Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier - Last Chance To Qualify)

Kempton (AW)

19:00

Date 2023-08-30

Distance 1m

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 1m 40.22s (slow by 2.92s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	City Of York (GB) Callum Shepherd · David Simcock	100/30	Won
2nd	King Of Ithaca (GB) James Doyle · James Tate	5/2F	.75
3rd	Royal Dream (GB) Morgan Cole · Ed Dunlop	11/1	.5
4th	Valkyrian (IRE) Saffie Osborne · Jamie Osborne	14/1	1.25
5th	Haughty (GB) Rossa Ryan · Alan King	25/1	2
6th	Roar Emotion (IRE) Rob Hornby · Jonathan Portman	25/1	1.75
7th	Redcliff Glen (GER) Richard Kingscote · Clive Cox	17/2	1.25
8th	Leitrim Rock (IRE) Shane Kelly · William Knight	7/1	0.3
9th	Hard Act To Follow (IRE) Owen Lewis · Ismail Mohammed	18/1	0.3
10th	Crazy Crackers (IRE) Elle-May Croot · Ivan Furtado	22/1	1
11th	So Chic (IRE) David Probert · John E Long	66/1	.5
12th	Boxing Alex (GB) Kevin Stott · David Loughnane	22/1	.5
13th	Outrace (IRE) Joe Leavy · Richard Hannon	14/1	6.5

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
12 (12)	King Of Ithaca Bay J:James Doyle T:James Tate	J:James Doyle T:James Tate	129	—	-75093	64	82	74	16d	—	—	-10	13.8	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Wasn't progressing but made a bright debut for this yard when third here recently
2 (6)	City Of York Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	137	h	335-U1	72	77	75	25d	—	—	-5	9.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Recently off the mark on soft turf; doesn't look thrown in for his handicap debut
8 (5)	Redcliff Glen Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	132	—	0-30	67	78	43	76d	—	—	-3	7.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Best of his three runs was here when beaten just under 9l in a C&D maiden in January
3 (10)	Royal Dream Bay J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Ed Dunlop	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Ed Dunlop	137	t	451451	72	78	65	26d	—	—	+12	20.9	2.50/1	11 9%
5lb higher than last time but beat a subsequent winner and has won on Polytrack
1 (8)	Valkyrian Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	137	—	316065	72	80	53	15d	—	—	+3	9.2	2.75/1	12 8%
1m winner in May and good run at Chelmsford latest when 1m2f stretched her
9 (2)	Leitrim Rock Bay J:Shane Kelly T:William Knight	J:Shane Kelly T:William Knight	131	—	0-73	66	75	-	31d	—	—	-2	6.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Third on turf last time and goes into handicaps looking open to progress
4 (7)	Outrace Chestnut J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Richard Hannon	135	—	626138	70	81	-	21d	—	—	+8	15.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Ran poorly last time at Brighton but each-way claims if forgiving him that
5 (1)	Hard Act To Follow Chestnut J:Owen Lewis(7) T:Ismail Mohammed	J:Owen Lewis(7) T:Ismail Mohammed	134	—	853	69	75	26	15d	—	—	+3	9.7	3.25/1	14 7%
This £200,000 yearling could be a different proposition now handicapping
10 (9)	Haughty Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	130	p	35-671	65	79	-	14d	—	—	0	5.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Down in grade off a reduced mark when edging home at Salisbury; 3lb higher
11 (4)	Crazy Crackers Bay J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	130	—	528	65	77	56	19d	—	—	+2	9.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Posted some modest figures so far but is at least handicapped accordingly
7 (13)	Boxing Alex Bay J:Kevin Stott T:David Loughnane	J:Kevin Stott T:David Loughnane	134	—	0-650	69	72	53	51d	—	—	+1	6.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Didn't look on that good a mark when tailed off on handicap debut at Chepstow; now gelded
6 (3)	Roar Emotion Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	134	—	-10V00	69	79	61	16d	—	—	+4	7.8	5.25/1	22 5%
C&D winner in April but hasn't got close to reproducing that effort since
13 (11)	So Chic Bay J:David Probert T:John E Long	J:David Probert T:John E Long	128	—	219404	63	81	65	54d	—	0W/0P 2 runs	+3	6	9.75/1	40 3%
Beaten 4l on turf last time (7f) but a better horse on the AW, albeit more over 7f than 1m

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
King Of Ithaca	11/4	11/4	5/2	9/4	5/2
City Of York	5	11/2	11/2	9/2	5
Redcliff Glen	13/2	17/2	17/2	8	17/2
Royal Dream	11	10	9	8	10
Valkyrian	12	12	11	12	12
Leitrim Rock	12	11	11	12	11/1
Outrace	14	10	9	10	10
Hard Act To Follow	14	12	12	12	11
Haughty	16	14	14	14	14
Crazy Crackers	12	14	11	12	12/1
Boxing Alex	16	16	12	16	16
Roar Emotion	20	20	22	20	20
So Chic	40	28	33	28	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Royal Dream

20.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 13 Odds: 2.4

2nd

Outrace

15.2

OR: 5 Form: 8.1 Odds: 2.1

3rd

King Of Ithaca

13.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 3 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Hard Act To Follow

9.7

OR: 4.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

City Of York

9.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Valkyrian

9.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 2 Odds: 1.7

Crazy Crackers

9.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9

Roar Emotion

7.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 2 Odds: 1.1

Redcliff Glen

7.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Boxing Alex

6.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Leitrim Rock

6.1

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

So Chic

OR: 3.3 Form: 2 Odds: 0.8

Haughty

5.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
City Of York	72	77	75
Royal Dream	72	78	65
Valkyrian	72	80	53
Outrace	70	81	—
Hard Act To Follow	69	75	26
Boxing Alex	69	72	53
Roar Emotion	69	79	61
Redcliff Glen	67	78	43
Leitrim Rock	66	75	—
Haughty	65	79	—
Crazy Crackers	65	77	56
King Of Ithaca	64	82	74
So Chic	63	81	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Haughty	14d ago	Fit
Valkyrian	15d ago	Fit
Hard Act To Follow	15d ago	Fit
King Of Ithaca	16d ago	Fit
Roar Emotion	16d ago	Fit
Crazy Crackers	19d ago	Fit
Outrace	21d ago	Fit
City Of York	25d ago	Fit
Royal Dream	26d ago	Fit
Leitrim Rock	31d ago	Fit
Boxing Alex	51d ago	Fresh
So Chic	54d ago	Fresh
Redcliff Glen	76d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.