Calverts Carpets Hambleton Cup Handicap – Thirsk

Thirsk

17:35

Calverts Carpets Hambleton Cup Handicap

Date 2023-09-09

Distance 1m4f8y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £6,281

Winning Time 2m 41.48s (slow by 9.78s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Vaynor (IRE) Graham Lee · Charles Hills	9/1	Won
2nd	Strawman (IRE) Mark Winn · Gemma Tutty	13/2	0.2
3rd	Furzig (GB) Jack Garritty · Richard Fahey	5/1	1
4th	Knockbrex (GB) Andrew Mullen · Charlie Johnston	7/1	1
5th	Wor Willie (GB) Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	9/2	1.5
6th	Ring Of Beara (FR) Duran Fentiman · Tim Easterby	22/1	0.2
7th	Shake A Leg (IRE) Ryan Sexton · Julie Camacho	7/1	.5
8th	Dubai Welcome (GB) Dougie Costello · Saeed bin Suroor	5/2F	2.25

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (6)	Dubai Welcome Grey Roan J:Dougie Costello T:Saeed Bin Suroor	J:Dougie Costello T:Saeed Bin Suroor	142	—	/229-5	85	92	69	21d	—	—	-7	15.4	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Lightly raced 6yo; might have needed the run when fifth on reappearance; leading contender
2 (3)	Wor Willie Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	140	—	13-433	83	89	73	20d	—	—	-4	13.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Has optimum conditions and twice a course winner but should have fared better last time
7 (5)	Shake A Leg Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Julie Camacho	130	p	9-6803	73	92	80	15d	—	—	-2	8.8	1.25/1	6 17%
Last month's third at Newmarket was a clear step back in the right direction; big player
5 (2)	Knockbrex Chestnut J:Andrew Mullen T:Charlie Johnston	J:Andrew Mullen T:Charlie Johnston	135	—	124003	86	90	79	40d	—	—	+5	16.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Sole 3yo; will need to improve on recent Ayr third but low mileage and it's possible
6 (4)	Strawman Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:Gemma Tutty	J:Mark Winn(3) T:Gemma Tutty	134	—	532573	77	93	73	8d	—	—	+4	14.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Back to form when third of 11 at Carlisle last week; has claims
3 (8)	Vaynor Roan J:Graham Lee T:Charles Hills	J:Graham Lee T:Charles Hills	139	—	11-035	82	91	73	74d	—	—	0	11.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Has been waiting for quick ground; back to his last winning mark; high on the list
4 (7)	Furzig Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	137	—	05-350	80	94	81	23d	—	—	0	10.6	1.75/1	8 13%
Beat only one home at Windsor last time and needs to put that behind him
8 (1)	Ring Of Beara Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	129	—	770-07	72	87	46	12d	—	—	+3	6.6	6.00/1	25 4%
No show on Flat this year; mark is tumbling but he needs to get back on track

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Dubai Welcome	3	10/3	11/4	3	3
Wor Willie	9/2	4	7/2	4	4
Shake A Leg	6	6	6	6	6
Knockbrex	6	11/2	6	6	11/2
Strawman	7	13/2	6/1	13/2	6
Vaynor	6	13/2	7	13/2	6
Furzig	6	8	13/2	13/2	13/2
Ring Of Beara	25	22	22	22	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Knockbrex

16.3

OR: 9 Form: 4 Odds: 3.3

11/2

2nd

Dubai Welcome

15.4

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

10/3

3rd

Strawman

14.9

OR: 6.8 Form: 5.1 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Wor Willie

13.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Vaynor

11.1

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Furzig

10.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Shake A Leg

8.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Ring Of Beara

6.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Knockbrex	86	90	79
Dubai Welcome	85	92	69
Wor Willie	83	89	73
Vaynor	82	91	73
Furzig	80	94	81
Strawman	77	93	73
Shake A Leg	73	92	80
Ring Of Beara	72	87	46

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Strawman	8d ago	Quick return
Ring Of Beara	12d ago	Quick return
Shake A Leg	15d ago	Fit
Wor Willie	20d ago	Fit
Dubai Welcome	21d ago	Fit
Furzig	23d ago	Fit
Knockbrex	40d ago	Fit
Vaynor	74d ago	Fresh