Northumbrian Wateraid Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

14:10

Northumbrian Wateraid Handicap

Date 2023-09-08

Distance 1m4f98y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,245

Winning Time 2m 41.68s (slow by 3.48s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Toscan Genius (FR) Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	6/1	Won
2nd	Lord Torranaga (FR) Graham Lee · Philip Kirby	100/30F	3
3rd	Trailblazer (GB) Daniel Tudhope · Adam Nicol	7/2	0.2
4th	Crystal Guard (IRE) Ben Curtis · Iain Jardine	4/1	1.75
5th	Thomas Cranmer (USA) Phil Dennis · Tina Jackson	20/1	1.5
6th	Ideal Dream (GB) Amie Waugh · John Davies	16/1	4.75
7th	Strong Team (IRE) Mark Winn · Chris Grant	100/1	5.5
8th	Prince Achille (GB) Jack Garritty · Jedd O'Keeffe	7/2	16

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (2)	Prince Achille Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Jedd Okeeffe	J:Jack Garritty T:Jedd Okeeffe	136	b	-31322	56	66	43	21d	0W/0P 1 run	—	+1	20.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Three placed efforts since his Carlisle win in May; up in weights but still considered
4 (7)	Crystal Guard Bay J:Ben Curtis T:Iain Jardine	J:Ben Curtis T:Iain Jardine	134	b	135805	54	69	58	22d	—	—	-12	7.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
C&D winner off 2lb higher in January; eyecatcher at Ayr latest; leading contender
5 (8)	Trailblazer Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Adam Nicol	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Adam Nicol	132	p	365802	52	77	-	10d	—	—	-10	12.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Effective here and comes here on the back of a good run on turf; chance if on a going day
2 (6)	Lord Torranaga Bay J:Graham Lee T:Philip Kirby	J:Graham Lee T:Philip Kirby	135	—	324332	55	70	60	9d	—	—	-2	16.1	0.88/1	7/2 22%
String of good efforts over further this summer; should give it another good go
8 (1)	Toscan Genius Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	126	h	940/56	46	68	40	11d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Unplaced all 8 starts but not beaten far in a stronger race at Southwell latest; chance
NR (9)	International Law Grey J:TBC T:Antony Brittain	J: T:Antony Brittain	131	v	354574	51	69	60	36d	—	—	-6	2.7	2.50/1	11 9%
Infrequent winner these days but he was making good late headway over 1m2f here last time
NR (5)	Tiberio Force Black J:NON-RUNNER T:Simon Whitaker	J:NON-RUNNER T:Simon Whitaker	127	b	773467	47	66	-	21d	—	—	-12	6.1	3.25/1	14 7%
Turf winner last summer; quiet the last twice and others look stronger
3 (10)	Ideal Dream Bay J:Amie Waugh(5) T:John Davies	J:Amie Waugh(5) T:John Davies	134	—	-57156	54	67	58	87d	—	—	+3	7.2	4.75/1	20 5%
50-1 win over C&D in April was followed by two lesser runs; career best required today
10 (3)	Thomas Cranmer Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Tina Jackson	J:Phil Dennis T:Tina Jackson	126	—	59-675	46	65	-	11d	—	—	-2	0.9	6.75/1	28 4%
No win since 2018; not beaten far 11 days ago but others still much more appealing
9 (4)	Strong Team Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:Chris Grant	J:Mark Winn(3) T:Chris Grant	126	p	30-365	46	66	55	—	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Conditions won't bother him but out of sorts over hurdles this summer; others are stronger

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Prince Achille	10/3	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3
Crystal Guard	10/3	10/3	3	10/3	7/2
Trailblazer	11/4	10/3	3	3	3
Lord Torranaga	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Toscan Genius	13/2	13/2	7	13/2	13/2
International Law	11	11	11	11	11
Tiberio Force	14	SP	SP	SP	SP
Ideal Dream	20	18	18/1	18/1	18
Thomas Cranmer	28	28	28	28	28
Strong Team	100	100/1	80	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Prince Achille

20.8

OR: 1.5 Form: 13.6 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Lord Torranaga

16.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 9.6 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Trailblazer

12.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 5 Odds: 6.7

10/3

Crystal Guard

7.3

OR: 1 Form: 0.6 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Ideal Dream

7.2

OR: 1 Form: 5 Odds: 1.2

Tiberio Force

6.1

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 5.2

Toscan Genius

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

International Law

2.7

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Thomas Cranmer

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Strong Team

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Prince Achille	56	66	43
Lord Torranaga	55	70	60
Crystal Guard	54	69	58
Ideal Dream	54	67	58
Trailblazer	52	77	—
International Law	51	69	60
Tiberio Force	47	66	—
Toscan Genius	46	68	40
Thomas Cranmer	46	65	—
Strong Team	46	66	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lord Torranaga	9d ago	Quick return
Trailblazer	10d ago	Quick return
Toscan Genius	11d ago	Quick return
Thomas Cranmer	11d ago	Quick return
Prince Achille	21d ago	Fit
Tiberio Force	21d ago	Fit
Crystal Guard	22d ago	Fit
International Law	36d ago	Fit
Ideal Dream	87d ago	Fresh
Strong Team	—	—