle(7) T:Rod Millman	J:Oliver Searle(7) T:Rod Millman	125	—	127098	55	71	20	26d	—	—	-1	3.6	5.25/1	22 5%
Dual AW winner; turf record remains unconvincing
6 (8)	Miss American Pie Bay J:Liam Keniry T:J S Moore	J:Liam Keniry T:J S Moore	133	b	10-90	63	74	-	29d	—	—	+1	4	9.75/1	40 3%
Has completely failed to progress from debut win

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Eight Mile	5/2	11/4	11/4	5/2	5/2
Lahina Bay	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Starproof	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Sparkling Spirit	6	6	11/2	6	6
Arbaawi	6	6	11/2	6	6
Morning Colours	9	10	17/2	10/1	10
Lady Nagin	15/2	7	7	15/2	15/2
Parr Fire	22	20	16	20	20
Outreach	18	16	16/1	18	18
Miss Moonshine	22	20	14	20	20
Miss American Pie	40	33	28	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Eight Mile

21.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 10.6 Odds: 6.8

11/4

2nd

Arbaawi

14.3

OR: 4 Form: 7 Odds: 3.3

11/2

3rd

Starproof

10.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Lady Nagin

10.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Lahina Bay

9.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

5/2

Sparkling Spirit

7.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Morning Colours

5.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Parr Fire

OR: 1.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.4

Outreach

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Miss American Pie

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Miss Moonshine

3.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 1 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lady Nagin	67	76	—
Arbaawi	66	74	39
Eight Mile	65	79	57
Sparkling Spirit	65	71	—
Starproof	63	74	45
Morning Colours	63	66	60
Miss American Pie	63	74	—
Outreach	61	72	36
Lahina Bay	60	76	56
Parr Fire	56	77	62
Miss Moonshine	55	71	20

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Parr Fire	5d ago	Quick return
Eight Mile	7d ago	Quick return
Lady Nagin	12d ago	Quick return
Starproof	14d ago	Fit
Morning Colours	19d ago	Fit
Outreach	20d ago	Fit
Lahina Bay	22d ago	Fit
Sparkling Spirit	22d ago	Fit
Miss Moonshine	26d ago	Fit
Miss American Pie	29d ago	Fit
Arbaawi	151d ago	Long break