Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Lingfield (AW)

16:45

Date 2023-09-26

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,104

Winning Time 2m 3.60s (slow by 2.30s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	It's Marvellous (GB) Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	7/2	Won
2nd	Indemnity (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	11/4	0.3
3rd	Dynamiste (GB) Daniel Muscutt · Kevin Philippart De Foy	9/1	2.25
4th	Eastern Empress (GB) Kieran Shoemark · John & Thady Gosden	2/1F	4
5th	Enrico Caruso (GB) Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden	4/1	.5
6th	Climate Queen (GB) Finley Marsh · Robyn Brisland	125/1	13

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (2)	Lord Melbourne Bay J:James Doyle T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:James Doyle T:Simon & Ed Crisford	133	—	3	-	91	-	11d	—	—	-18	12.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Promising staying-on 3rd over 1m2f on turf debut; should benefit from the experience
7 (5)	Eastern Empress Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	6-935	77	95	87	30d	—	—	-12	14.8	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Has had going and trip excuses but may show her true colours over this trip on AW
2 (4)	Indemnity Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-17	7.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
200,000gns yearling; likely looking newcomer from leading yard; betting can give clues
1 (8)	Enrico Caruso Grey J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-13	5.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Classy pedigree; connections know the family well; market can guide
8 (7)	Its Marvellous Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	128	—	0-2462	73	89	48	32d	—	—	-6	10.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Consistent rather than progressive over 1m4f and 1m2f this year; likely to need extra
6 (1)	Dynamiste Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Well connected and from yard in good form; worth market check
4 (6)	Sir Cilia Bay J:George Rooke T:Matt Crawley	J:George Rooke T:Matt Crawley	133	h	7	-	59	-	141d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.25/1	150 1%
Dropped right out on turf debut in May (1m2f); sold £1,200 since; best watched for now
5 (3)	Climate Queen Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Robyn Brisland	J:Finley Marsh T:Robyn Brisland	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	31.00/1	125 1%
£1,500 yearling; will have to be pretty useful to make a winning debut in this company

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lord Melbourne	15/8	7/4	7/4	15/8	15/8
Eastern Empress	9/4	9/4	2	9/4	9/4
Indemnity	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Enrico Caruso	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Its Marvellous	4	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Dynamiste	12	11	11	11	11
Sir Cilia	150	125	125	125	125
Climate Queen	125	125	125	125	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Eastern Empress

14.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Lord Melbourne

12.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 9.4

15/8

3rd

Its Marvellous

10.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Indemnity

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Enrico Caruso

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Dynamiste

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Sir Cilia

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150

Climate Queen

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Eastern Empress	77	95	87
Its Marvellous	73	89	48
Lord Melbourne	—	91	—
Indemnity	—	—	—
Enrico Caruso	—	—	—
Dynamiste	—	—	—
Sir Cilia	—	59	—
Climate Queen	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lord Melbourne	11d ago	Quick return
Eastern Empress	30d ago	Fit
Its Marvellous	32d ago	Fit
Sir Cilia	141d ago	Long break
Indemnity	—	—
Enrico Caruso	—	—
Dynamiste	—	—
Climate Queen	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m2f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.