bet365 British EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) (IRE Incentive Race)

Newbury

13:50

Date 2023-07-21

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £6,480

Winning Time 1m 14.06s (slow by 3.56s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Betties Bay (GB) Joshua Bryan · Georgina Nicholls	11/2	Won
2nd	Bourgeoisie (GB) Sean Levey · Richard Hannon	9/1	0.05
3rd	Gushing Gold (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	11/10F	0.3
4th	Raqiya (IRE) Jim Crowley · Owen Burrows	4/1	1
5th	Siobhanbrogan (IRE) Ross Coakley · Hugo Palmer	16/1	0.2
6th	Eleftheria (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Paul & Oliver Cole	22/1	.5
7th	Ahlain (GB) Neil Callan · James Tate	16/1	.75
8th	Dramatic Effect (GB) Charles Bishop · Eve Johnson Houghton	33/1	2.25
9th	Jakima (GB) Rob Hornby · Andrew Balding	66/1	4
10th	Dire Wolf (GB) Luke Morris · Adam West	200/1	1.5
11th	Flemish (IRE) Trevor Whelan · Tom Ward	200/1	3.25
12th	Pannonica (IRE) Pat Dobbs · Richard Hannon	11/1	0.2

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (8)	Gushing Gold Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	128	—	29	-	96	78	28d	—	—	-24	16.8	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Clear second on debut and not discredited at Royal Ascot since; leading contender
11 (5)	Raqiya Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Owen Burrows	J:Jim Crowley T:Owen Burrows	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-13	5.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Half-sister to useful 6f 2yo winner; out of a well-connected mare; looks the part on paper
2 (2)	Betties Bay Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Georgina Nicholls	J:Joshua Bryan T:Georgina Nicholls	128	—	20	-	88	87	30d	—	—	-4	6.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Found Royal Ascot too hot but was a promising second of 15 over C&D on debut
3 (4)	Bourgeoisie Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	128	—	5	-	79	62	8d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Out of a useful 6f 2yo winner; shaped with clear promise when fifth on Newmarket debut
10 (10)	Pannonica Bay J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	3.25/1	14 7%
£55,000 yearling; half-sister to two US 8.5f winners; market may guide
12 (7)	Siobhanbrogan Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Hugo Palmer	J:Ross Coakley T:Hugo Palmer	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	4.25/1	18 6%
Out of a well-connected German winner; bought for 120,000gns in May; one to consider
6 (12)	Eleftheria Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Hollie Doyle T:Paul & Oliver Cole	128	—	5	-	80	69	55d	—	—	-3	1.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Showed her inexperience but also some ability when fifth of seven at Goodwood
1 (9)	Ahlain Bay J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	3.75/1	16 6%
Third foal of a fair 1m2f winner; may not be seen to best effect until upped in trip
5 (1)	Dramatic Effect Chestnut J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	9.75/1	40 3%
First foal of a fair 7f winner; has fairly good standard to reach on debut
9 (3)	Jakima Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Andrew Balding	J:Rob Hornby T:Andrew Balding	128	—	47	-	68	35	15d	—	—	-2	0.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Not disgraced on either start but improvement required here
4 (11)	Dire Wolf Bay J:Luke Morris T:Adam West	J:Luke Morris T:Adam West	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	31.00/1	125 1%
Has the right type of pedigree but would be a rare winning newcomer for the stable
7 (6)	Flemish Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Tom Ward	J:Trevor Whelan T:Tom Ward	128	—	68	-	62	-	15d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Made reasonably encouraging debut on AW in June; came home in own time here two weeks ago

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Gushing Gold	5/4	6/5	11/10	1	11/10
Raqiya	4	4	7/2	7/2	7/2
Betties Bay	7	7	7	13/2	7
Bourgeoisie	9	11	11	11	12
Pannonica	14	12	12	9	14
Siobhanbrogan	14	14	14	14	18
Eleftheria	20	16	16	16	16/1
Ahlain	16	16	11	14	14/1
Dramatic Effect	25	33	33	33	40
Jakima	40	33	33	33	33/1
Dire Wolf	100	80	80	80	125
Flemish	100	100	100	100	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Gushing Gold

16.8

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 13.3

5/4

2nd

Betties Bay

6.4

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.9

13/2

3rd

Raqiya

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Bourgeoisie

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Pannonica

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Siobhanbrogan

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Ahlain

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Eleftheria

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Dramatic Effect

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Jakima

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Dire Wolf

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125

Flemish

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Gushing Gold	—	96	78
Raqiya	—	—	—
Betties Bay	—	88	87
Bourgeoisie	—	79	62
Pannonica	—	—	—
Siobhanbrogan	—	—	—
Eleftheria	—	80	69
Ahlain	—	—	—
Dramatic Effect	—	—	—
Jakima	—	68	35
Dire Wolf	—	—	—
Flemish	—	62	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bourgeoisie	8d ago	Quick return
Jakima	15d ago	Fit
Flemish	15d ago	Fit
Gushing Gold	28d ago	Fit
Betties Bay	30d ago	Fit
Eleftheria	55d ago	Fresh
Raqiya	—	—
Pannonica	—	—
Siobhanbrogan	—	—
Ahlain	—	—
Dramatic Effect	—	—
Dire Wolf	—	—

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Gushing Gold	Mid-Pack
Flemish	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.