Unibet More Boosts In More Races Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

18:30

Unibet More Boosts In More Races Handicap

Date 2023-09-27

Distance 1m2f219y

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,187

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (4)	Mathematician Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	134	—	66V512	69	82	64	17d	—	—	-5	26.8	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Went close at York (10.5f, good) recently; up another 2lb and should again be thereabouts.
5 (5)	Outgun Grey J:Charles Bishop T:Alan King	J:Charles Bishop T:Alan King	135	—	3-3V42	70	80	-	39d	—	—	-5	12.1	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Checked at a vital stage when last seen; up 1lb and in trip and looks a big player.
2 (7)	Coco Royale Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:William Haggas	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:William Haggas	136	—	554	71	78	62	22d	—	—	-6	9.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Has shown ability; interesting from this mark on her handicap debut with 3lb claimed.
8 (8)	Daarree Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Owen Burrows	J:Jim Crowley T:Owen Burrows	132	p	678363	67	81	59	23d	—	—	+3	11	2.50/1	11 9%
Has to prove he gets this extra furlong; if staying, he remains on a competitive mark.
3 (1)	Bohemian Breeze Grey J:Oliver Stammers T:Charlie Johnston	J:Oliver Stammers T:Charlie Johnston	135	—	-67401	70	81	-	41d	—	—	+9	17.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Up 3lb for Ayr win (1m2f, good) and also in trip but has to be taken seriously.
7 (6)	Havanazam Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	134	—	521-78	69	78	46	14d	—	—	0	6.7	2.50/1	11 9%
Handicapper relenting but he needs a big turnaround.
4 (2)	D Day Arvalenreeva Chestnut J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	135	—	412425	70	82	27	27d	—	—	+6	14.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Well beaten when back to 1m2f latest but no surprise if she goes close from this mark.
1 (9)	Mythical Guest Bay J:Robert Havlin T:George Margarson	J:Robert Havlin T:George Margarson	137	—	63559	72	79	-	29d	—	—	+2	8	3.75/1	16 6%
Raced freely when stepped up to 1m4f latest; drops 4lb for this AW debut; bit to prove.
10 (10)	Surrey Charm Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Hughie Morrison	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Hughie Morrison	127	—	870-14	62	78	-	35d	—	—	0	4.1	6.00/1	25 4%
1m2f turf winner; likely to need to improve to win from this mark on her return to AW.
9 (3)	Roar Emotion Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Jonathan Portman	J:Trevor Whelan T:Jonathan Portman	132	—	10V006	67	81	63	28d	—	—	+2	5	9.75/1	40 3%
1m course winner; below par since and a fair bit to prove going up in trip.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Mathematician	7/4	2	7/4	7/4	7/4
Outgun	4	4	7/2	7/2	4
Coco Royale	5	5	9/2	9/2	9/2
Daarree	11	10	10	10	10
Bohemian Breeze	12	12	12	12	12
Havanazam	11	11	11	11	11
D Day Arvalenreeva	11	12	12	11/1	12
Mythical Guest	16	16	16	12	16
Surrey Charm	25	22	22	22	22
Roar Emotion	40	33	33	33	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mathematician

26.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 12 Odds: 10

7/4

2nd

Bohemian Breeze

17.4

OR: 5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.4

3rd

D Day Arvalenreeva

14.2

OR: 5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.2

Outgun

12.1

OR: 5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5

7/2

Daarree

OR: 4.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 2.2

Coco Royale

9.7

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Mythical Guest

OR: 5.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.6

Havanazam

6.7

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Roar Emotion

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Surrey Charm

4.1

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mythical Guest	72	79	—
Coco Royale	71	78	62
Outgun	70	80	—
Bohemian Breeze	70	81	—
D Day Arvalenreeva	70	82	27
Mathematician	69	82	64
Havanazam	69	78	46
Daarree	67	81	59
Roar Emotion	67	81	63
Surrey Charm	62	78	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Havanazam	14d ago	Fit
Mathematician	17d ago	Fit
Coco Royale	22d ago	Fit
Daarree	23d ago	Fit
D Day Arvalenreeva	27d ago	Fit
Roar Emotion	28d ago	Fit
Mythical Guest	29d ago	Fit
Surrey Charm	35d ago	Fit
Outgun	39d ago	Fit
Bohemian Breeze	41d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m2f219y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.