Unibet Horserace Betting-Operator Of The Year Handicap

Kempton (AW)

17:52

Date 2023-08-23

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 1m 26.81s (slow by 2.41s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Okami (IRE) David Egan · Roger Varian	8/1	Won
2nd	Surrey Noir (FR) James Doyle · Charlie Fellowes	11/2J	0.1
3rd	Rogue Soldier (IRE) Robert Havlin · Tom Clover	6/1	0.3
4th	Abbey's Dream (GB) Kieran Shoemark · Archie Watson	6/1	3.75
5th	City Cyclone (GB) Franny Norton · Tony Carroll	11/2J	1.25
6th	Island Native (IRE) Ray Dawson · Heather Main	8/1	1.75
7th	Garrick Street (IRE) David Probert · Andrew Balding	11/1	0.05
8th	Wadi Bani (GB) Jack Mitchell · Seamus Durack	6/1	.5
9th	Evenstar (GB) Hector Crouch · George Boughey	28/1	5
10th	Kokomo (GB) Benoit De La Sayette · Brian O'Rourke	28/1	5
11th	Dartman (IRE) Sean Levey · Brian Meehan	9/1	13

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (2)	Wadi Bani Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Seamus Durack	J:Jack Mitchell T:Seamus Durack	131	t	242645	66	80	-	27d	—	—	-4	9.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Interesting to see if supporters return having undergone wind surgery
9 (9)	Surrey Noir Bay J:James Doyle T:Charlie Fellowes	J:James Doyle T:Charlie Fellowes	132	p	5255	67	79	48	55d	—	—	-2	10.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Has to bounce back but still looks raw and gelding operation could be the making of him
5 (1)	Abbeys Dream Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Archie Watson	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Archie Watson	135	—	215372	70	77	41	7d	—	—	+5	16.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Pleasing turf debut last week and bulk of AW form brings her into the equation; rail draw
3 (8)	Okami Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	137	—	39315	72	84	53	14d	—	—	+6	17.9	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Narrow win on handicap debut before left poorly placed over C&D; player if pace sound
8 (3)	City Cyclone Chestnut J:Franny Norton T:Tony Carroll	J:Franny Norton T:Tony Carroll	133	—	-33583	68	80	52	21d	1W/1P 1 run	1W/1P 1 run	+1	12.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Far from disgraced for new yard and no surprise if giving this a good shot from the front
2 (5)	Rogue Soldier Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Tom Clover	J:Robert Havlin T:Tom Clover	137	—	5434	72	77	45	20d	—	—	-1	10.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Positives to take from first three runs and latest effort forgivable; handicap bow
NR (11)	Liberty Mountain Bay J:Harry Burns(3) T:Joseph Parr	J:Harry Burns(3) T:Joseph Parr	133	—	-52572	68	79	49	18d	—	—	-7	19	2.75/1	12 8%
Twice bumped into one this year and might again be vulnerable for the win; drawn wide
4 (10)	Dartman Bay J:Sean Levey T:Brian Meehan	J:Sean Levey T:Brian Meehan	137	—	44-547	72	76	-	13d	—	—	-1	7.9	2.00/1	9 11%
0-7 and has gone backwards this year; risky proposition
12 (6)	Island Native Grey J:Ray Dawson T:Heather Main	J:Ray Dawson T:Heather Main	123	—	96525	58	81	52	15d	—	—	-1	8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Best judged on first of two handicap runs but others preferred in this 0-70
10 (7)	Garrick Street Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	132	b	200450	67	84	73	9d	—	—	-2	6.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Yet to really do it in handicaps and finished down the field here last week
1 (12)	Kokomo Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Brian Orourke	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Brian Orourke	137	—	2520	72	78	-	26d	—	—	+8	11.3	8.00/1	33 3%
Down the field on handicap debut last month and could do with settling better
7 (4)	Evenstar Bay J:Hector Crouch T:George Boughey	J:Hector Crouch T:George Boughey	133	tp	3-57	68	78	33	32d	—	—	+4	7.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Some appeal on first two runs; market can guide now switched to handicaps

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Wadi Bani	11/2	11/2	6	11/2	11/2
Surrey Noir	11/2	11/2	5	11/2	11/2
Abbeys Dream	13/2	13/2	15/2	13/2	13/2
Okami	7	13/2	13/2	7/1	7/1
City Cyclone	6	6	6	6	13/2
Rogue Soldier	13/2	6/1	15/2	6/1	6/1
Liberty Mountain	12	12	12	12	12
Dartman	9	9	9	9	8/1
Island Native	9	8	17/2	17/2	15/2
Garrick Street	9	9	9	9/1	9/1
Kokomo	33	28	28	28	28/1
Evenstar	25	25	20	25/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Liberty Mountain

OR: 4.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 8

2nd

Okami

17.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 9.1 Odds: 3.3

7/1

3rd

Abbeys Dream

16.8

OR: 5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.3

15/2

City Cyclone

12.3

OR: 4.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Kokomo

11.3

OR: 5.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0.8

Rogue Soldier

10.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Surrey Noir

10.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Wadi Bani

9.1

OR: 4 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Island Native

OR: 2 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Dartman

7.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Evenstar

7.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1

25/1

Garrick Street

6.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Okami	72	84	53
Rogue Soldier	72	77	45
Dartman	72	76	—
Kokomo	72	78	—
Abbeys Dream	70	77	41
City Cyclone	68	80	52
Liberty Mountain	68	79	49
Evenstar	68	78	33
Surrey Noir	67	79	48
Garrick Street	67	84	73
Wadi Bani	66	80	—
Island Native	58	81	52

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Abbeys Dream	7d ago	Quick return
Garrick Street	9d ago	Quick return
Dartman	13d ago	Quick return
Okami	14d ago	Fit
Island Native	15d ago	Fit
Liberty Mountain	18d ago	Fit
Rogue Soldier	20d ago	Fit
City Cyclone	21d ago	Fit
Kokomo	26d ago	Fit
Wadi Bani	27d ago	Fit
Evenstar	32d ago	Fit
Surrey Noir	55d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.