Big Stage Hire Handicap (Bath Summer Stayers' Series Qualifier)

Bath

15:55

Date 2023-08-23

Distance 1m6f

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Winning Time 3m 3.24s (slow by 3.24s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Lusaka (IRE) Billy Loughnane · John Flint	6/1	Won
2nd	Cherry Cola (GB) Rose Dawes · Sheena West	10/1	.75
3rd	Militry Decoration (IRE) Owen Lewis · Camilla Poulton	15/2	0.1
4th	Greased Lightning (GB) Georgia Dobie · Eve Johnson Houghton	9/2F	.75
5th	Nellie Moon (GB) Tom Queally · Amanda Perrett	11/1	0.2
6th	Blue Hero (CAN) Finley Marsh · Adrian Wintle	15/2	1
7th	Mrs Twig (IRE) Lewis Edmunds · William Muir & Chris Grassick	11/1	1.25
8th	Fair Dinkum (IRE) Liam Keniry · Jeremy Scott	20/1	.75
9th	Russian Rumour (IRE) Olivia Tubb · Jonathan Portman	17/2	.5
10th	Stiletto (GB) Mia Nicholls · Keiran Burke	14/1	0.3
11th	Al Sayah (GB) Luke Morris · Neil Mulholland	25/1	2.5
12th	Alchemystique (IRE) Dougie Costello · Steph Hollinshead	40/1	.75
13th	Silverscape (GB) Luke Catton · Roger Teal	25/1	0.3
14th	Big Jimbo (GB) Callum Shepherd · Gary Moore	12/1	1.25

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (14)	Lusaka Bay J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:John Flint	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:John Flint	141	p	095115	69	77	67	28d	—	—	+8	20.4	1.00/1	5 20%
Form dipped somewhat on good to soft on latest outing in hat-trick bid
9 (6)	Greased Lightning Chestnut J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Eve Johnson Houghton	130	p	263613	68	77	67	11d	—	—	+8	18.5	1.25/1	6 17%
11.4f win at Windsor before a creditable close third of five over 1m5f; new trip
4 (3)	Blue Hero Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	140	h	811211	68	77	60	28d	—	—	+22	31.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
All seven of his wins have been at this track (four this season) but none at 1m6f
2 (2)	Militry Decoration Bay J:Owen Lewis(7) T:Camilla Poulton	J:Owen Lewis(7) T:Camilla Poulton	142	t	-68344	70	75	63	28d	—	—	-1	9.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Four wins from 44 races but 1-1 at Bath, taking an 11.6f race in April 2022; e-w chance
1 (12)	Russian Rumour Bay J:Olivia Tubb(7) T:Jonathan Portman	J:Olivia Tubb(7) T:Jonathan Portman	142	p	221352	70	76	68	15d	—	—	+10	17.6	2.25/1	10 10%
Bath has been her most productive turf track; returns for first time since her June win
11 (1)	Mrs Twig Grey J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	128	—	06346	66	71	63	28d	—	—	-1	7.9	2.00/1	9 11%
Still early days but she has run in two handicaps and none of her form looks good enough
6 (13)	Nellie Moon b/br J:Tom Queally T:Amanda Perrett	J:Tom Queally T:Amanda Perrett	137	p	569-73	65	76	37	13d	—	—	-2	6.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Off 415 days before this term; third of 11 at Salisbury (1m6f) in first-time cheekpieces
7 (8)	Cherry Cola Chestnut J:Rose Dawes(5) T:Sheena West	J:Rose Dawes(5) T:Sheena West	136	—	-13324	64	76	69	35d	—	—	+6	13.3	2.75/1	12 8%
Running with credit and goes well on ground firmer than good
13 (10)	Big Jimbo Chestnut J:Callum Shepherd T:Gary Moore	J:Callum Shepherd T:Gary Moore	126	—	122561	54	72	68	19d	—	—	+9	15.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Got up close home over 11.6f here on latest start, having been pushed along in rear
8 (11)	Stiletto Bay J:Mia Nicholls(7) T:Keiran Burke	J:Mia Nicholls(7) T:Keiran Burke	131	tp	245-58	59	78	52	—	—	—	-2	3.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Seen far more often on AW but a 17-race maiden overall; minor honours over hurdles lately
14 (5)	Al Sayah Bay J:Luke Morris T:Neil Mulholland	J:Luke Morris T:Neil Mulholland	124	p	888-50	62	74	47	49d	—	—	-1	4.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Ex-Irish; this longer trip makes appeal on pedigree and penultimate performance
5 (7)	Silverscape Grey J:Luke Catton(5) T:Roger Teal	J:Luke Catton(5) T:Roger Teal	138	p	205975	66	79	51	27d	—	—	+1	5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Generally much more interesting on AW; no impact in either sphere on last five starts
12 (9)	Fair Dinkum Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Jeremy Scott	J:Liam Keniry T:Jeremy Scott	127	—	652456	65	78	57	25d	—	—	+3	6	8.00/1	33 3%
Ran badly on final start for for Hughie Morrison and below form on first go for new yard
10 (4)	Alchemystique Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Steph Hollinshead	J:Dougie Costello T:Steph Hollinshead	130	t	5/2327	58	74	60	27d	—	—	0	2.8	9.75/1	40 3%
Close second at Chester; Newbury run last time (also 1m4f on soft) was disappointing

