Pershore Plum Festival Land O'Plums Novices' Handicap Chase (Div I)

Worcester

18:00

Date 2023-08-01

Distance 2m4f

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,406

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9	My Gift To You Bay J:Harry Cobden T:James Owen	J:Harry Cobden T:James Owen	142	t	U0P-61	74	-	-	7d	—	—	-29	24.7	0.15/1	8/13 62%
Impressive yard debut over hurdles (2m4f, good); just 4lb higher on chase debut
4	Cant Beat History Chestnut J:Lee Edwards T:Henry Oliver	J:Lee Edwards T:Henry Oliver	156	t	9625-4	88	-	-	73d	—	—	+3	12.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Fell late in sole Irish point; chance on best 2m4f hurdle form now tackling fences
6	Sinister Minister Grey J:Sean Houlihan T:Sheila Lewis	J:Sean Houlihan T:Sheila Lewis	150	tb	P-0236	82	106	83	27d	—	—	+1	10.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Placed over hurdles and fences at 2m4f but beaten a long way out on latest
2	Lamanver Storm Bay J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	165	t	/54F-2	97	104	79	14d	—	—	+11	19.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Very mixed over fences but more encouraging 2nd over 2m4f latest; thereabouts
8	Lonimoss Bareliere Bay J:James Best T:Rob Summers	J:James Best T:Rob Summers	142	t	55-622	74	110	86	21d	—	—	+1	7.9	2.75/1	12 8%
In the frame several times at about 2m1f over hurdles/fences; stamina query at 2m4f
3	Scrappy Jack Bay J:Harry Kimber(3) T:Bill Turner	J:Harry Kimber(3) T:Bill Turner	158	—	/P06-7	90	-	-	48d	—	—	+7	11.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Both wins in 2m1f hurdles in 2021; low-level form since back from absence; chase debut
5	Newtonian Bay J:Richard Patrick T:Matt Sheppard	J:Richard Patrick T:Matt Sheppard	153	t	F5P57-	85	-	-	100d	—	—	+6	9.7	6.00/1	25 4%
Two hurdle falls last spring; minor handicap form for O Sherwood; chase debut
1	Blackhillsofdakota Bay J:Adam Wedge T:Alexandra Dunn	J:Adam Wedge T:Alexandra Dunn	168	p	23P/P5	100	-	-	15d	—	—	+10	13.4	12.25/1	50 2%
Had chase form at 2m4f in Ireland in 2021; pulled up/well held over hurdles since absence
7	Prince Of Bad Lins Chestnut J:Ben Poste T:Ryan Potter	J:Ben Poste T:Ryan Potter	146	—	447-P4	78	92	-	58d	—	—	+5	7.8	12.25/1	50 2%
Mixes hurdles/chases; taken healthy weights drop; worth a go with this lesser stamina test

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
My Gift To You	4/7	8/13	4/7	4/7	4/7
Cant Beat History	8	15/2	8	15/2	8
Sinister Minister	8	8	17/2	8	8
Lamanver Storm	10	9	17/2	8	9
Lonimoss Bareliere	12	11	11/1	10	11
Scrappy Jack	20	18	20	16	18
Newtonian	25	20	22	20	20
Blackhillsofdakota	50	33	40/1	22	40
Prince Of Bad Lins	50	33	40	25	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

My Gift To You

24.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 18.7

8/13

2nd

Lamanver Storm

19.1

OR: 11.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

3rd

Blackhillsofdakota

13.4

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Cant Beat History

12.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Scrappy Jack

11.2

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Sinister Minister

10.7

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Newtonian

9.7

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Lonimoss Bareliere

7.9

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Prince Of Bad Lins

7.8

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Blackhillsofdakota	100	—	—
Lamanver Storm	97	104	79
Scrappy Jack	90	—	—
Cant Beat History	88	—	—
Newtonian	85	—	—
Sinister Minister	82	106	83
Prince Of Bad Lins	78	92	—
My Gift To You	74	—	—
Lonimoss Bareliere	74	110	86

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
My Gift To You	7d ago	Quick return
Lamanver Storm	14d ago	Fit
Blackhillsofdakota	15d ago	Fit
Lonimoss Bareliere	21d ago	Fit
Sinister Minister	27d ago	Fit
Scrappy Jack	48d ago	Fresh
Prince Of Bad Lins	58d ago	Fresh
Cant Beat History	73d ago	Fresh
Newtonian	100d ago	Long break