AGMA EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (Bands C And D With No More Than Three Runs) (GBB Race)

Newcastle (AW)

18:00

Date 2023-09-11

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,564

Winning Time 1m 41.27s (slow by 4.27s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Placeholder (IRE) Callum Rodriguez · George Boughey	13/2	Won
2nd	Speed Court (GB) Clifford Lee · Hilal Kobeissi	4/1	.5
3rd	Chiefman (GB) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	11/4	3.25
4th	Pearl Sands (IRE) Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	18/1	4.25
5th	Miaswell (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	7/4F	.5
6th	Amasar (GB) Jason Hart · Charlie Johnston	10/1	7
7th	Believitanducan (IRE) Lewis Edmunds · Jessica Macey	100/1	9

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
Fell	Lunar Cycle (GB) Mark Winn · David O'Meara	25/1

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (6)	Miaswell Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	133	—	2	-	79	-	10d	—	—	-17	15	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Second at Thirsk when beating all bar the odds-on favourite who is probably decent
1 (3)	Chiefman Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	133	—	52	-	72	40	26d	—	—	-10	11.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
No match for a good horse at Ffos Las but unlikely he faces anything of his calibre here
6 (7)	Speed Court Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Hilal Kobeissi	J:Clifford Lee T:Hilal Kobeissi	131	p	653	68	78	-	15d	—	—	-5	12.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Improved 15 days ago at Yarmouth when 5l behind the highly progressive Lambert
8 (2)	Placeholder Chestnut J:Callum Rodriguez T:George Boughey	J:Callum Rodriguez T:George Boughey	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-10	4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
15,000gns yearling; respected newcomer from a Newmarket yard that does well here
4 (1)	Amasar Bay J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	3.75/1	16 6%
9,000gns yearling; third foal; dam Group-placed 5f 2yo winner (RPR 96)
7 (4)	Lunar Cycle Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:David Omeara	J:Mark Winn(3) T:David Omeara	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	6.75/1	28 4%
12,000gns yearling and a half-sister to classy dual-purpose performer Stratum
3 (5)	Pearl Sands Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	133	h	66	-	64	33	12d	—	—	-2	0.7	12.25/1	50 2%
Beaten just over 10l in his two starts to date and looks one for handicaps
5 (8)	Believitanducan Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	37.25/1	150 1%
12,000gns yearling; half-brother to Italian 8.5f 2yo/9.7f winner Sopran Modigliana

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Miaswell	6/4	6/4	6/4	6/4	6/4
Chiefman	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Speed Court	4	4/1	4	4	4
Placeholder	6	11/2	5	11/2	6
Amasar	16	14	14	14	14
Lunar Cycle	28	22	22	22	22
Pearl Sands	50	33/1	40	40	33
Believitanducan	150	100	100	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Miaswell

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 10

6/4

2nd

Speed Court

12.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 3 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

Chiefman

11.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 6.2

11/4

Placeholder

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Amasar

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Lunar Cycle

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Pearl Sands

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Believitanducan

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Speed Court	68	78	—
Miaswell	—	79	—
Chiefman	—	72	40
Placeholder	—	—	—
Amasar	—	—	—
Lunar Cycle	—	—	—
Pearl Sands	—	64	33
Believitanducan	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Miaswell	10d ago	Quick return
Pearl Sands	12d ago	Quick return
Speed Court	15d ago	Fit
Chiefman	26d ago	Fit
Placeholder	—	—
Amasar	—	—
Lunar Cycle	—	—
Believitanducan	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.