Ire-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Qual') (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

York

18:05

Date 2023-07-28

Distance 7f

Class Class 3

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £10,800

Winning Time 1m 26.39s (slow by 3.49s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Loose Cannon (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · William Haggas	13/8F	Won
2nd	Candonomore (FR) David Allan · Tim Easterby	33/1	0.1
3rd	Sailthisshipalone (GB) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	7/1	1.75
4th	Apiarist (IRE) Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	10/1	0.1
5th	Overlooked (IRE) Liam Keniry · Tom Dascombe	6/1	5.5
6th	Polly The Rocket (GB) William Pyle · Craig Lidster	14/1	1.5
7th	Alfie Boy (GB) Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby	40/1	2
8th	Quintus Maximus (GB) Oisin Murphy · Charlie Johnston	16/1	1.25
9th	Arc Shadowfax (GB) Dale Swift · Seb Spencer	13/2	1
10th	Batal Dandy (IRE) Connor Murtagh · Richard Fahey	66/1	5.5
11th	Bella Wella (GB) Jack Garritty · Mark Walford	13/2	2.75

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (2)	Loose Cannon Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:William Haggas	J:Daniel Tudhope T:William Haggas	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-19	8.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
85,000euros yearling related to useful winners and dam won over 1m at two
5 (9)	Overlooked Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Tom Dascombe	J:Liam Keniry T:Tom Dascombe	131	—	636	78	86	66	21d	—	—	+1	12.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Not beaten far in good novices the last twice; big player if coping with softer ground
10 (7)	Bella Wella Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Mark Walford	J:Jack Garritty T:Mark Walford	128	—	1	-	83	27	15d	—	—	+2	13.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Lost lengths at the start so did well to lead when it mattered at Carlisle; promising
6 (11)	Sailthisshipalone Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	131	—	4	-	73	44	7d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Produced good late work over 6f at Pontefract and now goes further
2 (4)	Arc Shadowfax Bay J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	133	—	4136	75	84	78	13d	—	—	+5	16.7	1.25/1	6 17%
6th in a nursery here latest; vulnerable to improvers but unlikely to be far away
1 (1)	Apiarist Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Nice pedigree and trainer likes to introduce some of his better 2yos at this venue
11 (5)	Polly The Rocket Chestnut J:William Pyle(7) T:Craig Lidster	J:William Pyle(7) T:Craig Lidster	126	—	3	-	76	48	7d	—	—	-2	4.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Showed speed over Pontefract's 6f last week before weakening into third; has ability
4 (10)	Quintus Maximus Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Charlie Johnston	J:Oisin Murphy T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	—	-	50	18	44d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.75/1	16 6%
Weak in the betting at Haydock (7f; 28-1) and dropped out to finish last
7 (3)	Alfie Boy Bay J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:Tim Easterby	129	—	60	-	77	30	7d	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Two defeats and likely to be more competitive when sent into nurseries
9 (8)	Candonomore Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	129	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
20,000gns yearling; second foal; dam French 7f AW 2yo winner (RPR 93)
8 (6)	Batal Dandy Bay J:Connor Murtagh T:Richard Fahey	J:Connor Murtagh T:Richard Fahey	129	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
35,000gns 2yo; stable had a very well-backed newcomer go in at Beverley earlier this week

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Loose Cannon	9/4	15/8	2	9/4	5/2
Overlooked	6	6	11/2	6	11/2
Bella Wella	7	13/2	7	7	6
Sailthisshipalone	13/2	13/2	11/2	6	13/2
Arc Shadowfax	6	6	6	6	6
Apiarist	10	9/1	9	9	9
Polly The Rocket	11	12/1	10	11	12
Quintus Maximus	14	14/1	16	14	11
Alfie Boy	25	33/1	25	28	33
Candonomore	28	33/1	25	33	28
Batal Dandy	50	50	40	50	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Arc Shadowfax

16.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 3.3

2nd

Bella Wella

13.1

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 3.1

13/2

3rd

Overlooked

12.4

OR: 7 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Loose Cannon

8.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

5/2

Polly The Rocket

4.9

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Sailthisshipalone

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Apiarist

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Quintus Maximus

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Alfie Boy

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Candonomore

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Batal Dandy

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Overlooked	78	86	66
Arc Shadowfax	75	84	78
Loose Cannon	—	—	—
Bella Wella	—	83	27
Sailthisshipalone	—	73	44
Apiarist	—	—	—
Polly The Rocket	—	76	48
Quintus Maximus	—	50	18
Alfie Boy	—	77	30
Candonomore	—	—	—
Batal Dandy	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sailthisshipalone	7d ago	Quick return
Polly The Rocket	7d ago	Quick return
Alfie Boy	7d ago	Quick return
Arc Shadowfax	13d ago	Quick return
Bella Wella	15d ago	Fit
Overlooked	21d ago	Fit
Quintus Maximus	44d ago	Fit
Loose Cannon	—	—
Apiarist	—	—
Candonomore	—	—
Batal Dandy	—	—