National Racehorse Week 9th -17th September Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

Stratford

15:15

Date 2023-08-24

Distance 2m70y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,776

Winning Time 3m 56.30s (slow by 16.30s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Tally's Son (GB) Harry Reed · Neil Mulholland	33/1	Won
2nd	Bahtiyar (FR) Mr Ben Sutton · Dan Skelton	6/5F	.5
3rd	Robber's Bridge (IRE) James Best · Simon Earle	7/1	.75
4th	Cumhacht (IRE) Adam Wedge · Rebecca Curtis	14/1	1.25
5th	Vin Rouge (IRE) Micheal Nolan · Seamus Mullins	16/1	3.5
6th	Mactavish (GB) Stan Sheppard · Matt Sheppard	22/1	6.5
7th	Star Legend (IRE) Mr Alex Chadwick · James Owen	6/1	.75
8th	Magic Mike (IRE) Callum Bewley · Paul Robson	11/1	1.5
9th	Ayr Of Elegance (GB) Charlie Deutsch · D J Jeffreys	50/1	28

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Kalyptra (FR) Charlie Hammond · Max Young	125/1
U.R.	Karannelle (IRE) Sean Bowen · David Rees	5/1

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Bahtiyar Bay J:Mr Ben Sutton(7) T:Dan Skelton	J:Mr Ben Sutton(7) T:Dan Skelton	167	—	26563-	97	103	73	164d	—	—	-12	29.1	0.30/1	6/5 45%
Has dropped down the weights and new trainer does well with recruits from other stables
1	Karannelle Bay J:Sean Bowen T:David Rees	J:Sean Bowen T:David Rees	168	t	-44343	98	101	99	2d	—	—	+7	20.5	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Third at Newton Abbot on Tuesday on first run since wind surgery; could be thereabouts
10	Robbers Bridge Bay J:James Best T:Simon Earle	J:James Best T:Simon Earle	144	—	29-423	74	100	90	44d	—	—	-2	9.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Headstrong 5yo who is 0-12 but has run well the last twice and is on the shortlist
5	Star Legend Bay J:Mr Alex Chadwick(7) T:James Owen	J:Mr Alex Chadwick(7) T:James Owen	163	h	33	96	101	68	28d	—	—	+9	19.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Lightly raced 4yo who goes handicapping off a fair mark and is not ruled out
6	Vin Rouge Chestnut J:Micheal Nolan T:Seamus Mullins	J:Micheal Nolan T:Seamus Mullins	159	t	6P-315	89	99	73	53d	—	—	+5	11.5	2.75/1	12 8%
Disappointing favourite at Uttoxeter last month but won in good style the time before
7	Magic Mike Chestnut J:Callum Bewley T:Paul Robson	J:Callum Bewley T:Paul Robson	154	h	531-15	84	100	81	44d	—	—	+2	10.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Won two in a row in the spring and his last-time-out flop came on heavy going
4	Cumhacht Bay J:Adam Wedge T:Rebecca Curtis	J:Adam Wedge T:Rebecca Curtis	165	t	-32635	95	99	72	23d	—	—	+12	16.8	3.75/1	16 6%
Below par last time; now 0-11 but placed a few times this season and might not be far away
8	Mactavish Bay J:Stan Sheppard T:Matt Sheppard	J:Stan Sheppard T:Matt Sheppard	150	—	2U0-0P	80	100	-	82d	—	—	+5	8.3	8.00/1	33 3%
Struggled in May/June but now on a good mark; watch the betting on stable debut
11	Tallys Son Bay J:Harry Reed T:Neil Mulholland	J:Harry Reed T:Neil Mulholland	143	—	P-7264	73	100	76	32d	—	—	+4	6.5	8.00/1	33 3%
Some fair runs this summer but has a very poor strike-rate; may again find a few too good
3	Ayr Of Elegance Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:D J Jeffreys	J:Charlie Deutsch T:D J Jeffreys	165	b	24-61P	95	99	74	39d	—	—	+9	12	9.75/1	40 3%
Won in small field at Newton Abbot in June then pulled up here last month
9	Kalyptra Bay J:Charlie Hammond T:Max Young	J:Charlie Hammond T:Max Young	150	tp	0/P-P5	80	99	-	63d	—	—	+7	7.8	19.75/1	80 1%
Mark continues to tumble but it's a long time since he showed any worthwhile form

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Bahtiyar	1	6/5	6/5	11/10	11/10
Karannelle	13/2	5	5	9/2	9/2
Robbers Bridge	7	7	7	13/2	13/2
Star Legend	13/2	17/2	17/2	8	8
Vin Rouge	12	11	12	12	12
Magic Mike	14	9	10	8	10
Cumhacht	16	16	16	16	16
Mactavish	33	28	28	28	28
Tallys Son	25	33	33	33	33
Ayr Of Elegance	40	40	33	33	40
Kalyptra	66	80	80	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bahtiyar

29.1

OR: 11.8 Form: 4 Odds: 13.3

6/5

2nd

Karannelle

20.5

OR: 12 Form: 4.5 Odds: 4

13/2

3rd

Star Legend

19.5

OR: 11.5 Form: 5.1 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Cumhacht

16.8

OR: 11.3 Form: 4.2 Odds: 1.4

Ayr Of Elegance

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Vin Rouge

11.5

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Magic Mike

10.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Robbers Bridge

9.1

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Mactavish

8.3

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Kalyptra

7.8

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

Tallys Son

6.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Karannelle	98	101	99
Bahtiyar	97	103	73
Star Legend	96	101	68
Cumhacht	95	99	72
Ayr Of Elegance	95	99	74
Vin Rouge	89	99	73
Magic Mike	84	100	81
Mactavish	80	100	—
Kalyptra	80	99	—
Robbers Bridge	74	100	90
Tallys Son	73	100	76

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Karannelle	2d ago	Quick return
Cumhacht	23d ago	Fit
Star Legend	28d ago	Fit
Tallys Son	32d ago	Fit
Ayr Of Elegance	39d ago	Fit
Robbers Bridge	44d ago	Fit
Magic Mike	44d ago	Fit
Vin Rouge	53d ago	Fresh
Kalyptra	63d ago	Fresh
Mactavish	82d ago	Fresh
Bahtiyar	164d ago	Long break