William Hill Epic Value Handicap Chase – Cartmel

Cartmel

16:35

William Hill Epic Value Handicap Chase

Date 2023-07-22

Distance 2m5f34y

Class Class 4

Going Heavy

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,568

Winning Time 5m 42.60s (slow by 36.60s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Jelski (GER) Charlotte Jones · James Moffatt	5/1	Won
2nd	Croagh Patrick (IRE) Jonathan England · Sam England	3/1	1.75
3rd	Kellyiscool (IRE) Brian Hayes · Noel C Kelly	18/1	.75
4th	A Cheap Thrill (IRE) Sean Quinlan · Micky Hammond	40/1	20
5th	Follow Your Arrow (FR) Jonathon Bewley · George Bewley	9/2	10
6th	Post No Bills (IRE) Rachael Blackmore · Ryan Potter	11/8F	25

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Post No Bills Bay J:Rachael Blackmore T:Ryan Potter	J:Rachael Blackmore T:Ryan Potter	167	—	22-112	110	119	96	36d	—	—	-7	25	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Second-best at Aintree, but just 3lb higher than when winning over C&D (good) penultimate.
6	Croagh Patrick Bay J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	154	tb	2-5322	97	118	103	13d	—	—	+3	20.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Difficult to win with (2-26); just reeled in at Market Rasen (first-time blinkers) latest.
4	Follow Your Arrow b/br J:Jonathon Bewley T:George Bewley	J:Jonathon Bewley T:George Bewley	158	—	P7-236	101	115	108	20d	—	—	+2	17.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
In reasonable order until a laboured effort over 2m1f here last time; foolish to dismiss.
1	Jelski Bay J:Charlotte Jones(3) T:James Moffatt	J:Charlotte Jones(3) T:James Moffatt	168	p	3UP-51	111	120	74	22d	—	—	+3	20.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
2lb rise for a recent gritty course win (3m1f); effective on soft and heavy in the past.
3	Kellyiscool Bay J:Brian Hayes T:Noel C Kelly	J:Brian Hayes T:Noel C Kelly	167	t	300/54	110	111	-	28d	—	—	+11	16.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Yet to win (0-19), but isn't fully exposed over fences; placed at Gowran Park in Jan 2022.
5	A Cheap Thrill Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:Micky Hammond	J:Sean Quinlan T:Micky Hammond	157	tp	0P-84F	100	97	46	13d	—	—	+9	13.7	4.75/1	20 5%
Failed to win for Emmet Mullins (0-15); fell early on first start for Micky Hammond.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Post No Bills	13/8	6/4	6/4	13/8	13/8
Croagh Patrick	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Follow Your Arrow	9/2	9/2	5	9/2	9/2
Jelski	7/2	4	7/2	7/2	4
Kellyiscool	14	12	12	14	12
A Cheap Thrill	20	18	18	18	18

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Post No Bills

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 10

13/8

2nd

Croagh Patrick

20.3

OR: 11.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5

7/2

3rd

Jelski

20.3

OR: 15.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Follow Your Arrow

17.2

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Kellyiscool

16.6

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

A Cheap Thrill

13.7

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Jelski	111	120	74
Post No Bills	110	119	96
Kellyiscool	110	111	—
Follow Your Arrow	101	115	108
A Cheap Thrill	100	97	46
Croagh Patrick	97	118	103

Last Run