Unibet Zero% Mission/Support British Racing EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div II)

Kempton (AW)

18:00

Date 2023-09-27

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,346

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (3)	Tayala Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Ed Walker	J:Ross Coakley T:Ed Walker	128	—	53	-	78	-	32d	—	—	-18	12.4	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Shown promise both starts; should act on Polytrack, dam won here, bred 6f winner in France
NR (8)	Ghaihaban Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Andrew Balding	J:NON-RUNNER T:Andrew Balding	128	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-33	17.1	1.13/1	9/2 18%
190,000gns yearling; strong AW thread running through pedigree; hood fitted; check market
7 (9)	Nariko Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Kevin Ryan	J:Jim Crowley T:Kevin Ryan	128	—	45	-	69	48	47d	—	—	-12	5	0.75/1	4 25%
Hint of ability over 5f, on Tapeta and turf; plenty more needed now upped to 6f
8 (1)	Princess Alice Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Out of 1m AW winner; yard has respectable strike-rate with 2yos on AW
2 (7)	Cervaro Della Sala Grey J:Hector Crouch T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Hector Crouch T:Paul & Oliver Cole	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Late foal; likely type for 6f on pedigree and yard can get them ready to go first time
3 (4)	Deep Blue Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Jamie Osborne	J:Callum Shepherd T:Jamie Osborne	128	—	34	-	70	43	38d	—	—	-4	4.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Promising 3rd over 6f on turf debut (soft); outpaced over 7f on AW latest; handicaps soon
9 (5)	Shamardia Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Ismail Mohammed	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Ismail Mohammed	128	—	7	-	60	-	98d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Never competitive on 5f debut at Ripon; yard has generally fair record with 2yos on AW
5 (10)	Inkara Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	128	—	5	-	57	-	48d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.50/1	11 9%
Easy to back and never within striking distance when 5th on 6f debut at Salisbury
6 (2)	Its Showtime Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Conrad Allen	J:Marco Ghiani T:Conrad Allen	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Speedy pedigree; yard had big-priced winning newcomer in June; 2yo AW races not a priority
1 (6)	Bornwithwingz Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Barry Brennan	J:Charles Bishop T:Barry Brennan	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
100,000gns 2yo; nice pedigree for longer trips; yard has few 2yo runners

Horse	bet365	Coral
Tayala	2	2/1
Ghaihaban	9/2	SP
Nariko	4	4
Princess Alice	15/2	7
Cervaro Della Sala	8	15/2
Deep Blue	9	17/2
Shamardia	15/2	17/2
Inkara	11	9
Its Showtime	16	18
Bornwithwingz	20	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ghaihaban

17.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 17.1

9/2

2nd

Tayala

12.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 9.4

2/1

3rd

Nariko

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

Deep Blue

4.6

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Princess Alice

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Cervaro Della Sala

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Shamardia

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Inkara

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Bornwithwingz

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

25/1

Its Showtime

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tayala	—	78	—
Ghaihaban	—	—	—
Nariko	—	69	48
Princess Alice	—	—	—
Cervaro Della Sala	—	—	—
Deep Blue	—	70	43
Shamardia	—	60	—
Inkara	—	57	—
Its Showtime	—	—	—
Bornwithwingz	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tayala	32d ago	Fit
Deep Blue	38d ago	Fit
Nariko	47d ago	Fresh
Inkara	48d ago	Fresh
Shamardia	98d ago	Long break
Ghaihaban	—	—
Princess Alice	—	—
Cervaro Della Sala	—	—
Its Showtime	—	—
Bornwithwingz	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.