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lusaka	5	5	5	5	5
Greased Lightning	6	6	6	6	6
Blue Hero	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Militry Decoration	15/2	15/2	7	15/2	15/2
Russian Rumour	10	10	10	10	10
Mrs Twig	8	9	9	9	9
Nellie Moon	9	10	17/2	9	17/2
Cherry Cola	12	10	10	11	11
Big Jimbo	11	12	11	12	12
Stiletto	14	14	14	14	14
Al Sayah	18	16	14	16	14
Silverscape	25	22	20	25/1	20
Fair Dinkum	33	33	28	33	28
Alchemystique	40	33	28	33	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Blue Hero

31.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 24.5 Odds: 2.9

13/2

2nd

Lusaka

20.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 12 Odds: 3.6

3rd

Greased Lightning

18.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 10.9 Odds: 3.1

Russian Rumour

17.6

OR: 5 Form: 10.5 Odds: 2.1

Big Jimbo

15.2

OR: 1 Form: 12.5 Odds: 1.7

Cherry Cola

13.3

OR: 3.5 Form: 7.9 Odds: 1.9

Militry Decoration

9.4

OR: 5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Mrs Twig

7.9

OR: 4 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.4

Nellie Moon

6.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.3

Fair Dinkum

OR: 3.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.8

Silverscape

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Al Sayah

4.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Stiletto

3.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Alchemystique

2.8

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Militry Decoration	70	75	63
Russian Rumour	70	76	68
Lusaka	69	77	67
Greased Lightning	68	77	67
Blue Hero	68	77	60
Mrs Twig	66	71	63
Silverscape	66	79	51
Nellie Moon	65	76	37
Fair Dinkum	65	78	57
Cherry Cola	64	76	69
Al Sayah	62	74	47
Stiletto	59	78	52
Alchemystique	58	74	60
Big Jimbo	54	72	68

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Greased Lightning	11d ago	Quick return
Nellie Moon	13d ago	Quick return
Russian Rumour	15d ago	Fit
Big Jimbo	19d ago	Fit
Fair Dinkum	25d ago	Fit
Silverscape	27d ago	Fit
Alchemystique	27d ago	Fit
Lusaka	28d ago	Fit
Blue Hero	28d ago	Fit
Militry Decoration	28d ago	Fit
Mrs Twig	28d ago	Fit
Cherry Cola	35d ago	Fit
Al Sayah	49d ago	Fresh
Stiletto	—	—